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FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver Gives Clinton An 80 Percent Chance Of Winning The Presidency
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Gives Clinton An 80 Percent Chance Of Winning The Presidency
Silver correctly called 48 of 50 states in 2008 and accurately called all 50 states in the 2012 election.
According to Silver’s forecast model, Hillary Clinton has an 80 percent chance of becoming the next president. “Trump faces longer odds and a bigger polling deficit than John McCain and Mitt Romney did at the same point in their respective races,” Silver wrote on Wednesday.
According to the new forecast, Clinton is favored to carry all of the so-called swing states. She also has a better than 50 percent chance of winning Arizona, something not done by a Democrat since 1996…..
As of today, Silver predicts that Clinton would carry upwards of 350 electoral votes compared to Trump’s 183 and win the popular vote by almost eight points.
SEE:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Donald Trump Has A 20 Percent Chance Of Becoming President | FiveThirtyEight
One must bow to Silver’s 538 calls on the election. He predicted the winner in 2008 and 2012……. But most impressively his predictions of percent of votes of the candidates was spot on……..a better finding than what the best poll measured……..
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Gives Clinton An 80 Percent Chance Of Winning The Presidency
Silver correctly called 48 of 50 states in 2008 and accurately called all 50 states in the 2012 election.
According to Silver’s forecast model, Hillary Clinton has an 80 percent chance of becoming the next president. “Trump faces longer odds and a bigger polling deficit than John McCain and Mitt Romney did at the same point in their respective races,” Silver wrote on Wednesday.
According to the new forecast, Clinton is favored to carry all of the so-called swing states. She also has a better than 50 percent chance of winning Arizona, something not done by a Democrat since 1996…..
As of today, Silver predicts that Clinton would carry upwards of 350 electoral votes compared to Trump’s 183 and win the popular vote by almost eight points.
SEE:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Donald Trump Has A 20 Percent Chance Of Becoming President | FiveThirtyEight
One must bow to Silver’s 538 calls on the election. He predicted the winner in 2008 and 2012……. But most impressively his predictions of percent of votes of the candidates was spot on……..a better finding than what the best poll measured……..