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Right, I understand the math and that it very slightly in practice increases the influence for smaller states. I've just never read any informed analysis of the time that attributes more than a bit part to that small extra influence for small states in the reasons for the electoral college. The math makes it clear the big benefit of the EC versus popular vote was to slave states. That might not have been THE REASON, but the slave states made it really unthinkable to have a popular vote - they'd never have signed on because it would cede enormous additional power to 'free states' - and so a direct election wasn't (from what I read) ever on the table, understandably.
As far as I can tell the 'protect small states' theory is a modern day myth, but I'm willing to learn if you have any reading on it!
IMO a much better reason to KEEP the electoral college is the winner take all method of allocating the electoral college puts a premium on swing states with a closely divided population, as opposed to conservatives running up the score in red states and liberals out in CA and NY getting their already committed voters out in BIGGER force. The advantage there is the candidates to win 'purple' states can't be too partisan - it's a moderating influence because it requires the winner to attract those 'middle' voters in the most closely divided (i.e. moderate) states....
It's not a benefit to Tennessee either way - we're reliably red now so get just about no attention in the general election, and we're an average size state that doesn't benefit much if at all from the electoral college. My own preference, as I said, is probably to keep the EC but go to RCV - that latter will do more good than eliminating the EC, and can happen without a constitutional amendment...
All of this, you must remember, was occurring simultaneously during the Constitutional Convention. It arose during discussion leading to the Great Compromise of 1787, where not only was the Congress split into two houses, but also how many Senators and Representatives would come from each State, how Blacks would be counted, and how many Electors would exist. It is all part of the same tapestry, in order to get all the States on board.
https://www.thoughtco.com/great-compromise-of-1787-3322289Delegates from the smaller states argued that, despite their lower populations, their states held an equal legal status to that of the larger states, and that proportional representation would be unfair to them.
https://www.history.com/topics/electoral-college[T]the Committee of Eleven on Postponed Matters, which devised the electoral college system in its original form. This plan, which met with widespread approval by the delegates, was incorporated into the final document with only minor changes. It sought to reconcile differing state and federal interests, provide a degree of popular participation in the election, give the less populous states some additional leverage in the process by providing “senatorial” electors, preserve the presidency as independent of Congress, and generally insulate the election process from political manipulation.
One cannot presume that the concerns which led to the Great Compromise had no effect on the creation and composition of the Electoral College as well. Small and Medium States wanted to make sure they were not subordinate to the Large States, and this was a principle issue throughout the creation of the Constitution. You can find this in pretty much every scholarly review of the Convention and the final decisions reached on each issue.
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