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you keep banking on meaningless polls.... i'll keep banking on 200+ years of historical fact.
we'll meet up after the elections and see who fared better... deal?
do you realize the number one reason an incumbent leaves office is ..retirement?
running for reelection and losing is not common whatsoever.
It should tell you something, that you could not come up with a single thing the GOP has done since 2010 that a great majority of the American public approves of.