- Joined
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And you think this is their last move? They've got food supply problems; that's miraculously just going to go away, right? But "Trump!:wicked:" :roll:
For some reason your monitor doesn't appear to display my sarcasm warnings.
Let me explain how this might well play out.
- The Chinese say that they want to buy 5,000,000 tons of soybeans.
- The US soybean farmers, being used to China buying 30,000,000 tons of soybeans, have better than 25,000,000 tons of soybeans in storage.
- The US soybean farmers, being rather concerned that THEIR PERSONAL soybeans will not be amongst the 5,000,000 tons of soybeans that actually get sold start bidding against each other.
- The bidding between the US soybean farmers drives the asking price for soybeans lower and lower.
- Eventually the asking price for soybeans falls below the cost of production.
- In order to prevent farm bankruptcies, the US government kicks in with "price stabilization" and "farm protection" payments that ensure that the US soybean farmers at least break even on growing soybeans.
- When the Chinese government is convinced that it has driven the price of soybeans as low as it can drive it, it enters into contracts to buy MORE than 5,000,000 tons of soybeans from US soybean farmers (all at less than the cost of production).
- The Chinese end up buying (just slightly) less American soybeans, but the US government
-subsidizes-supports the soybean farming industry to prevent its collapse. - The US government uses American taxpayers' money to
-subsidize-support the soybean farming industry and the Chinese end up having their purchases partly paid for with American taxpayers' money. - The US government either gets that American taxpayers' money from YOU or it cuts services available to all Americans so that the Chinese can have cheap American soybeans.
This is what is known as "negotiating from a position of strength" and is not to be confused with "twitter statements".