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Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

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Kandahar

Kandahar

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Who do you think will win the Republican nomination in 2012? (Not who you WANT to win.)
 
I think it's going to be Pawlenty. Judging by his performance at the debate, he's going to say all of the right things to all of the right people. It's a shame that none of the things he's saying are even remotely useful.
 
Viktyr Korimir said:
I think it's going to be Pawlenty. Judging by his performance at the debate, he's going to say all of the right things to all of the right people. It's a shame that none of the things he's saying are even remotely useful.
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I guess I would question who Pawlenty actually appeals to. By trying to be the cookie-cutter conservative candidate, I think he ends up being acceptable to most Republicans but the first choice of no one. And since primary voters are voting for the candidate that they think will be the best, that's not a winning strategy IMO.

As I see it, Pawlenty's problem is that he's just not that exciting. Every section of the Republican base has someone who they like better. The religious crowd will gravitate toward Rick Santorum, the fiscal conservatives will favor Mitch Daniels, the moderates will support Mitt Romney, and the neoconservatives (or what is left of them) will lean toward Newt Gingrich. So I'm not really sure where Pawlenty could fit into that landscape.
 
You missing the priest.. he will win if he runs. And the GOP will loose atm with pretty much anyone on the list. Personaly I am torn, since I want to see Palin for entertainment purposes, Romney to see if he can flip flop some more and Ron Paul for getting less votes than a 3rd party candidate.. but dunno... dunno!
 
no herman cain on list :(
 
Hermain Cain is the dark horse of the race I think, at first I was impressed, but he seems to just repeat a lot of Right wing rhetoric so he could get the nomination just based on that.

as for other contendors I really just can't say, Sarah and Trump probably won't run and Bachmann will be on the Yeah ****ing right she'll be elected ticket.

Gingrich too much baggage, Paul doesnt fire up the base, Romneys Health Care debacle destroys him... and the rest are just hopeless.

The GOP is gonna have a tough time this round, but you never know what could happen.
 
When it comes down to it, I think Romney has the best chance, but right now it is really hard to pick some one. They all have really strong negatives, either on positions they have taken, experience, don't generate excitement, whatever. I do think most of those on your list have a fair chance at getting the nomination.
 
I like Romney, but I don't like his chances in the primary. If he took it, I would vote for him in a heartbeat.
 
there are a couple who could win the nomination AND the election. Newt, is not one of them, he could win the nomination but has no chance of beating Obama because the blacks, the unions the teat suckers will all support Obama as will lots of upper middle class independents who are turned off by his hypocrisy and his arrogance

Romney, Pawlenty and Daniels are the three who could do both

Bachman, Paul etc are cult candidates who don't appeal to enough of the middle
 
Viktyr Korimir said:
I like Romney, but I don't like his chances in the primary. If he took it, I would vote for him in a heartbeat.
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I agree with this, but I think he'll still get waxed in the general election. McCain was the uber moderate, and he was doing much worse before he picked Palin for the VP slot. The smart money is on Obama to retain his presidency. I don't think they should waste a good candidate this election cycle and should instead remain fixed on turning around Congress. I just don't want Palin on a ticket anywhere. This board would be insufferable.
 
I voted for Pawlenty. I like what I've seen him say. Everyone else has some big negatives, either inside the party or outside the party. Problem with Pawlenty, his speaking skills are poor, he's boring. But I think he's bright, balanced and practical. But, I'm not aware of big negatives for Pawlenty, so I went with him.
 
TurtleDude said:
there are a couple who could win the nomination AND the election. Newt, is not one of them, he could win the nomination but has no chance of beating Obama because the blacks, the unions the teat suckers will all support Obama...
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Hey, I'm a welfare parasite and I am praying that the GOP will allow me to vote for them. Hell, the government pays a licensed social worker to keep track of my welfare benefits because I can't manage them myself and the benefits I'm receiving now are a Hell of a lot cheaper than keeping me institutionalized.

The thing is, there isn't a single damned thing any Republican President can do that will threaten my well-being, but if the government and the economy collapse, we're all screwed.

Besides, some of those GOP guys are starting to get dangerously close to having a rational foreign policy.

TurtleDude said:
Romney, Pawlenty and Daniels are the three who could do both
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Pawlenty disturbs me. If he has a single original thought in his head, he hides it very well. He doesn't even parrot the good right-wing talking points.

TurtleDude said:
Bachman, Paul etc are cult candidates who don't appeal to enough of the middle
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I don't think Paul appeals to anyone but Internet political junkies. He's a Libertarian who learned the secret handshake and got the GOP campaign money. He's an upstanding citizen, a true statesman and a patriot, but he doesn't actually represent anyone.
 
finebead said:
Problem with Pawlenty, his speaking skills are poor, he's boring.
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Maybe I'm judging him too harshly from a single appearance, but I don't think his problem is his speaking skills. He's boring because he's not saying anything. I can't even disagree with him properly.

At least Santorum had the good grace to piss me off.
 
Viktyr Korimir said:
Maybe I'm judging him too harshly from a single appearance, but I don't think his problem is his speaking skills. He's boring because he's not saying anything. I can't even disagree with him properly.

At least Santorum had the good grace to piss me off.
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I found him to be especially ****ing annoying.
 
Who-so-ever the sacrificial lamb is, the conservatives must be smart enough to choose the one who can do the least damage to the party.
Maybe Gingrich ??
Take one on the chin for the good of the party; the 2016 campaign will be interesting.
 
I would like to see Cain take the Republican nomination just to send the racists in our country overboard.
 
Personally I'm not overly excited about any of the current crop. The lameness is with them.

I'm actually starting to think Obama might keep his chair.
 
Goshin said:
Personally I'm not overly excited about any of the current crop. The lameness is with them.

I'm actually starting to think Obama might keep his chair.
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Anything can happen.

A single slip up in a debate, a single contraversy in a campaign can destroy a candidate in a matter of minutes in a 24 hour news cycle.

Anything can happen.
 
Viktyr Korimir said:
Hey, I'm a welfare parasite and I am praying that the GOP will allow me to vote for them. Hell, the government pays a licensed social worker to keep track of my welfare benefits because I can't manage them myself and the benefits I'm receiving now are a Hell of a lot cheaper than keeping me institutionalized.

The thing is, there isn't a single damned thing any Republican President can do that will threaten my well-being, but if the government and the economy collapse, we're all screwed.

Besides, some of those GOP guys are starting to get dangerously close to having a rational foreign policy.



Pawlenty disturbs me. If he has a single original thought in his head, he hides it very well. He doesn't even parrot the good right-wing talking points.



I don't think Paul appeals to anyone but Internet political junkies. He's a Libertarian who learned the secret handshake and got the GOP campaign money. He's an upstanding citizen, a true statesman and a patriot, but he doesn't actually represent anyone.
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Ron Paul-great message, lousy messenger
 
Goshin said:
Personally I'm not overly excited about any of the current crop. The lameness is with them.

I'm actually starting to think Obama might keep his chair.
Click to expand...

other than the danger of Sham wow appointing more childless statist- socialists to the USSC, this would work out well in furthering my ultimate goal of having my good friend win in 2016

Senator Rob Portman of Ohio-the guy the late great David Broder deemed the most likely GOP winner in 2016
 
Viktyr Korimir said:
I think it's going to be Pawlenty. Judging by his performance at the debate, he's going to say all of the right things to all of the right people. It's a shame that none of the things he's saying are even remotely useful.
Click to expand...

I totally disagree. He came off as very fake during the debate. People don't like that.
 
I predict Romney, unless Huckabee announces. Neither of them stand a chance in the general election though.
 
I'm buying into the buzz around Herman Cain.
 
You guys do realize that the ONLY person who has polls showing they can beat Obama is Ron Paul, right??

MINA Breaking News - CNN Poll: Ron Paul has best chance to beat Obama
Poll Suggests Ron Paul Can Beat Obama in 2012 - Money, Finance, Economy... Channel • Money.VideoSift: Online Video *Quality Control

So, if people just stopped with this ASSUMPTION that Paul "can't win" then not only CAN he win... but he WILL win. Of course the Ron Paul demonization campaign is going to come into full swing pretty soon.

Guy wins all the polls, all the debates, has REAL demonstrable integrity (something which makes him unique in this day), but the media won't address where he's turning heads, but instead of saying he can't win, they just report on those times that he wins and mention all others running.

It'd be like the media reporting on the super-bowl the day after without ever mentioning the winner.
 
I say Mitt Romney. If that happens, there might be a 3rd party ticket for conservatives. Then Obama would surely remain in office. :sigh:
 
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