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That certainly means that his VP pick has greater significance, but that doesn't mean he shouldn't run at all. A candidate should be elected on the merit of his platform.
Besides, it's unlikely that Paul would die in office, even if he were elected to two terms. The dude rides a bike ten miles a day (or so I've heard, I oughta fact-check that one).
Having a president die in office is traumatic in many ways, and it isn't something we should have to deal with if we don't have to. I would say even more worrisome than him dying in office would be if he starts to go senile. Do you really want to risk someone with senility having his finger on the button? I'm not saying he WILL go senile, but he's getting up there and it's a legitimate risk.