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Climate Scientists Are Not Experts in Economics

The headline is misleading, Jack. It is still operating, it was able to get $260 million in financing. Why isn't this issue causing problems for all the other US refineries?

It seems the scientist that you provided me links on has never published in peer review journals according to Skeptic Science.

Not misleading at all:

"(Reuters) – Philadelphia Energy Solutions LLC, the owner of the largest U.S. East Coast oil refining complex, announced to its employees on Sunday that it plans to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, according to an internal memo reviewed by Reuters. . . ."


 
I think it is an older refinery that does not have the capability to blend in the required biofuel additives,
and so therefore must buy credits for doings so from refineries that do have that capability.
One can assume the other refineries are their competitors.
It is the costs of buying the credits that is hurting the business.
The Credits are for ethanol, which is of very questionable use as a way of limiting CO2 emissions.

You have a lot of speculation in your post, longview. Don't you think that posting an obviously biased article, I say that from the tone of the writer, clouds, rather than helps the discussion?
 
It seems the scientist that you provided me links on has never published in peer review journals according to Skeptic Science.

Skeptical Science is inaccurate.


 
Not misleading at all:

"(Reuters) – Philadelphia Energy Solutions LLC, the owner of the largest U.S. East Coast oil refining complex, announced to its employees on Sunday that it plans to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, according to an internal memo reviewed by Reuters. . . ."



Many companies do Chapter 11 and recover. Didn't Chrysler, GM, ... all do this? Is this causing bankruptcies throughout the industry?
 
Skeptical Science is inaccurate.


  • Elphick, C; Regev, O. & Shaviv, Nir J (1992), "Dynamics of Fronts in Thermally Bistable Fluids", The Astrophysical Journal, 392 (1): 106, Bibcode:[URL="http://adsabs.har


  • Thank you. Are those all actual scientific journals?
 
It seems the scientist that you provided me links on has never published in peer review journals according to Skeptic Science.

And the latest.

[h=3]Increased ionization supports growth of aerosols into cloud ... - Nature[/h]https://www.nature.com › nature communications › articles
by H Svensmark - ‎2017 - ‎Cited by 1
Dec 19, 2017 - The mechanism could therefore be a natural explanation for the observed correlations between past climate variations and cosmic rays, modulated by either solar activity or caused by supernova activity in the solar neighborhood on very long time scales where the mechanism will be of profound importance ...
 
You have a lot of speculation in your post, longview. Don't you think that posting an obviously biased article, I say that from the tone of the writer, clouds, rather than helps the discussion?
It may be speculation, but if the refinery is buying the credits for the ethanol blending,
you have to ask yourself why, if they possessed the capability, to do the blending themselves.
There could be many reasons, but most come back to money.
Also there is no speculation on ethanol helping emissions,
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-016-1764-4
It simply takes a lot of CO2 production to make ethanol, sometimes more than it saves.
 
Doesn't matter.

How can it not matter? The reporter didn't provide any direct evidence that the financial troubles were caused by what he alleges they were caused by.
 
Thank you. Are those all actual scientific journals?

Here's my personal favorite, published directly by the Institute for Advanced Study.

[h=3]How Might Climate be Influenced by Cosmic Rays? | Institute for ...[/h]https://www.ias.edu/ideas/2015/shaviv-milky-way



Nir Shaviv. Our galactic journey imprinted in the climate—when Earth's temperature (red dots warm, blue dots cold) is plotted as a function of time (vertical axis) and as a function of time folded over a 32-million-year period (horizontal axis), the 32-million-year oscillation of the solar system relative to the galactic plane is ...
 
How can it not matter? The reporter didn't provide any direct evidence that the financial troubles were caused by what he alleges they were caused by.

Looks like evidence to me.

". . . Part of the refiner’s financial troubles stem from a costly biofuels law called the Renewable Fuels Standard, which is administered by the Environmental Protection Agency and requires refiners to blend biofuels into the nation’s fuel supply every year, or buy credits from those who do.
Since 2012, Philadelphia Energy Solutions has spent more than $800 million on credits to comply with the law, making it the refiner’s biggest expense after the purchase of crude, according to the memo."
 
It may be speculation, but if the refinery is buying the credits for the ethanol blending,
you have to ask yourself why, if they possessed the capability, to do the blending themselves.
There could be many reasons, but most come back to money.


I don't see how that has anything to do with anything. If there is this much speculation going on then obviously all the facts are not known. Maybe the company got involved with an totally outdated plant, ... , ...
. Maybe ... .
 
I agree with you for the times you stated. My point is, that the consensus of what western Europeans (first world nation ancestry) long ago, was that the world was flat.
First world what now? Are you referring to the Celts and the Gauls? Or perhaps the Neanderthals?


My point is that consensus is not science, and is proven wrong time and again.
Actually, consensus is critical to science. There needs to be a consensus on a wide variety of laws, theories, procedures, methods and so on. If scientists can't agree on most of those aspects, they can't possibly check each other's work, let alone get anything done.

More critically, no one is saying that "the consensus is right solely because there is a consensus." Rather, the consensus is right because the evidence is strong enough to convince the vast majority of scientists that the claims are correct.

And of course, proclaiming "the scientific consensus was wrong about X, Y and Z!" (which is clearly what you're suggesting with the Flat Earth meme) does not prove that "the consensus is always wrong;" or that politically motivated pseudo-scientific alternatives are correct.

For example, there is a consensus that conservation laws are universal; that nothing can move faster than c in a vacuum, without going backwards in time; that photons have no mass; that water is primarily composed of H2O; that cancer can spread; evolution is a critical component of any proper understanding of biology; and that CO2 is a greenhouse gas. For some strange reason, only two of those items routinely cause howls of protests, complaints about consensus, and attacks on the integrity of scientists.


As for the IPCC material... Hogwash. They cherry pick what they use and are a political organization with political type goals in mind. What they are great for is finding actual peer reviewed papers. They list hundreds. The best thing to do is to find those papers they list, and read them. When you do that, you might notice the inconvenient facts the IPCC leaves out of their assessment reports.
Your neutrality on the topic is noted. :roll:

The IPCC's job is to evaluate all of the latest research, and present high-level summaries of the current understanding of climate change. We can even say that it presents the *COUGH* consensus view on the subject, and notes when there is not a consensus on specific subtopics. While the IPCC is not completely devoid of problems, nothing along those lines will ever satisfy those who are determined to criticize and/or discredit its work.

I.e. the fact that you do not like their conclusions is insufficient reason to attack the organization or its work.

By the way, I find it truly fascinating that these critics do almost no research on their own, and never present anything that is as comprehensive as the IPCC reports, and seem incapable of presenting a single coherent alternative theory. Instead, it's a crowd of deniers, all shouting something different, and all that matters is that it exculpates human activity from having any noticeable impact on the environment.

But go ahead, and tell us all: What exactly are they leaving out of your reports, that you deem credible, important, or numerous?
 
I don't see how that has anything to do with anything. If there is this much speculation going on then obviously all the facts are not known. Maybe the company got involved with an totally outdated plant, ... , ...
. Maybe ... .
Outdated, or size limited, whatever the reason, they cannot do something other refineries are doing,
and they say it has cost them $800 million over the last few years.
 
I don't have a statistic, but I know they are among the largest (maybe the largest) private equity investment firms, so they have to be right more often than wrong.

Or good at doing an Enron with the books.
 
Outdated, or size limited, whatever the reason, they cannot do something other refineries are doing,
and they say it has cost them $800 million over the last few years.

If they can't compete then they should go the way of the dinosaurs.

The following, and Visbek's excellent post [#139] leads me to conclude that this is simply another Koch brothers et al song and dance routine.

The research agrees: Humans are causing climate change (consensus on consensus)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=257&v=pEb49cZYnsE

Lord Planar's "brilliant" response to Visbek is another nail in the coffin.
 
The following was also covered in the video I posted. But it speaks volumes about what Visbek was saying, very eloquently I might add.


Expertise_vs_Consensus.webp
 
If they can't compete then they should go the way of the dinosaurs.

The following, and Visbek's excellent post [#139] leads me to conclude that this is simply another Koch brothers et al song and dance routine.

The research agrees: Humans are causing climate change (consensus on consensus)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=257&v=pEb49cZYnsE

Lord Planar's "brilliant" response to Visbek is another nail in the coffin.

Visbek's #139 of course dodges the Svensmark-Shaviv thesis.

I recommend Thomas Kuhn's The Structure of Scientific Revolutions​ to understand how valueless is so-called "consensus."
 
Visbek's #139 of course dodges the Svensmark-Shaviv thesis.

A thesis it is.

I recommend Thomas Kuhn's The Structure of Scientific Revolutions​ to understand how valueless is so-called "consensus."

Visbek and the video I posted both deal with this. Yes, science has been wrong before but that doesn't mean that it is wrong on this. Look at who has been setting the narrative for the right wing's take on GW, rabid right wingers, Ted Cruz, Rick "a total idiot" Santorum, ... .
 
If they can't compete then they should go the way of the dinosaurs.

The following, and Visbek's excellent post [#139] leads me to conclude that this is simply another Koch brothers et al song and dance routine.

The research agrees: Humans are causing climate change (consensus on consensus)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=257&v=pEb49cZYnsE

Lord Planar's "brilliant" response to Visbek is another nail in the coffin.
If they cannot compete because of some useless mandate, it may be worth a look,
but I generally agree, if they cannot compete, they need to go away.
As to the consensus, you still need to understand that the consensus is only that CO2 is a greenhouse gas.
The IPCC is a political organization whose existence depends on finding scary possibilities,
as a consequence (of the employees wanting to keep their jobs,) they find scary possibilities.
The data shows that our climate is not as sensitive to CO2 as the assumptions used in the models.
 
Visbek and the video I posted both deal with this. Yes, science has been wrong before but that doesn't mean that it is wrong on this. Look at who has been setting the narrative for the right wing's take on GW, rabid right wingers, Ted Cruz, Rick "a total idiot" Santorum, ... .
Gee, I am glad the left wing does not have any Zealots, promoting their own financial interest in the name of AGW!
 
If they cannot compete because of some useless mandate, it may be worth a look,
but I generally agree, if they cannot compete, they need to go away.

Circular reasoning. You don't know whether the measure, passed in a legal manner, is useless or not. It seems it is not given the evidence the top scientists in the world, those who are climate scientist specialists, agree on.


As to the consensus, you still need to understand that the consensus is only that CO2 is a greenhouse gas.

Verifiably false. Watch the video of what the top experts in the field say, the 97% of them.

The IPCC is a political organization whose existence depends on finding scary possibilities,
as a consequence (of the employees wanting to keep their jobs,) they find scary possibilities.
The data shows that our climate is not as sensitive to CO2 as the assumptions used in the models.

And the Koch brothers and their group are totally disinterested parties whose only concern is for the truth. Would you like to buy a bridge?
 
And the Koch brothers and their group are totally disinterested parties whose only concern is for the truth. Would you like to buy a bridge?
Not entirely, but the fossil fuel companies are not as concerned as you might think,
as there is not a real competing product to supply the current demand.
Whatever costs of taxes or regulations, would be passed on to the consumers, who have little choice.
They will drive less, but only down to the point of necessity, the high fuel prices elsewhere prove this.
The only way to displace fuel from fossil oil, is for something to come along that serves the same function,
that is naturally cheaper than fuel made from oil.
 
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