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Thread: My predictions for New Jersey and Virginia governors' races

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    My predictions for New Jersey and Virginia governors' races

    Pretty simple.... New Jersey will go overwhelmingly for the Democrat. In Virginia, I predict the Republican, Gillespie, will beat the Democrat, Northam, in a very close race. Problem in Virginia for Democrats, as well as most other areas of the nation, is that they don't vote, especially in off-year elections. While New Jersey is sick to death of Christie and the Republicans there, rural areas of Virginia are still high on the Republican brand, and it is these rural areas that will put Gillespie over the top. Race could still go either way, but my money is on Gillespie. Rural areas call in their results first, so Gillespie will start with a huge lead. This happened in 2013, but saw the Democrats winning when metropolitan areas counted their votes. I think Gillespie will barely hang on and win this. I believe it may even go to a recount.
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    Re: My predictions for New Jersey and Virginia governors' races

    Quote Originally Posted by danarhea View Post
    Pretty simple.... New Jersey will go overwhelmingly for the Democrat. In Virginia, I predict the Republican, Gillespie, will beat the Democrat, Northam, in a very close race. Problem in Virginia for Democrats, as well as most other areas of the nation, is that they don't vote, especially in off-year elections. While New Jersey is sick to death of Christie and the Republicans there, rural areas of Virginia are still high on the Republican brand, and it is these rural areas that will put Gillespie over the top. Race could still go either way, but my money is on Gillespie. Rural areas call in their results first, so Gillespie will start with a huge lead. This happened in 2013, but saw the Democrats winning when metropolitan areas counted their votes. I think Gillespie will barely hang on and win this. I believe it may even go to a recount.
    Murphy's message was consistent throughout the election. He tagged himself as a blue collar democrat early on and in fact the first ad he ran, I thought that sounded like a winner. I don't even know what Guadagno's message is.

    Besides all the party backs Murphy. I don't see any big Republican names backing Guadango.
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    Re: My predictions for New Jersey and Virginia governors' races

    Dave Wasserman, who's generally pretty good about this sort of thing, has called VA for Northam.
    There should be Instant Runoff Voting

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    Re: My predictions for New Jersey and Virginia governors' races

    Quote Originally Posted by danarhea View Post
    Pretty simple.... New Jersey will go overwhelmingly for the Democrat. In Virginia, I predict the Republican, Gillespie, will beat the Democrat, Northam, in a very close race. Problem in Virginia for Democrats, as well as most other areas of the nation, is that they don't vote, especially in off-year elections. While New Jersey is sick to death of Christie and the Republicans there, rural areas of Virginia are still high on the Republican brand, and it is these rural areas that will put Gillespie over the top. Race could still go either way, but my money is on Gillespie. Rural areas call in their results first, so Gillespie will start with a huge lead. This happened in 2013, but saw the Democrats winning when metropolitan areas counted their votes. I think Gillespie will barely hang on and win this. I believe it may even go to a recount.
    Don't underestimate how Democratic northern VA is. The election will go for Northam and they'll tip him over the edge.
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    Re: My predictions for New Jersey and Virginia governors' races

    Quote Originally Posted by digsbe View Post
    Don't underestimate how Democratic northern VA is. The election will go for Northam and they'll tip him over the edge.
    Holy crap. This was a blowout, and Democrats control the House of Delegates too in a massive sweep. The idea of Trump bringing down the GOP is now reality.

    I don't miss many predictions, but I missed this one by a mile.
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