Buttigieg appears to making a surge akin to Warren's a few months back, where we've seen his numbers in Iowa make a dramatic rise, and one poll (though a small sample) shows him rising in New Hampshire as well.
After Bidens awful debate last night, where he couldn't seem to complete a thought without stumbling, or saying something heinously stupid, one has to wonder if the center of the party is beginning to calculate that he's simply past his sell by date, and they are looking for another candidate.
This has happened to Republicans before. Think back to when Gingrich ran in 2012 and seemed to have all the political capital needed to win, and then failed miserably in his primary fight. There's more to winning a primary than name recognition and being a former Speaker or VP, or being connected to a dynasty, and clearly Biden was not aware of this.
I'm not going to declare Biden's candidacy dead, but he's in major trouble. He's a distant third or fourth in Iowa, he's numbers in NH aren't great, and his latest debate performance is not going to help that, but he's still strong in South Carolina and other states.
There is still a path for Biden to win, but his ability to do well beyond the south east and deep heartland is very questionable.
Thoughts?