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[W:#23,579]Ukraine War Thread

Rogue Valley said:
www.businessinsider.com

Russian soldiers were convicted of over 100 murders when they returned home last year, a report says

The high homicide rate in 2023 by Russian soldiers is related to mental-health issues and thousands of former-convict soldiers, said the UK MoD.
www.businessinsider.com www.businessinsider.com

>Last year, Russian President Vladimir Putin called the risk of pardoned convicts re-offending upon their release "inevitable," but the negative consequences are minimal, Putin said.<
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"Sure they may kill people when they come home, but...meh! Who cares?"

With leaders like that, who needs enemies.


Rogue Valley said:
www.newsweek.com

Russia amassing tens of thousands of troops around key Ukrainian town

Moscow is hoping to capture Chasiv Yar by May 9, Kyiv's military has warned following the reported buildup.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com

>The enemy has amassed a grouping of 20,000-25,000 servicemen around Chasiv Yar.<
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Enemy troops massing in huge numbers in one place......just as Ukraine gets a new shipment of ATACMS?

Yeah...that's gonna end well.
 
Roadvirus said:
"Sure they may kill people when they come home, but...meh! Who cares?"

With leaders like that, who needs enemies.




Enemy troops massing in huge numbers in one place......just as Ukraine gets a new shipment of ATACMS?

Yeah...that's gonna end well.
Click to expand...
Targets of opportunity.
 
Schrott said:
Russian is moving 20 to 30 K soldiers.

Here comes the military thinking and planning. This is not a decision done yesterday, But weeks ago, 1 month or 2 month ago. Its all based on the current and the scenario of the last 2 month. GOP blocking Ukraine help and because of Ukraine being critical short of ammo of all kind. That the speaker would pull this of, even with a nod of trump, nobody could really expect.
The fortunes of war, a rather wild thing.
Now Russia has committed to pull 20 to 30K soldiers from the South, a gigantic logistic task, based on the assumption, that the Ukraine would not receive support from the US in many month to come.

This war is all about the Russian misconceptions, it tries to anticipate its goals, but has no plan B and C or even D, like you have in business, or we had when I was a soldier.

This has puzzled for a long time, why do they have only a plan A and not a B and C, with all the planning and fast reaction time.

I don't get it.
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A. The Russians can’t multitask.
B. A, B, and C are not in the Russian alphabet and unless you write ABC in Cyrillic it’s all Greek to them.🤣🤣
 
Schrott said:
Russian is moving 20 to 30 K soldiers.

Here comes the military thinking and planning. This is not a decision done yesterday, But weeks ago, 1 month or 2 month ago. Its all based on the current and the scenario of the last 2 month. GOP blocking Ukraine help and because of Ukraine being critical short of ammo of all kind. That the speaker would pull this of, even with a nod of trump, nobody could really expect.
The fortunes of war, a rather wild thing.
Now Russia has committed to pull 20 to 30K soldiers from the South, a gigantic logistic task, based on the assumption, that the Ukraine would not receive support from the US in many month to come.
Click to expand...

And now Ukraine has lots of bang coming (or already there according to some above Xweets that @JANFU posted yesterday), which means 20K-30K Russian soldiers are about to get pummeled.

Which explains why Russia was gobsmacked when Johnson pulled his head from his ass & got a new aid bill voted on.
 
gman said:
A. The Russians can’t multitask.
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They suck at adapting. Russia reaction to new tactics by Ukraine is like someone skidding out of control on a solid ice road.

Unfortunately, they don't completely suck at it, since they've been able to fart up the guided weaponry we've sent Ukraine with jammers and whatnot.
 
H
Roadvirus said:
They suck at adapting. Russia reaction to new tactics by Ukraine is like someone skidding out of control on a solid ice road.

Unfortunately, they don't completely suck at it, since they've been able to fart up the guided weaponry we've sent Ukraine with jammers and whatnot.
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Help is on the way. They will overcome.
 
The Ukrainian intelligence service SBU has arrested Russian agents from a network suspected of planning to assassinate the president, including Volodymyr Zelenskyi. An hour after the announcement, Kiev states that two Ukrainian security officials have also been arrested, suspected of involvement in the assassination plans.

www.bbc.com

Ukraine officials held over Russian plot to kill Zelensky

Two Ukrainian security officials arrested over Russian plot to assassinate President Zelensky, Kyiv says
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
 
www.newsweek.com

Who is Gordon Black? US Army officer arrested during secret Russia trip

The staff sergeant reportedly made an unauthorized trip to the Pacific port city of Vladivostok, where he was detained.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com

>He did so without approval from superiors and is believed to have made the trip to visit a woman he was romantically involved with.<


www.newsweek.com

Russian troops massacred by fellow soldiers

A manhunt is underway for a junior sergeant who allegedly shot six soldiers, while one officer is on trial for killing seven of his comrades.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com

>The suspect may have an AK-12 assault rifle with a silencer and ammunition and police are scouring Russia's border regions of Rostov, Belgorod and Voronezh.<


www.newsweek.com

Russian artillery losses just hit all-time high: Kyiv

Putin's army lost 89 artillery systems in a single day, according to the data released by Ukrainian officials.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com

>On Friday, Ukraine officials claimed 89 artillery units had been lost by Moscow during the fierce fighting―the most ever taken in a single day since the war began in February 2022.<

ATACMS?


www.newsweek.com

Russian elites scramble for power in Putin's 'last' Cabinet

Vladimir Putin is expected to conduct a government reshuffle following his inauguration on Tuesday.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com

>Putin will be sworn in to begin his fifth term. The mood of many is not just nervous, but tense. Some are hoping [for a promotion], others are worried about being moved [to a lower status position].<


newsukraine.rbc.ua

Russia's summer offensive: Where and when Moscow might launch new assault

Read more
newsukraine.rbc.ua newsukraine.rbc.ua

>Russia is currently conducting active offensives in three operational areas: Kostiantynivka - in the area of Chasiv Yar, Pokrovsk - on a stretch of a dozen settlements near Avdiivka, and Kurakhove from the side of Maryinka. The situation is most difficult in the latter two. the Ukrainian Defense Forces claim that the main Russian goal for the foreseeable future will be the capture of the Donetsk region. However, how the Russians will act to achieve this goal may differ. According to the first and second scenarios described above, Russia will attack in the same direction as it is doing today. In particular, the most active fighting will be either towards the Kramatorsk agglomeration or in the Kurakhove-Vuhledar direction. Under the third scenario, Russia may also intensify its activities in Sumy and Kharkiv regions from the territory of the Belgorod region of the Russian Federation. Moscow's goal, on the one hand, is to create a so-called sanitary zone near its border regions. On the other hand, Russia wants to force the Ukrainian command to withdraw some troops from other important areas to defend the Kharkiv and Sumy regions.<

>In any case, in the event of a real threat on the Kharkiv or Sumy directions, Ukrainian officials will warn about it. As of now, the Russians do not have anywhere near enough troops to capture Kharkiv, and they have never launched an offensive against a city of this size during the entire war. Therefore, the likelihood of encircling or capturing Kharkiv now looks very unlikely. The same opinion was recently expressed by analysts at the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW). Earlier, the ISW suggested that the Ukrainian Armed Forces would be able to prevent a significant operational advance of Russian troops during the aggressor's planned summer offensive. Analysts also doubt that Russia will be able to conduct a larger and more intense operation this summer than all previous ones.<
 
NWRatCon said:
Linear thinking and lack of imagination. Russia's military infrastructure is very top-down. Mid-level commanders have very little authority or scope of action, and they don't have an NCO Corps.
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Yes, I know that.
But what I mean when you plan at the General level, CEO level, then you have a best scenario plan and then in stages worst scenario plan.
This is how you do it, because you have to set all the needs of those plans in motion, before you execute best.
Russia's best failed horrible, was planed bad and executed even worse, disaster. Shit happens, for what ever reason.
But there was no plan B or C and so on.
What surprises me, even today they do not have the capacity, organization, or what ever one will call it, to have that deep planning capacity.
To me it looks like, they are not able to plan how to reach a set goal from multiple angles.
It is standard in NATO armies, it is standard in Western industries and so on.
There is something missing in the Russian army, they used to be rather good at it, against France and Germany for example.
 
Rogue Valley said:
www.newsweek.com

Russian elites scramble for power in Putin's 'last' Cabinet

Vladimir Putin is expected to conduct a government reshuffle following his inauguration on Tuesday.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com

>Putin will be sworn in to begin his fifth term. The mood of many is not just nervous, but tense. Some are hoping [for a promotion], others are worried about being moved [to a lower status position].<
Click to expand...

"Others are really worried about being moved to a position near an upper-floor window".
 
Russian foreign minister makes threats towards Britain over British approval of Ukraine using British weapons on targets on Russian soil


"Casey was warned that in response to Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory with British weapons, any British military facilities and equipment on the territory of Ukraine and abroad" could be targeted, the Russian foreign ministry said.

 
Schrott said:
Yes, I know that.
But what I mean when you plan at the General level, CEO level, then you have a best scenario plan and then in stages worst scenario plan.
This is how you do it, because you have to set all the needs of those plans in motion, before you execute best.
Russia's best failed horrible, was planed bad and executed even worse, disaster. Shit happens, for what ever reason.
But there was no plan B or C and so on.
What surprises me, even today they do not have the capacity, organization, or what ever one will call it, to have that deep planning capacity.
To me it looks like, they are not able to plan how to reach a set goal from multiple angles.
It is standard in NATO armies, it is standard in Western industries and so on.
There is something missing in the Russian army, they used to be rather good at it, against France and Germany for example.
Click to expand...
Is it possible that Putin is trying to micromanage things that he doesn't really have the training or ability to do, and he won't be challenged by his generals -- even if they think his planning is flawed?
 
EnigmaO01 said:
Is it possible that Putin is trying to micromanage things that he doesn't really have the training or ability to do, and he won't be challenged by his generals -- even if they think his planning is flawed?
Click to expand...
You mean like Hitler?😵‍💫
 
Roadvirus said:
Russian foreign minister makes threats towards Britain over British approval of Ukraine using British weapons on targets on Russian soil


"Casey was warned that in response to Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory with British weapons, any British military facilities and equipment on the territory of Ukraine and abroad" could be targeted, the Russian foreign ministry said.

Click to expand...
Since when do the Russians care about what they target?
 
 
 
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