... There’s an available policy pathway that would cost no more than we’re already planning to spend, with much better effect and linked to a clear timetable for the end of aggressive social distancing.
... Our analysis found only two real options that combine a public health strategy and an economic strategy. In a white paper published this week, we call those options “Freeze in Place” and “Mobilize and Transition.” A third strategy, of letting the disease run its course nearly unimpeded in order to return swiftly to routine business activity, is also theoretically on the table. We call this approach “Surrender.”
... The second paradigm, “Mobilize and Transition,” treats the potential collapse of our health infrastructure as a major national security threat, so the policy response is to marshal all the resources of wartime. With the coronavirus as the enemy, this involves a single, up-front period of aggressive social distancing of approximately three months, to reduce transmission of the disease; simultaneously, the government acts just as aggressively to build an infrastructure for fighting and surviving the pandemic — investing in production of testing capacity and test administration, personal protective equipment, and tools for case identification and contact tracing.
In other words, we mobilize to transition to a society with pandemic resilience that permits maximal mobility for as large a portion of the population as possible even when the pandemic is ongoing. ...