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Is The Pandemic Going To Claim 200,000 To One Million US Lives?

Is The Pandemic Going To Claim 200,000 To One Million US Lives?

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Moderate Right

Moderate Right

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I seriously doubt that myself. Is the pandemic going to claim that many US lives?
 
Moderate Right said:
I seriously doubt that myself. Is the pandemic going to claim that many US lives?
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We dont know yet.....but things are not going well.....our elite failed and they failed completely yet again....and thanks to these schmucks our lives are in China's hands....and they dont like us very much.

Now is the time for all good men to pray for America.
 
Too early to know for sure what will happen, too many factors still out of our control and the general populace is not exactly acting rational anyway.

It is unlikely to be as high as one million us lives lost to this but unsure about the 200,000 estimate.
 
OrphanSlug said:
Too early to know for sure what will happen, too many factors still out of our control and the general populace is not exactly acting rational anyway.

It is unlikely to be as high as one million us lives lost to this but unsure about the 200,000 estimate.
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At least a million infected
 
I predict 67 thousand.
 
Moderate Right said:
I seriously doubt that myself. Is the pandemic going to claim that many US lives?
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To date, at least according to WHO?

There have been 719,700 confirmed cases worldwide, with 33,763 deaths, in 203 nations. Coronavirus disease 2019

Of course, in the case of China and other "controlled" societies, WHO is depending on what they are willing to report.

Still, it is 4 months since the outbreak, and just a couple months more to go before "warm weather" effects on such illnesses come into play.

But I tentatively agree that "guesstimates" might be "alarmingly" overblown. It's understandable to consider worst case scenarios, but I am just not seeing it myself at this time.

I still hold to the belief we have many more people unreported with this virus who are simply feeling minor effects and "weathering through" as they would any other cold and flu season.

Time will tell.
 
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To tell the truth , I don't know but I'm praying it will be a lot less.

No matter in the opinion of this humble poster now is the time in America for all Americans to step up and join together.

All though it is true politicians may make this about politics but it is not brain surgery.
A virus spreads quickly some people still work , Healthcare providers on the front lines , truck drivers ,grocery stores ect some people volunteer to help others many people give and support the Health care industry , those that can't just stay home.

Sacrifices are given everyday by so many American people. So many One always leaves out some because not enough time or space to name them all , and these are just the average people of America.

All have one thing on their minds lets defeat this virus then let there be laughter and joy once more in America.:peace
 
vegas giants said:
According to the experts
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Well, the "experts" have revised their model. The Imperial model that came out of the UK (which many people referenced when it came out) had estimated that the U.K. would have 500,000 deaths and the U.S. something like 2-2.5 million. They have revised the U.K. numbers down to 20K, which puts us at around 80-90K. Keeping in mind that they way overestimated before, and knowing how these trends work, they are likely to still be on the high side. It's safer to be wrong high than wrong low.
 
I believe we were on track for a million deaths. I also believe that the interventions that have taken place probably has us currently on course for 200K.

I think that number will rise and fall based on what we do next. As ventilators and more PPE continue to get where they should be, that 200K will come down. Trump extended the precautions he put in place I think that will help. State governors are taking more and more steps every day so that will help as well. And just as importantly people are currently taking more seriously than before. That is going to matter as well.

So I think that our current projection for 200K is accurate for today but I also think that number will be coming down a bit.
 
Kreton said:
I believe we were on track for a million deaths. I also believe that the interventions that have taken place probably has us currently on course for 200K.

I think that number will rise and fall based on what we do next. As ventilators and more PPE continue to get where they should be, that 200K will come down. Trump extended the precautions he put in place I think that will help. State governors are taking more and more steps every day so that will help as well. And just as importantly people are currently taking more seriously than before. That is going to matter as well.

So I think that our current projection for 200K is accurate for today but I also think that number will be coming down a bit.
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I generally agree with those assumptions
 
Captain Adverse said:
To date, at least according to WHO?

There have been 719,700 confirmed cases worldwide, with 33,763 deaths, in 203 nations. Coronavirus disease 2019

Of course, in the case of China and other "controlled" societies, WHO is depending on what they are willing to report.

Still, it is 4 months since the outbreak, and just a couple months more to go before "warm weather" effects on such illnesses come into play.

But I tentatively agree that "guesstimates" might be "alarmingly" overblown. It's understandable to consider worst case scenarios, but I am just not seeing it myself at this time.

I still hold to the belief we have many more people unreported with this virus who are simply feeling minor effects and "weathering through" as they would any other cold and flu season.

Time will tell.
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It just hit me what warm weather has to do with this. If a person is infected and sneezes or coughs, warm weather dries up the droplets very fast.

Evade areas where a person sneezed or coughed for a period of time yet to be disclosed. It has to vary with ambient temperature.
 
Fishking said:
Well, the "experts" have revised their model. The Imperial model that came out of the UK (which many people referenced when it came out) had estimated that the U.K. would have 500,000 deaths and the U.S. something like 2-2.5 million. They have revised the U.K. numbers down to 20K, which puts us at around 80-90K. Keeping in mind that they way overestimated before, and knowing how these trends work, they are likely to still be on the high side. It's safer to be wrong high than wrong low.
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Fauci says 100,000
 
Robertinfremont said:
It just hit me what warm weather has to do with this. If a person is infected and sneezes or coughs, warm weather dries up the droplets very fast.

Evade areas where a person sneezed or coughed for a period of time yet to be disclosed. It has to vary with ambient temperature.
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Dry air actually allows the droplets to travel further. Humid air blocks the transmission with moisture.
 
I don't believe we're getting the real numbers anymore here than they did in China.
 
Hawkeye10 said:
We dont know yet.....but things are not going well.....our elite failed and they failed completely yet again....and thanks to these schmucks our lives are in China's hands....and they dont like us very much.

Now is the time for all good men to pray for America.
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Pray? Seriously?
 
vegas giants said:
According to the experts
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yes, let's just believe those in authority and the so called "experts"

One of those "experts", Dr. Fauci just a month ago said the "Death toll will be 2% if you just do the math" and now other "experts say it will be 0.66 which is a 65% LESS death toll than he said.

I'm fine with those who have expertise in a certain field but here we have one that should have learned math. I said long ago that the death toll is not going to be anywhere near what the "experts" said. This is why I don't believe when someone says a certain "expert" said so and so because that is just believing someone because they have a few initials after their name. I do my own checking.
 
Paradoxical said:
yes, let's just believe those in authority and the so called "experts"

One of those "experts", Dr. Fauci just a month ago said the "Death toll will be 2% if you just do the math" and now other "experts say it will be 0.66 which is a 65% LESS death toll than he said.

I'm fine with those who have expertise in a certain field but here we have one that should have learned math. I said long ago that the death toll is not going to be anywhere near what the "experts" said. This is why I don't believe when someone says a certain "expert" said so and so because that is just believing someone because they have a few initials after their name. I do my own checking.
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Who did you check with? Duh
 
Governor's are stepping up, the Federal Government not so much.

th
 
grip said:
Dry air actually allows the droplets to travel further. Humid air blocks the transmission with moisture.
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And it might be why states like humid Florida fare better than drier locations in the north and west.
 
Here is the reality of what we are all facing together. It is highly contagious, very few of us know if we are carriers, if you get it, 2-3% will die a miserable death. There is no vaccine and being on ventilators or respirators only has about a 50/50 chance of survival. It spreads easily. So there are 300 million of us and more. Millions are senior citizens. Millions are former or current smokers. Millions have some history of lung disease or disorder. We will not have a vaccine in at least a year. So, estimates about the number of deaths is simply a numbers game at this point. Will it be 100k, 200k or millions? It all depends upon our behavior over the next few months.
 
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