Re: To Believe or Not To Believe
The basic scientific method (and there are different models) is
Whoaaaaaa.... wait up... then which model is the correct one?
Either ask a question and then make observations or from observations formulate a question.
I think here you are trying to come up with a theory [explanatory argument]??
Form a hypothesis: a possible answer to the question
Not answer, but a possible falsification of the theory from above.
Test the hypothesis by making predictions (often through experiments)
Not by making predictions, but by attempting to find conflicting evidence.
Successful predictions support, but do not prove the hypothesis.
True (knowing that you mean theory instead of hypothesis), which is why supporting evidence isn't used in science. It doesn't further legitimize, bless, sanctify, nor make holy any theory of science. All science concerns itself with is conflicting evidence. -- Here, you are blending science and religion. You would be able to, under this "method" of science, "hypothesize" that Christianity is both supported AND rejected by science... which is a paradox... which is irrational...
Failed predictions prove at least the part of the hypothesis tested to be wrong.
Science doesn't "predict"... It attempts to falsify theories [explanatory arguments].
If there is strong support for the hypothesis and it has not failed testing, a theory can be formed, subject to continuous testing.
Define "strong support"... Right now it is a buzzword... You already had the theory from the start; here, you were trying to falsify your theory, and if it didn't get falsified, then it became a theory of science (and remained one so long as it continued surviving null hypothesis testing)
Or, if there is a clear pattern/relationship that is always true, it is often termed a Law (theories do not become laws).
Not how laws are formed. Laws DO come from theories. A law is simply a formalized theory. That formalization is usually by way of mathematics. Essentially, a law makes a theory into a closed functional system, giving it the power of proof.
I’m not sure where you got your odd idea of science.
From educating myself on what science actually is, instead of mindlessly regurgitating what I was taught in school...
Science starts with a theory. A theory is an explanatory argument. That theory MUST be falsifiable. One then forms a null hypothesis for that theory. A null hypothesis best answers the question "how can I falsify this theory"? The null hypothesis must be specific, accessible, etc... If the theory survives this null hypothesis testing, then it becomes a theory of science (and remains one so long as it continues to survive testing). If, at any point, it fails a single null hypothesis test, then it is no longer a theory of science. That theory is now completely destroyed. If a theory of science becomes formalized (usually by way of mathematics), then that theory becomes a law.
That's how science actually works. It is a set of falsifiable theories. Nothing more, nothing less... no "predictions", no "consensus", no "elite bloc of scientists", no "supporting evidence", no "proof", etc. etc...