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The only error in Pelosi's thinking is that "something so compelling and overwhelming and bipartisan" exists that could convince Senate Republicans to agree to remove Trump from office.
Pelosi's thinking seems clear: an impeachment process is an enormous drain on other resources and efforts, and would fail in the Senate anyway resulting in a feeling of defeat for the Left. So, per her thinking, what's the point?
Exactly. Senate Republicans have long stepped down from their constitutional tasks and are a bunch of cowardly enablers.
If the Dems had control of two thirds of the Senate, I'd say, yeah, impeach and convict the bastard. But they don't, so, it's a pipe dream, and might result in losing the only way to remove Trump from office, that is, beating him in 2020.