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- Jan 24, 2013
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Yes, it is more complex. But what I said is in line with the KISS principle. When I look at Trump visiting/holding rallies in Wisconsin, 5 for Trump, 0 for Clinton, Michigan 6 to 1 Trump over Clinton and Pennsylvania 8-5 shows you Trump playing electoral politics. Even in Florida Trump out campaigned her there 13-8. Days off the campaign, Clinton took several, I don't think Trump took a one.
I kept looking at the state polls, not so much the nationwide polls. I knew Trump would probably win Ohio, North Carolina. That Clinton would take Nevada, Colorado, Virginia and probably New Hampshire. Of the 8 normal swing states that left Florida which Trump had a slight one point lead. I figured a 279-259 Clinton win. I knew Pennsylvania and Michigan were very close, but history was on Clinton's side and I figured those two states would remain hers. Wisconsin according to the polls wasn't close at all. In a very unique election which one should have thrown out conventional wisdom and tradition, I relied on that conventional wisdom and tradition even though I knew I shouldn't. My bag.
You're last paragraph, I totally agree. Republican and Democratic parties have left about half of all Americans without a political home. But in a two system, they have a monopoly, they write our election laws and write our election laws as a mutual protection act.
Maybe partisanship is here to stay?
There are major differences between the parties and what they stand for.