- Joined
- Aug 4, 2019
- Messages
- 171
- Reaction score
- 57
- Location
- Atlanta, Ga
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Very Liberal
THESE ARE WHAT I BELIEVE TO BE THE REASONS WHY TRUMP WON IN 2016 AND WHY HE WILL NOT WIN IN 2020.
#1 Hillary had 25 years of political baggage, she could not overcome enough people's negative impression of her, whether justified or not...
#2 Her primary fight with Bernie turned nasty and his supporters stayed home on election day out of spite.
#3 Most of her party thought she already had the election in the bag, all the polls showed her comfortably winning, so many dems just were complacent and stayed home as well.
#4 Comey going public with the re-opening of the investigation into the email scandal just days before the election, if he had waited till after election day, that uneasiness the public felt about the whole matter may have dissipated.
#5 Trump's team went hard for the strategic electoral victory over the popular vote, and because of 1-4, it just happened to be enough to work. ..
#6 The biggest reason of all....Very few democrats and most independants did not take his chances of winning very seriously, and many more stayed home. That gave his very enthusiastic base the opportunity to win as they showed up in greater numbers where it counted than did the stay at home dems. .....................
Looking ahead to the 2020 election.... #1-5 were pretty specific to that election, and will not affect the outcome of the next one in measurable way......
The relevancy and importance of #6 however, cannot be overstated.
There is no other issue as important to the members of the Democratic party and those left leaning independents than the ability of their candidate to beat Trump, nothing else even comes close.
There is no complacency to be found anywhere on the left, three years of Presidential decrees via 5 am tweet storms of misinformation have only added to the anger and the frustration of watching Trump seemingly get away with lawless act after lawless act, protected only by the office he holds,
waiting for the reckoning of an impeachment that seemed imminent for years but never materialized while watching him win at running down the clock,
The list of grievances against Trump is a long as the growing list of his lies that now total over well over a thousand,
Complacency on the part of a disinterested Democratic party sitting at home with their head in the sand will not be a factor in 2020, angry democrats storming to the polls, however, will.
#1 Hillary had 25 years of political baggage, she could not overcome enough people's negative impression of her, whether justified or not...
#2 Her primary fight with Bernie turned nasty and his supporters stayed home on election day out of spite.
#3 Most of her party thought she already had the election in the bag, all the polls showed her comfortably winning, so many dems just were complacent and stayed home as well.
#4 Comey going public with the re-opening of the investigation into the email scandal just days before the election, if he had waited till after election day, that uneasiness the public felt about the whole matter may have dissipated.
#5 Trump's team went hard for the strategic electoral victory over the popular vote, and because of 1-4, it just happened to be enough to work. ..
#6 The biggest reason of all....Very few democrats and most independants did not take his chances of winning very seriously, and many more stayed home. That gave his very enthusiastic base the opportunity to win as they showed up in greater numbers where it counted than did the stay at home dems. .....................
Looking ahead to the 2020 election.... #1-5 were pretty specific to that election, and will not affect the outcome of the next one in measurable way......
The relevancy and importance of #6 however, cannot be overstated.
There is no other issue as important to the members of the Democratic party and those left leaning independents than the ability of their candidate to beat Trump, nothing else even comes close.
There is no complacency to be found anywhere on the left, three years of Presidential decrees via 5 am tweet storms of misinformation have only added to the anger and the frustration of watching Trump seemingly get away with lawless act after lawless act, protected only by the office he holds,
waiting for the reckoning of an impeachment that seemed imminent for years but never materialized while watching him win at running down the clock,
The list of grievances against Trump is a long as the growing list of his lies that now total over well over a thousand,
Complacency on the part of a disinterested Democratic party sitting at home with their head in the sand will not be a factor in 2020, angry democrats storming to the polls, however, will.