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Hypothetical: $100 Game

What is your proposal?

  • $100 to me, $0 to player B

    Votes: 3 5.9%
  • $99 to me, $1 to player B

    Votes: 3 5.9%
  • $90 to me, $10 to player B

    Votes: 1 2.0%
  • $80 to me, $20 to player B

    Votes: 1 2.0%
  • $70 to me, $30 to player B

    Votes: 2 3.9%
  • $60 to me, $40 to player B

    Votes: 6 11.8%
  • $50 to me, $50 to player B

    Votes: 32 62.7%
  • $40 to me, $60 to player B

    Votes: 3 5.9%
  • $30 to me, $70 to player B

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • $20 or less to me, $80 or more to player B

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    51
But you are implying that a larger number of something is better, which is incorporating psychology again.

There can be value in something without human psychology being a factor. It can be caused by human biology, for example.

99 items of food > than 1 item of food > 0 items of food. Psychology does not have any bearing on that. Psychology would only come into play if the food was liked or not, thus altering the biological value by incorporating the psychological devaluation.

99 bullets in the chest < 1 bullet in the chest < 0 bullets in the chest. Again, Psychology isn't a factor. Psychology would only be a factor if one was suicidal and wanted to reject biological imperatives.

These examples do not incorporate human psychology, but it also shows that value can be assessed without psychology being involved.

No, Tuck. I am not saying that a greater number has more value. I am saying that a greater number is a greater number. Period. I assign no value to the numbers other than arithmetic. 99>0 because it IS. There is no inherent value to the numbers because, in their primal state, they represent nothing.

You are correct, however. Once you add value to what the numbers represent, you add human psychology to the issue. That is why I altered my position on a scenario inside a vacuum. Player B loses nothing by accepting a 100/0 split. It would be illogical for him to turn this down.
 
Player B loses nothing by accepting a 100/0 split. It would be illogical for him to turn this down.

Why? He doesn't GAIN anything by accepting a 100/0 split either. Why should he want to help Player A get some money, when Player A has already shown no interest in helping HIM get some money?
 
Even from a psychology standpoint I believe: though I give them no incentive to say yes either. 99/1 gives better odds at beating their psychology. But I have to assume they know I'm going to do what's in my best interest (at no cost to them) as I would assume in the vice versa if we won the first toss, and I would concede to the 100/0 deal if I were player B. And even if they disagree and shoot down my proposal, I still lose nothing.

IN your scenario, though, human psychology becomes a factor, because you cannot predict what the other player will do. It then becomes dependent on what you want and what that player is willing to accept, both of which are relative. This turns the game into a game of chance, rather than a game of math. You then have to figure the best odds. 50/50 would be the best odds.
 
Why? He doesn't gain anything either. Why should he want to help Player A get some money, when Player A has already shown no interest in helping HIM get some money?

You are taking the position that psychology and personality would be included. I am saying it is not. Wants and interest mean nothing in what I am describing.
 
I'm curious...would anyone's answer to the OP change if it wasn't "free money"? Suppose instead that both players paid $50 for the right to participate in this experiment.
 
You are taking the position that psychology and personality would be included. I am saying it is not. Wants and interest mean nothing in what I am describing.

It still wouldn't be illogical for him to reject a 100/0 split, as he'd be indifferent between a 100/0 and a 0/0 split.
 
One other wrinkle that might be worth considering - the setting in which the decision takes place.

I participated in studies like this all the time in undergrad in order to make some money, and the first time I ever had this scenario, my counterpart (who I never met) and I were seated at computers in different rooms. I suspect it was easier to play hardball (and to screw over the other party) when you weren't face to face.

This is an example of what happened in the Millgram Experiment. The closer or more interaction one had with another, the less likely they were to enact a punishing behavior. We see this all the time with people behaviing on the internet in ways they would NEVER behave in RL.

Milgram experiment - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 
It still wouldn't be illogical for him to reject a 100/0 split, as he'd be indifferent between a 100/0 and a 0/0 split.

Since there would be indifference, it would be illogical for him to reject the 100/0 split. There is no motivation for him to have an increase as there is no value indicated. Mathematically, he loses nothing. As you said in another post, if you add human psychology to the equation, his desire to "screw you" for being selfish could cause him to reject the 100/0 offer. Without that, there is no logic in rejecting it.
 
Since there would be indifference, it would be illogical for him to reject the 100/0 split. There is no motivation for him to have an increase as there is no value indicated. Mathematically, he loses nothing. As you said in another post, if you add human psychology to the equation, his desire to "screw you" for being selfish could cause him to reject the 100/0 offer. Without that, there is no logic in rejecting it.

There's no logic in accepting it either...yet he must do one or the other. :confused:
 
No, Tuck. I am not saying that a greater number has more value. I am saying that a greater number is a greater number. Period. I assign no value to the numbers other than arithmetic. 99>0 because it IS. There is no inherent value to the numbers because, in their primal state, they represent nothing.

You are correct, however. Once you add value to what the numbers represent, you add human psychology to the issue. That is why I altered my position on a scenario inside a vacuum. Player B loses nothing by accepting a 100/0 split. It would be illogical for him to turn this down.

It's just as illogical to accept nothing as it is to turn down nothing.

In a vacuum, with no psychological value added, it is just as illogical to offer 100/0 as it is to offer 50/50 or 0/100.

In a vacuum, the offer is related to dividing 100 units of nothing between two peopel who have no cares in any direction about gaining or losing those nothing units.
 
It's just as illogical to accept nothing as it is to turn down nothing.

In a vacuum, with no psychological value added, it is just as illogical to offer 100/0 as it is to offer 50/50 or 0/100.

In a vacuum, the offer is related to dividing 100 units of nothing between two peopel who have no cares in any direction about gaining or losing those nothing units.

Sure, in a vacuum. But this isn't a vacuum. He has a choice to help someone, at no cost to him, or do nothing. Person A had a different choice - to help 'B', but at a cost that he would lose earning potential. But person B has no earning potential at that point. The deal has been offered. So I assume that any person, if given the choice to give a stranger $100 at no cost to them, would do so. Because it does have value and it costs nothing. The idea that 'B' would want to 'screw you over' I think would make 'B' feel like scum afterwards. Did he get anything out of screwing you over? no. That's simply not the right thing to do. Person A did nothing wrong; it is natural and expected to maximize your own returns. If I were person B, I would think you were crazy if person A doesn't offer 100/0. As person A, I'll never assume that person B will be so immature and act purely on emotion.
 
Sure, in a vacuum. But this isn't a vacuum. He has a choice to help someone, at no cost to him, or do nothing. Person A had a different choice - to help 'B', but at a cost that he would lose earning potential. But person B has no earning potential at that point. The deal has been offered. So I assume that any person, if given the choice to give a stranger $100 at no cost to them, would do so. Because it does have value and it costs nothing. The idea that 'B' would want to 'screw you over' I think would make 'B' feel like scum afterwards. Did he get anything out of screwing you over? no. That's simply not the right thing to do. Person A did nothing wrong; it is natural and expected to maximize your own returns. If I were person B, I would think you were crazy if person A doesn't offer 100/0. As person A, I'll never assume that person B will be so immature and act purely on emotion.

I think the reason person B would feel gyped is because of the rules of the game. It's not merely a coin toss, 50/50, lose or win the money. The rules say that the coin toss merely decides who has what part of the power of the game. Both people knew the rules coming into the game, so person B expects person A to share the money, at least a little bit, with him. To the average person, if the rules were whoever wins the coin toss, gets the money, then it would be fair for A to get the whole 100. But since the rules add a sort of checks and balances power system to the game, then a 50/50 split is what is most seen as fair. It would be like two friends walking down the road, one sees something to the side, and points it out to his buddy. The buddy picks it up, and discovers it's 2 dollar bills. The most fair split would be seen as 1 dollar to each person. There would be valid arguments for either friend to keep all the money, but most people would see a 50/50 split as fair.
 
Sure, in a vacuum. But this isn't a vacuum.

The situation I was describing in that post was in a vacuum.

He has a choice to help someone, at no cost to him, or do nothing. Person A had a different choice - to help 'B', but at a cost that he would lose earning potential. But person B has no earning potential at that point. The deal has been offered. So I assume that any person, if given the choice to give a stranger $100 at no cost to them, would do so. Because it does have value and it costs nothing. The idea that 'B' would want to 'screw you over' I think would make 'B' feel like scum afterwards. Did he get anything out of screwing you over? no. That's simply not the right thing to do. Person A did nothing wrong; it is natural and expected to maximize your own returns. If I were person B, I would think you were crazy if person A doesn't offer 100/0. As person A, I'll never assume that person B will be so immature and act purely on emotion.

Outside of a vacuum, helping the douchebag who was unwilling to help you is stupid. I think person A choosing to be greedy and selfish makes person A scum. Person B should only feel like scum if they were to accept the offer and actually assist this selfish POS is his greedy, scumbaggery.

That's the awesome thing about taking it out of a vacuum. The impetus for moral decision making is actually on Person A, not Person B.

Person A has the option to be a douche or not. Person B does not have that option. Person B only has the option to punish person A for their douchery (by rejecting the offer) or reward them for their non-douchery (by accepting it).

If Person A chooses anything but a near 50/50 split, person A is being a douche and deserves some for of punishment for their douchery. PErson B then has a moral obligation to sacrifice any potential earnings in order to punish Person A for their Douchery.
 
Perhaps this has already been covered and I missed it (though I did look):

If we are dealing in pure economics, then $99 to me and $1 to player B is the correct answer: both people turn out ahead and I, having the control would want to maximize my take. However, if we bring human psychology into it, it would depend on the personalities of the players. Probably a $50/$50 split would work most often.

The problem here is that Player A doesn't actually have any more or less control than Player B.

Player A has the right to offer a proposal, but player B has the right to reject it.

The controls are different, but are pretty much balanced.

Traditional "efficient market" economics will tell you to split it $99/$1 in your favor...but in practice that doesn't work because people are NOT rational actors, and are more than willing to waste their own money in order to screw you over. If I'm not allowed to know anything about the other person ahead of time, such as their nationality/culture/gender, then I would probably split it about $50/$50. But if I know that the experimenter is pulling other people from, say, the United States, then I'm much more likely to split it about $65/$35 in my favor.

Sure they're rational. "Rationality" does not mean "devoid of understanding of human nature."

"Logic" means "devoid of emotion."

Rationality takes into account human nature and realistic (though perhaps emotional) consequences.


The only significant advantage I can think of is that Player A gets to make the proposals at a time and place of his choosing, initiating any possibilities. Player B doesn't get that control.

What could change the situation is if they have to be sitting together at an agreed upon time and duration for any proposal to be made as well as to be rejected or affirmed. Or, if they had a time limit.

If Person B were allowed to wait on announcing his decision, that too would nullify any advantage Player A has.


If I'm not making my point, try this example (or ignore it if you get my meaning):

Player A could sit there for five minutes silently, knowing what his next proposal would be and when he would offer it. Psychologically, this gives Player A the edge as he is the instigator and Player B can only respond when Player A relinquishes control.

This would be an edge simply because it might cause player B more stress or test his patience more.

On the other hand, Player B could wait for A to make a proposal and then do the same thing back; refuse to answer until a time and place of his choosing, knowing what his answer will be and when it will come, and that Player A can't make another proposal until this one is accepted or declined.

If there's a time limit on the negotiations, then that completely negates any power either of them have to control each other, emotionally or otherwise.

Likewise if the negotiations can be ongoing over a long period, but both must schedule and agree to the times for negotiations, there is no advantage for either side.

The only edge Player A gets is one of perception, and only at first. Shortly after that the same advantage is given to Player B - although if Player B doesn't realize he has that advantage it can be lost - but then again the same is true of Player A.




The actual good sense economic model here is to maximize efficiency, make the most profit possible, and to do a cost/benefit analysis.

The real and accurate answer would be to maximize profit as quickly as possible and get on to other things. If this deal can be made in 10 seconds, then it's very profitable indeed. If it takes an hour, the profitability is greatly reduced for all parties. If it takes more than an hour, it probably actually cost the Players something to be there and they both lose.

The best answer from an intelligent economist would be to offer the 50-50 split right out the gate, to maximize profit in the shortest period of time, reducing the cost of a cost/benefit calculation - thus amplifying the benefit.



A fast, neat, efficient, 50-50 deal is actually what is in the best interest of both parties, and not by "just a little bit."
 
If I lost the coin toss and my 'opponent' offered 100/0, I would say no out of sheer spite to punish him/her for being a twat. UNLESS, I really thought they needed the money much more than I did. But even then, I'd consider saying no out of spite because needing the money isn't a reason to be a twat. LOL
 
If I lost the coin toss and my 'opponent' offered 100/0, I would say no out of sheer spite to punish him/her for being a twat. UNLESS, I really thought they needed the money much more than I did. But even then, I'd consider saying no out of spite because needing the money isn't a reason to be a twat. LOL

And while this would be an emotional response, it's not irrational. It's what most of us would expect as a likely outcome - so to take it into account is actually far more rational than dismissing it.

Which is why anyone with the sense God gave a goose simply offers the fair deal from the get-go.

"Logic" is a different word from "rational." There's a reason for that; they mean different things.
 
And while this would be an emotional response, it's not irrational. It's what most of us would expect as a likely outcome - so to take it into account is actually far more rational than dismissing it.

Which is why anyone with the sense God gave a goose simply offers the fair deal from the get-go.

"Logic" is a different word from "rational." There's a reason for that; they mean different things.

It's perfectly logical as well, if one believes in the premise that punishment for twattery is a necessary aspect of a functional society. :mrgreen:
 
The situation I was describing in that post was in a vacuum.



Outside of a vacuum, helping the douchebag who was unwilling to help you is stupid. I think person A choosing to be greedy and selfish makes person A scum. Person B should only feel like scum if they were to accept the offer and actually assist this selfish POS is his greedy, scumbaggery.

That's the awesome thing about taking it out of a vacuum. The impetus for moral decision making is actually on Person A, not Person B.

Person A has the option to be a douche or not. Person B does not have that option. Person B only has the option to punish person A for their douchery (by rejecting the offer) or reward them for their non-douchery (by accepting it).

If Person A chooses anything but a near 50/50 split, person A is being a douche and deserves some for of punishment for their douchery. PErson B then has a moral obligation to sacrifice any potential earnings in order to punish Person A for their Douchery.

Are you incapable of making a point without such crude language? really?

Anyway - I understand your belief. You believe the money should be split. I believe that any person not doing what is best for them is a fool. That doesn't mean not to split the money if that's what's best. It means trying to maximize utility. If it makes them feel good to split it, then so be it, that' s a consideration. But if their goal is to maximize profit, then I say go 100/0. But so many people say they wouldn't give A the money in that case. But I don't believe it.

I believe that a person in B's situation should be willing to look at the two scenario's if offered 100/0 - either I get nothing and A gets nothing OR I get nothing and A gets $100. They end up the same either way. They don't 'balance' anything. The game is to maximize your profit. Person A is trying to do just that. Person B has no say in how much profit they get. So why wouldn't they respect person A's game of maximizing the profit? I have a feeling that person B would be a good person and give person A the money understanding his intent to maximize.

In Person A's case, by giving Person B money, he takes away money from himself. In Person B's case, he gives up nothing to give to person A. If anything, I would think Person B would be more immoral for not giving the money at the cost of nothing than person A not giving money due to the cost of money.

And simply calling person A names and saying bad things about him for not agreeing with you in a situation other than 50/50 split isn't a sound argument.
 
If I lost the coin toss and my 'opponent' offered 100/0, I would say no out of sheer spite to punish him/her for being a twat. UNLESS, I really thought they needed the money much more than I did. But even then, I'd consider saying no out of spite because needing the money isn't a reason to be a twat. LOL

In order to give you money, Person A has to give up his own potential money. He has a valid reason for not giving you money in a 100/0 example. To maximize his profit.

Your reason is 'sheer spite to punish him'. I don't understand why people wouldn't understand Person A's desire to maximize profit. If I were person B, I would be sad that I get no money, but not surprised. That's the way the world works. And I would definately, without hesitation, give Person A the deal. He won the coint toss and did what was best for him - can't blame him for that IMO.
 
Are you incapable of making a point without such crude language? really?

Anyway - I understand your belief. You believe the money should be split. I believe that any person not doing what is best for them is a fool. That doesn't mean not to split the money if that's what's best. It means trying to maximize utility. If it makes them feel good to split it, then so be it, that' s a consideration. But if their goal is to maximize profit, then I say go 100/0. But so many people say they wouldn't give A the money in that case. But I don't believe it.

I believe that a person in B's situation should be willing to look at the two scenario's if offered 100/0 - either I get nothing and A gets nothing OR I get nothing and A gets $100. They end up the same either way. They don't 'balance' anything. The game is to maximize your profit. Person A is trying to do just that. Person B has no say in how much profit they get. So why wouldn't they respect person A's game of maximizing the profit? I have a feeling that person B would be a good person and give person A the money understanding his intent to maximize.

In Person A's case, by giving Person B money, he takes away money from himself. In Person B's case, he gives up nothing to give to person A. If anything, I would think Person B would be more immoral for not giving the money at the cost of nothing than person A not giving money due to the cost of money.

And simply calling person A names and saying bad things about him for not agreeing with you in a situation other than 50/50 split isn't a sound argument.

I think you just made Tucker's case for him though. There is a certain expected social order of sharing. The logic of that order, is that, if followed, people will be more giving and society will function more smoothly as a result. Also, as a part of the logic of that order, enforcement must happen through punishment on a one to one basis. Basically, if you do not adhere to this social order than the other person is right to punish you as a result. I personally believe this social function is a matter of instinct and is a major reason that the preferred libertarian social order would not work. People are not wholly self maximizers nor are they wholly sharers.

You obviously do not agree with this, or at least I do not think you agree based on your previous posts. However, for such a social order to remain functional, it must be utilized in these sorts of situations. Given that, I see Tucker's response as perfectly logical because it enforces a better (in my opinion) society.
 
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Your reason is 'sheer spite to punish him'. I don't understand why people wouldn't understand Person A's desire to maximize profit. If I were person B, I would be sad that I get no money, but not surprised. That's the way the world works. And I would definately, without hesitation, give Person A the deal. He won the coint toss and did what was best for him - can't blame him for that IMO.

Then I want to play games with you.

For money.

Lots of it.

The coin toss was not agreed upon to determine the split of the money or the winner of the money. It was simply to determine the roles each would have.

If you would honestly take that deal... You're my new best friend.
 
In order to give you money, Person A has to give up his own potential money. He has a valid reason for not giving you money in a 100/0 example. To maximize his profit.

Your reason is 'sheer spite to punish him'. I don't understand why people wouldn't understand Person A's desire to maximize profit. If I were person B, I would be sad that I get no money, but not surprised. That's the way the world works. And I would definately, without hesitation, give Person A the deal. He won the coint toss and did what was best for him - can't blame him for that IMO.

Here's the difference between you and me: I can and WILL blame person A for being a twat. Why would I want to reward someone for that? I wouldn't. So, no money for them. They find it ok to make sure I don't get any money, I find it okay to do the same to them in return. :) After all, the results of the coin-toss say that I have that power. I am the one who decides. And when faced with punishing or rewarding a jerk, I'm going to go with punishing them.
 
I think you just made Tucker's case for him though. There is a certain expected social order of sharing. The logic of that order, is that, if followed, people will be more giving and society will function more smoothly as a result. Also, as a part of the logic of that order, enforcement must happen through punishment on a one to one basis. Basically, if you do not adhere to this social order than the other person is right to punish you as a result. I personally believe this social function is a matter of instinct and is a major reason that the preferred libertarian social order would not work. People are not wholly self maximizers nor are they wholly sharers.

You obviously do not agree with this, or at least I do not think you agree based on your previous posts. However, for such a social order to remain functional, it must be utilized in these sorts of situations. Given that, I see Tucker's response as perfectly logical because it enforces a better (in my opinion) society.

Ahhh- now I feel like I am reading your argument for the first time. It makes sense to me and thank you for sticking with me. You're 100% correct that I disagree with the social order you suggest. And that my social order would be more honest and better, but that is just my opinion. Truly, I believe we should do what is best for ourselves always. I also believe that means doing good deeds for others when appropriate and the cost to ourselves isn't greater than the benefit to ourselves (but I digress :)). But in a game over $100, my concern is only for myself. It's a game and I'm in it to win it. If it we a life-changing amount, I would certainly change my answer to a degree. And I would do this so that I could feel good about myself. But for $100, I'd take the risk as person A and as person B, I'd respect person A for making that choice (though no matter what the amount, if I were person B I wouldn't punish person A - he maximized what was important to him even if that wouldn't have been my choice in a role reversal)
 
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