The Electoral Map with former Gov. Nikki Haley (R-SC) showed that the candidates were one electoral vote apart in an inconclusive map.
At-a-glance: If Biden won the Northeastern states traditionally associated with Democrats (Maine through Delaware), he would beat Haley.
Link to Electoral Map: https://www.270towin.com/maps/v847k
New State Polls:
* South Carolina comes online in favor of Haley, where she leads +18.
What’s Changed:
Other Notes:
At-a-glance: If Biden won the Northeastern states traditionally associated with Democrats (Maine through Delaware), he would beat Haley.
Link to Electoral Map: https://www.270towin.com/maps/v847k
New State Polls:
* South Carolina comes online in favor of Haley, where she leads +18.
What’s Changed:
- Texas flips to Biden, who leads +2, on 2/3/2024 and +9 on 2/12/2024. He leads +3 on 2/26/2024, but Haley leads +6 when Kennedy is not included.
- Michigan flips to Biden, who leads +9 on 2/12 2024. Without Kennedy, Haley leads +1.
- North Carolina flips to Biden, who leads +8 on 2/12/2024. In this case, I took the poll by the East Carolina University Center for Polling Research over Fox News because it had more registered voters polled over a shorter period of time.
- Pennsylvania switches to Biden, who leads by a whopping +20 in a poll conducted by Axis Research and sponsored by the nonpartisan Pennsylvania Energy Infrastructure Alliance.
Other Notes:
- Haley led in South Carolina by 16 on 2/11/2024, and +22 when Kennedy is included.
- Haley led in Virginia by 9 on 2/19/2024