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We can look at prevalence in historical instances in places where homosexuality was not demonized and draw a logical conclusion that rates of homosexuality are flat while openness is on the rise.
Still an unclear picture. What if it was more prevalent in a given area, before our current globalization caused a spread of many traits, not just sexual orientation? Again, yes that is part of a good educated guess, and makes for a good working theory right now, it's just not a confirmable thing.