I'll get back to you in November, and I will have been happy to have been wrong.Consider the source. It isn't as if the Houston Chronicle is even remotely credible.
The only time there have been more than 20 named storms during the last 173 years was in 2005. Your source is seriously over-hyping the recorded data, citing only the most extreme years.
When looking at the actual data it shows the frequency of Atlantic hurricanes making landfall has declined slightly, while the number of hurricanes that are Category 3 and above has increased slightly.
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Ignoring hurricanes that make landfall and looking at all hurricanes over the last ~40 years the number of overall hurricanes has declined slightly, while the number of major hurricanes has increased slightly.
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Yes, please do. Just the same, if it is a fail, what will you believe? Even if it is accurate within acceptable error margins, we are getting better at predicting the natural variability. The final question is, did we really cause it, or is it simply the natural changes ion solar insolation. Which has by the by, been increasing.
Yes, it has been a crisis for years. My parents moved to South Florida in 1996 and could not get insurance from any major carrier. They were forced to go with some type of multi-provider policy, and they lived 25 miles from the coast. I was insured by State Farm only because I had been with them since the 80's, but they weren't issuing new policies in my area even in 1996. It has just become progressively worse.
The odds of a hurricane hitting a certain section of coast in any given year do not really change.
Yes, it has been a crisis for years. My parents moved to South Florida in 1996 and could not get insurance from any major carrier. They were forced to go with some type of multi-provider policy, and they lived 25 miles from the coast. I was insured by State Farm only because I had been with them since the 80's, but they weren't issuing new policies in my area even in 1996. It has just become progressively worse.
There are inland areas in South Florida that no one would even dare visit when I lived there that are now being gentrified because people who lived on the coast are moving there. It is forcing lower income people out of their homes. It is called "Climate Gentrification". Take a look at the article. This is some scary stuff.
Climate Gentrification’ Will Displace One Million People in Miami Alone
'Climate Gentrification' Will Displace One Million People in Miami Alone
More than half of Miami-Dade County residents will face pressure to move as rising seas push residents inland to reach higher ground, a new study findswww.scientificamerican.com
As if a landlocked State had a clue what weather conditions in the Atlantic would be like. Next you will be trying to sell oceanfront property in South Dakota.
The bottom line is that if they used the same criteria to name storms as they did in say 1970, how many named storms would there be?
True but last year it was said the future will show more storms moving toward the east coast. I don't recall the source or time slot.
Highly subjective, but even if true, would increase the number of fish storms.
How many times do predictions actually come true?
Well, that is why they are called "predictions".
For me personally it depends on the storm and the category. I have been in the path of more hurricanes then I can remember as I live ten miles from the gulf coast. I evacuated during Hurricane Katrina, because at the time I lived at sea level and within 1000 yards of the gulf. If I had lived where I do now just ten miles from the coast, I would not have evacuated as I am nearly 200 feet above sea level and not that prone to floods. I will now only evacuate if it's mandatory or devastating wind damage is predicted, along the lines of what happened with Hurricane Andrew many years ago. On the other hand if one lives in Houston, a simple tropical storm can be devasting.
I do not agree, and live in Houston, I am not worried about tropical storms.
Fair enough. I am about 500 miles from Houston and was simply basing my thoughts on what I had heard in the news.
Same here. Though for Katrina, storm surge was an issue where I lived at the time. I lost my roof in the aftermath.
Harvey dropped 48 inches of rain at my house between Saturday Morning and Sunday Evening, and I did not flood.
