We will, either in 2020 or in 2024, see a change of president.* We may even see a change in the party in charge of the Administration. There is, however, little possibility of seeing a change -- a reversal, if you please -- of the current lack of compromise between the Republicans and the Democrats in the legislature.** A winner-takes-all attitude in which a compromise is seen as a loss has taken hold. Opponents are vilified and no longer seen as equals.
It is difficult to see how we can escape from this situation. Its effect is that our government will lurch from extreme to extreme, with the swings of the pendulum increasing with time.
* The possibility of an annulment of the 22nd Amendment is small, but cannot be completely ruled out.
** Or, for that matter, between the president and the members of the other party in the legislature.
I don't think wiping out the 22nd helps anybody or anything either side of the aisle or even in the middle of the aisle and I doubt that would happen. I can see the current President simply refusing to leave based on some stab at an Election Fraud claim thus having to be carried out by the scruff of his neck.
As for lack of civility, discourse and compromise in the Halls of the Capitol, well they are not beating each other or laying a firearm on their desk when they arrive on the floor of either Chamber. We have had both in our past.
We will not salve our wounds overnight and the typical American impatience with everything is not going to help us. We need to resolve our inability to THINK which is at the heart of our inability to arrive at basic truths and then argue about what we should do as opposed to arguing about what is and what is not true. Climate Change is a good example. The discourse is over whether it exists and whether human impact is an issue as opposed to what actions we should take. While that is absurd, is simply tells you how absurd we have become.
Our Educational Institutions have become entirely frigged up both by the cost of Education, the reasons for Education and the results achieved in the form of too strong a bias toward direct impact on earnings potential over a life career. Even in my day (and I am old as dirt) the Humanities were being abandoned and Liberal Arts Majors were more often following a Political Science path as opposed to choosing one of the Humanities. Political Science teaches you how to formulate thought into political speech and political action. The Humanities teach you how to think.
During my long and now past career in business, I worked for Technology companies. While we had outstanding Engineers, EE's and ME's in the main, I was constantly confronted with their inability to think as well as their lack of historical perspective. If confronted with a problem that appeared "new" for them, they were constantly shuffling back to some text to tell them the processes they needed to pursue in order to arrive at a result, "ANY RESULT". Now even my field of expertise is dominated by technologists that know how to formulate polls and marketing campaigns for example but have no clue why they should formulate them.
The inability to think has given rise to this current [but not the first] era of popularism much enhanced by our bias toward celebrity fueled by instant access to media that bombards us with access to celebrities.
If we do not return to some balance between those more capable of thinking and those more capable of doing then we will not work our way out of this malaise. Our Educational structure regardless of whether or not we head for higher education is decidedly biased toward doing and away from thinking and for the most part that is why we are where we are.
The result is tolerance for a President that does not err occasionally or misspeak occasionally but that lies constantly, virtually every minute of every day and that takes out a sharpie and adds a bulbous piece to an official NWS/NOAA maps and the country arguing about it. IT WAS WRONG, horribly wrong and there should not have been any argument about that AT ALL. The result is a bias toward transactional politics from both sides of the political spectrum.
It probably took something like 30 years for us to arrive at this spot where we can do nothing but harangue at each other, maybe even 40 years. So, I am not optimistic about a short time horizon to getting back to a normalized level of discourse. However, as long as we do not destroy the framework of this Constitutional Republic, something that could happen if we continue on the path we are on, then we should be able to pull out of the ditch.