I’d give the Wall a 75% chance myself considering the plans have been so hush hush; but, I see merit even if just using it as a slogan to bring attention to the problem of border security with Mexico. The reality is boarder security is national defence issue and as such compares to a $598 billion budget.
If your a Libertarian, shouldn't you want more responsible spending in all areas of government, including defense?
Assuming the US pays for the wall (because no one has come up with a way Mexico pay for it yet), how is the wall more cost effective then more sensors or guards?
Also immigration from Mexico is down, so what is the urgency in all of this?
Based on the balance between those two POV, there is no problem with saying that this is not the solution. To say however this is not a problem or compare this to the border with Canada [with just a few more problems] is a complete non-starter. Mexico is a dangerous country and causing very real problems for the United States as a boarder country.
I did say Mexico had flaws, but is the Mexican government planning to destroy the US? Does the Mexican government shoot missiles at the US? Are there raiding parties that go over the border and attack towns? Is there constant threat of war between the US and Mexico?
The answer is no, so the US is not dealing with a hostile neighbor the way Israel, Eastern Europe or South Korea does
I think the issues between Mexico and the US are solvable through diplomacy, let's not treat Mexico like its Syria or North Korea and really the US pretty lucky from a geographic standpoint.
Let's face you can complain about drugs coming in from Mexico, but that occurs because there is a demand for it in the US, same thing with cheap labor, rich people in the US profit off of cheap immigrant labor. You can't blame Mexico solely for these problems.
As for Canada. Considering the latest report shows huge changes in demographic trends and a worsening economic condition compared to the States. Maybe one day we will have to be concerned with the northern boarder. For now, its more like a 51st state.
Where are you getting this idea that Canada has a worsening economy then the US and his a bigger demographics.
The Canadian economy is smaller then the US due to population size, but there is no evidence that the Canadians are worse off then Americans, Toronto is safest big city in North America.
Geographic isolation from most countries mean Canada's demographics are changing more slowly then the US.
I started to reply to snippets of the article but it will take to long. Let me summarize:
The author vigorously disagrees with an easy to build wall done ahead of schedule that any fool could have done years ago. Donald Trump in his view has no idea how economic or politics works, he is basically an uneducated pleb who needs to be quiet and if we were going to build a wall ~ why don’t we at least evaluate the effectiveness of what we already have already constructed.
Trump makes brands. He does what good CEOs do. He does the things which give him the potential to be a wonderful president.
I would hope if he is serious he'd have people on his team who know 100% what David Bier explores. I would hope he’d be smart enough to trust boarder security to direct and shape his general and purposefully vague points into a practical implementation that could help the situation he is promising to address. If those people come back to him and say, you know what Donald we have to do this without a wall. I think he’d challenge them but ultimately listen to them. I don’t think that is what they are saying. I think Donald is vague because it not his job to argue the details and its counterproductive for him to try.
There is a narrative out there. A vicious, slanderous and toxic voice which is telling us you can’t trust Trump. He is just some egotist. Trump is not a child except their minds. Trump is a salesman and he is selling the country back on a vision of a “great America”. From where I am sitting Trump is showing leadership.
Why should I trust Trump, look at his business record:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/donald-trumps-business-plan-left-a-trail-of-unpaid-bills-1465504454
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/01/donald-trump-scandals/474726/
Why should I assume he has some great plan and isn't a con artist, when frankly his business record tells a different tale?
Also why is the wall most practical solution to illegal immigration, it seems like there are easier and cheaper to deal with that issue.
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/01/26/trump-can-end-illegal-immigration-without-a-wall-commentary.html
How is the wall not just a big waste of money, the tax payers will likely have to foot the bill for?