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Is Trump Creating an Opening for a Republican Challenger?

Jack Hays said:
President Donald Trump's recent unhinged tirades against the late Senator John McCain are not sitting well with many Republicans and voters who might otherwise be Trump supporters. I wonder whether their unhappiness might be the first step toward a credible Republican challenge for the 2020 nomination? Just a thought.



Silence at army tank factory as Trump rips McCain

The president excoriates Sen. John McCain at length during a speech at a tank factory in Lima, Ohio, where the audience went silent during the attack.
Mitch McConnell distances himself »
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Trump supporters make up a huge majority of the Republican base. 64% of all Republicans view Trump very favorably. 17% somewhat favorably. throw the somewhats out, that leave 64% of the Republican base strongly in the Trump camp, call them avid Trumpers. Question 49A.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/civrx2u2zk/econTabReport.pdf

Then drop to question 66, run for reelection, 74% of Republicans want him to run again, 17% do not. With three quarters of Republicans wanting Trump again in 2020, a challenger to him in the GOP primaries is going nowhere. I'd say if Trump wants to run again, even if challenged, he'll be an easy winner for the nomination. Now the general election is more problematic. Only 28% of independents want Trump to run again, 50% say no way. 35% of independents view Trump favorably, 52% unfavorably. It gets worse for Trump when one goes to the strongly held opinion of him among independents. Only 21% of independents have a very favorable view of Trump vs. 40% who have a very unfavorable view of Trump. Not good news for Trump and the Republican Party. The GOP is still the smaller of the two major parties, making winning the independent vote a must.

With those kind of numbers, unless the democrats nominate another Hillary Clinton type candidate, he isn't going to win independents in 2020.
 
Kobie said:
The far right has a way higher body count of late, so maybe you should hop off of that high horse, fella.
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No they don’t. Or is this eco socialist who said he doesn’t like Trump and conservatives now suddenly a right wing terrorist?
 
Jack Hays said:
I don't think a judgment can be made with confidence until we have the Mueller Report in hand.
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Perhaps not entirely, but much of it has been verified. And none of it has be disproven yet.
 
EnigmaO01 said:
Not true. Many of us had differences on policy but we never stooped to denigrate his service and sacrifice in the Hanoi Hilton.
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In other words, you supported McCain as long as he was showing his own disdain for Trump ... and you like him even more because Trump clearly doesn't.
 
Perotista said:
Trump supporters make up a huge majority of the Republican base. 64% of all Republicans view Trump very favorably. 17% somewhat favorably. throw the somewhats out, that leave 64% of the Republican base strongly in the Trump camp, call them avid Trumpers. Question 49A.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/civrx2u2zk/econTabReport.pdf

Then drop to question 66, run for reelection, 74% of Republicans want him to run again, 17% do not. With three quarters of Republicans wanting Trump again in 2020, a challenger to him in the GOP primaries is going nowhere. I'd say if Trump wants to run again, even if challenged, he'll be an easy winner for the nomination. Now the general election is more problematic. Only 28% of independents want Trump to run again, 50% say no way. 35% of independents view Trump favorably, 52% unfavorably. It gets worse for Trump when one goes to the strongly held opinion of him among independents. Only 21% of independents have a very favorable view of Trump vs. 40% who have a very unfavorable view of Trump. Not good news for Trump and the Republican Party. The GOP is still the smaller of the two major parties, making winning the independent vote a must.

With those kind of numbers, unless the democrats nominate another Hillary Clinton type candidate, he isn't going to win independents in 2020.
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Thanks. Lots of knowledge, as usual.
 
EnigmaO01 said:
Perhaps not entirely, but much of it has been verified. And none of it has be disproven yet.
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All we know is what has been made public. The information not yet made public could verify or change everything.
 
Jack Hays said:
All we know is what has been made public. The information not yet made public could verify or change everything.
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The "I could shoot a person on fifth avenue" statement wasn't a figure of speech. Your comments in this thread lead me to believe that you've underestimated the significance of populism.
 
EnigmaO01 said:
Actually much of it has been verified and none disproven.

The Steele Dossier: A Retrospective - Lawfare
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Can you summarize the verified dossier claims that implicated Trump or his admin?
I couldn't find them at your link.
I did find statements like "does not, however, corroborate" and "not yet alleged or asserted".
I did see the Don Junior meeting was mentioned as "the clearest line between the Russian government, hacked documents and the Trump campaign"... but you don't want to get into that, do you?
 
Cardinal said:
The "I could shoot a person on fifth avenue" statement wasn't a figure of speech. Your comments in this thread lead me to believe that you've underestimated the significance of populism.
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Populism is a powerful force both within and beyond the US.

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[h=1]Zero to Hero: Brand New Climate Skeptic Party Now the Largest Group in the Dutch Senate[/h][FONT=&quot]Guest essay by Eric Worrall A brand new Dutch climate skeptic party has swept the field in its first election. New Populist Party Goes from Zero Seats to Largest Party in Dutch Election OLIVER JJ LANE21 Mar 2019 A new populist, Eurosceptic party has achieved the remarkable feat of going from zero seats to becoming…
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Cardinal said:
The "I could shoot a person on fifth avenue" statement wasn't a figure of speech. Your comments in this thread lead me to believe that you've underestimated the significance of populism.
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Hyperbole is a form of figure of speech.
 
William Weld has announced he is a candidate for the Republican nomination for President.
 
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