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Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?


  • Total voters
    70
Really? Jon Kerry is the go-to guy for boring candidates, and he won the nomination over a guy who famously got a little too excited. I can't imagine that a great many people were excited by Jon McCain, either, another primary-winner. Nor do I think Pawlenty is any less exciting than either George Bush. When/if people realize that voting for Pawlenty could be the best chance they have at putting a conservative in the White House, they'll start getting excited, regardless of the candidate himself. I actually think Mitch Danliels has a lot more to lose in terms of having absolutely no charisma; from what I can tell he has even less than Pawlenty.

But Kerry and McCain were both the presumptive frontrunners from the outset. Being boring might not be crippling for a candidate with lots of name recognition who is essentially the default nominee, and just has to not screw up...but I think it's a lot more of a handicap for someone like Pawlenty, who is virtually unknown to the electorate and needs to make a case for why he should get the nomination as opposed to more familiar faces.

Maybe that challenge isn't insurmountable, but as I see it, his chances are being greatly overrated by the media and by the InTrade bettors.
 
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Yeah, i got the reference, but i thought the final contest came down to edwards v kerry?
 
really? i assumed it worked like the stock market - with some long investors and some short jumpy ones. what is Intrade's record?

Yeah there are some short/jumpy investors, but they're in the small minority for contracts with a lot of volume (like the 2012 presidential elections). The long investors tend to ignore things like fundraisers, and/or factor it into the price ahead of time.
 
Palin never declared herself a candidate or formed an exploratory committee When/if she does, she's out as a paid contributor.

She has not showed serious intention of running by forming an exploratory committee. If she had, she would not still be working for Fox! Its the same reason we knew that Huckabee was not going to run long before his annoncement of that fact.

"In an exclusive interview given to the "Los Angeles Times" Wednesday, Fox News executive vice president of legal and business affairs said the channel will make a decision on contracts with Palin and Huckabee "as soon as each of them shows some serious intention to form an exploratory committee."
Fox News’ contributor conundrum – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs

You can relax now, your man Cain will not have to worry about competing with Palin in the Primary.
 
Moderator's Warning:
Wow, I feel like I'm beginning to become a broken record here.

Haymarket and Reverend. This isn't the basement. The forum is not your private battle ground where you can wage your personal battle wherever you wish. I'm glad to see one of you have at least moved beyond your little feud and got back on topic. I suggest that after this point both of you continue in that fashion, because if it returns to the off topic back and forth action will be taken.

Also, this will be the last time I preempt such action in a thread with a general warning. You both have been warned far enough about your feuding. I'd suggest, in the future, if you dislike the little extras that one or the other says you bite your tongue and stick to the topic, because your ability to lightly address it and stay primarily on topic has seemed to be non-existant.
 
I will be happy to answer the questions about the topic but will not jump at your bait to rip into fellow posters or make this about you.

Which candidates on the list are not true belivers?

Trump believes only in himself or whatever he feels at that point in time he needs to profess belief in to get over.

Trump is not a candidate. Sorry....


Romney is probably less of the right wing True Believer than the others on the list and probably fails the criteria test.

89.....

So if he gets the nomination, is that still the case? :roll:


Pawlenty would not have been placed in that category a couple of years ago but now I have no idea if he is or is not. Time will tell.


Wow, some "list" you got there.... :roll:
 
Don't be sorry. Trump was a candidate and is on the list at the top of this page.
 
Rick Perry

Hey Mac! Hope you are enjoying Spring! I can't tell if you are kidding here or not so I'll just ask, do you really think Rick Perry will win the Republican nomination?
 
Hey Mac! Hope you are enjoying Spring! I can't tell if you are kidding here or not so I'll just ask, do you really think Rick Perry will win the Republican nomination?

Hey Cat, getting rained out.

I think it likely....Good record in Texas, solidly conservative....looks the part. I think if he throws in he has a good chance.
 
Hey Cat, getting rained out.

I think it likely....Good record in Texas, solidly conservative....looks the part. I think if he throws in he has a good chance.

Us too! Hope its not flooding your way!

If you are picking far-right conservative Rick Perry, that hasn't even said he's going to run, as the person you think will win the Republican nomination, than the old saying must be true, that hope springs eternal, even in the hearts of Conservatives! Actually, I would prefer Obama ran against a far-right candidate then I would the more likely candidate, moderate Romney.

So I hope you get your wish my friend! Try to stay dry! :sun
 
My favorite Republican candidate is Jon Huntsman. He's likable, he's smart, he's reasonable (even when I disagree with him), and he seems to have the temperament necessary to be a good president. However, the fact that *I* like him probably means he won't be the nominee. :)
 
Looked up Christie. He's soft on guns and immigration, but otherwise strikes me as a solid pick.
 
Let me go on record now: There is virtually no chance that a party whose recent nominees have included people like John McCain, George W. Bush, and Bob Dole is going to nominate the CEO of Godfather's Pizza to be their presidential candidate.

I tend to agree, but the field is so weak, that I wouldn't count it out.
 
Let me go on record now: There is virtually no chance that a party whose recent nominees have included people like John McCain, George W. Bush, and Bob Dole is going to nominate the CEO of Godfather's Pizza to be their presidential candidate.

LOL! Quick, place a bet with Barb before she comes to that realization herself!
 
You don't think it hurts the credibility of the poll that they have several people listed and chosen who aren't even running?

Nope. All the media is doing that. The ones who dropped out dropped out after the poll. I'm just glad that one included Cain.

:2dancing:
 
Let me go on record now: There is virtually no chance that a party whose recent nominees have included people like John McCain, George W. Bush, and Bob Dole is going to nominate the CEO of Godfather's Pizza to be their presidential candidate.

The media picked Mccain. not gunna happen again. :)
 
Nope. All the media is doing that. The ones who dropped out dropped out after the poll. I'm just glad that one included Cain.

:2dancing:

Enjoy Cain's 15 minutes of fame while you can Barb! Have fun with it! :sun
 
I don't know, y'all. Seriously. Stranger things have happened. I wouldn't shove Cain off the stage just yet.
 
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