Warren is interesting, right now she has 72% of all Democrats that have a favorable view of her vs. 39% of all Americans and only 30% of independents. Independents unless they live in an open primary state have no say on whom the Democrats nominate. But they have a huge say in the General Election and usually decide the winner, ala 2016 when Trump won them.
Compare her to Donald Trump, 85% of Republicans view him favorably, 41% of all Americans which is very close to Warren's. Trump also has 36% of all independents viewing him favorable. I'd say as of today, Trump would have a slight advantage over Warren. Warren has a slight advantage in a head to head match up against Trump, 5 points. But that is among registered voters and not likely voters. The difference is history shows approximately 65% of registered voters vote vs. 80% of likely voters.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Warren
By contrast Biden leads Trump by 11.5 points.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden
Way too early to read much into those numbers, but interesting nonetheless. The big difference is independents, by a 35-26 margin independents prefer Biden over Trump, with Warren its a 26-26 tie between her and Trump when it comes to independents. 28% of independents said they would vote for someone else in a Warren vs. Trump while 17% said someone else in a Biden vs. Trump.
I'd say at this time, very early, Biden is much more attractive to the independent voter than Warren. But like I said, independents don't decide who the Democrats nominate, just who will be president.
The Democrats have a problem the Republicans don't. Remember the primaries in 2016. Both parties tried to ram their handpicked nominee down the throats of primary voters. For Republicans, it was Jeb Bush - including spending $100,000,000 early on. For Democrats, it was Hilary Clinton.
Republicans didn't just reject Jeb Bush, they threw him to the curb, never breaking 6%. But the Democrats did force Hilary Clinton upon Democratic primary voters. In fact, 2016 was Joe Biden's year, but that ship sailed without him on it.
Democratic primary voters won't pick the nominee. The MSM, press and internet companies will pick the Democratic nominee by control of all information. Of course, they are all literally owned by and service the super rich corporations - so the super rich will pick the Democratic nominee just like last time - with this backed up by the ego-maniacs of party leadership due to Warren being Harvard.
They will continue to feature Warren continuously and positively, while continuing to portray Biden as a bumbling old fool. It really is NOT what candidates say and do. It is what the MSM, press and Internet companies decide they will allow people to hear - and not hear - see and not see.
Harris was interesting to them being both female and minority, but she is West Coast progressive and no notable academic history. So they blew her away easy enough.
They'll placate the gay guy - the most absurd candidate in the race given the massive levels of unemployment and crime in his city. Yang is different in his promising to give himself and every other rich person in the USA an extra $1000 per month. But, in the end, it will be Elizabeth Warren.
In my opinion, had he run in 2016 Joe Biden would be president. But old age is being particularly cruel to him, plus the extreme intolerance of the new progressive Democrats is against him as well. Biden's strength is simple: Old people like him. He knows how to talk to old people - slow, simple, direct folky talk. He sits good with blue collar white people. That's his strength. His weakness? Him mind. It's giving out on him. Too much Scotch and bourbon over too many decades. Too old.
The super rich don't want Biden. They want someone who will do everything they demand - and that is Elizabeth Warren. Biden has the unacceptable trait of sometimes he had an independent thought beyond what he is told he should say. Warren doesn't. She is singularly pragmatic - perfectly a moral - with no controlling dogma or ethical parameters.
Democrats will nominate Elizabeth Warren because they are being told to nominate her by the super rich thru their information outlets of which they own nearly all of them in the USA.
