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President Donald Trump's recent unhinged tirades against the late Senator John McCain are not sitting well with many Republicans and voters who might otherwise be Trump supporters. I wonder whether their unhappiness might be the first step toward a credible Republican challenge for the 2020 nomination? Just a thought.
Silence at army tank factory as Trump rips McCain
The president excoriates Sen. John McCain at length during a speech at a tank factory in Lima, Ohio, where the audience went silent during the attack.
Mitch McConnell distances himself »
Trump supporters make up a huge majority of the Republican base. 64% of all Republicans view Trump very favorably. 17% somewhat favorably. throw the somewhats out, that leave 64% of the Republican base strongly in the Trump camp, call them avid Trumpers. Question 49A.
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/civrx2u2zk/econTabReport.pdf
Then drop to question 66, run for reelection, 74% of Republicans want him to run again, 17% do not. With three quarters of Republicans wanting Trump again in 2020, a challenger to him in the GOP primaries is going nowhere. I'd say if Trump wants to run again, even if challenged, he'll be an easy winner for the nomination. Now the general election is more problematic. Only 28% of independents want Trump to run again, 50% say no way. 35% of independents view Trump favorably, 52% unfavorably. It gets worse for Trump when one goes to the strongly held opinion of him among independents. Only 21% of independents have a very favorable view of Trump vs. 40% who have a very unfavorable view of Trump. Not good news for Trump and the Republican Party. The GOP is still the smaller of the two major parties, making winning the independent vote a must.
With those kind of numbers, unless the democrats nominate another Hillary Clinton type candidate, he isn't going to win independents in 2020.