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Will Obama be re-elected?
...Candidly, I think the polls are overstating his approval rating. I think a lot of white guilt is baked into those numbers and may overstate his weak 45% figure by at least 5% to 10%. I am also convinced BO will not draw the record number of blacks and youth to the polls next year like he did when he was the unknown new kid on the block in 2008....
Most of those people are rabid about politics already and vote regardless any other considerations. I don't see much difference there. It's the more moderate and independent voters who need to be swayed one way or another. They will decide. And they will most likely not be presented with a viable (to them) option.Oh yeah, one more factor to consider ..... all those pesky conservatives and Tea Party folks are going to show up at the voting stations like a tsunami wave in 2012.
Nope. The American public are sick and tired of his empty rhetoric and absolutely worthless economic policies. Candidly, I think the polls are overstating his approval rating. I think a lot of white guilt is baked into those numbers and may overstate his weak 45% figure by at least 5% to 10%. I am also convinced BO will not draw the record number of blacks and youth to the polls next year like he did when he was the unknown new kid on the block in 2008. The ONLY thing that could improve his chances would be a totally unexpected major improvement in the economy......nobody is forecasting that to happen.
Oh yeah, one more factor to consider ..... all those pesky conservatives and Tea Party folks are going to show up at the voting stations like a tsunami wave in 2012.
it is not necessary to race-bait this thread.
Where is the race baiting? Is that all you have? He made a perfectly legitimate point and here you are being insulting in a thread where you are asking posters if Obama bill be re-elected or not and why or why not.
it is not necessary to race-bait this thread.
How is that race baiting?
I don't consider race to be a serious part of this discussion, and I think its merely used to derail from the legitimate conversation. You are welcome to disagree.
Most of those people are rabid about politics already and vote regardless any other considerations. I don't see much difference there. It's the more moderate and independent voters who need to be swayed one way or another. They will decide. And they will most likely not be presented with a viable (to them) option.
if given the unpleasant choice of BO or Romney, the conservatives will hold their noses and vote for Mittens.To vote for pseudo-liberal, flip flopping, universal healthcare passing, "guy who laid you off" looking, Mormon Romney?
Maybe not in the droves you expect.
There is no Republican who would get MY vote this election, as two Supreme Court seats are up.
I imagine this is why the right is pulling out all the stops and spending whatever it takes to win.
if given the unpleasant choice of BO or Romney, the conservatives will hold their noses and vote for Mittens.
Just because you chose to ignore it doesn't mean it doesn't exist. BO's margin of victory in 2008 came in large part due to the epic turnout by blacks wanting to see a black man become president and a whole heck of a lot of white liberal and moderate voters doing the same thing. BO's re-election will not stimulate the same level of interest it did in 2008. Moreover, BO now has to run on an actual record ( a crappy one at that) and not his soaring rhetoric.I don't consider race to be a serious part of this discussion, and I think its merely used to derail from the legitimate conversation. You are welcome to disagree.
talking about "white-guilt" being responsible for Obama's poll numbers isn't race-baiting?
I think it is.
...BO's margin of victory in 2008 came in large part due to the epic turnout by blacks wanting to see a black man become president and a whole heck of a lot of white liberal and moderate voters doing the same thing....
no, many of them will just stay home, especially the TP folks.
since you know virtually nothing about the motivations of the TP movement,...
do you have evidence for this, or is this just more baseless speculation?
go google 2008 exit polling results
on the contrary, I know a great deal about the motivations of the TP movement.
:lamo