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Trump, where to get 2% to win reelection?

Where to get the 2% needed to win reelection?

  • hope economy stays good

    Votes: 2 10.5%

  • hope democrats pick a leftist

    Votes: 5 26.3%

  • hope trade war is over

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • hope no new controversies

    Votes: 1 5.3%

  • keep mouth shut

    Votes: 2 10.5%

  • stay off of twitter

    Votes: 1 5.3%

  • no pardon for Stone

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • no more kids in cages

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • other (pleas specify)

    Votes: 8 42.1%
  • Total voters
    19
  • Poll closed .
swing_voter

swing_voter

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Gallop has Trump at 49% approval for a long time now.

Trump Job Approval Steady at 49%

Where to get the 2% needed to win reelection?

Forgot to click multiple choice. You can post your opinions.
 
swing_voter said:
Gallop has Trump at 49% approval for a long time now.

Trump Job Approval Steady at 49%

Where to get the 2% needed to win reelection?

Forgot to click multiple choice. You can post your opinions.
Click to expand...

Bernie sanders wins the democratic nomination. Should lock it up for Trump if he can stop tweeting for a few months.
 
Got it now and more to spare. Why worry?

washunut said:
Bernie sanders wins the democratic nomination. Should lock it up for Trump if he can stop tweeting for a few months.
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Tweeting serves a vital function and is thoroughly baked into the process now. It does not matter which of the lame Democratic options are chosen. Only a major unusual event can alter his reelection at this point.

All that said, Bernie is real and he's the middle finger. I think he waltzes to the nomination.
 
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swing_voter said:
Gallop has Trump at 49% approval for a long time now.

Trump Job Approval Steady at 49%

Where to get the 2% needed to win reelection?

Forgot to click multiple choice. You can post your opinions.
Click to expand...

I don't know if he needs 2%, right? He just needs the EC votes necessary to reach 270. That doesn't necessarily equate to popular support. Bill Clinton's first election, he had 43% of the popular vote, isn't that correct?

But I do think staying off Twitter and shutting the **** up would help him a lot. He's got a great economy going, and that's the biggest thing right there. He just needs to not be so god damned embarrassing on a daily basis. Also, stop committing crimes and corruption...that would help to.
 
It doesn't matter, because he's got the EC and he's got the 50%.
 
swing_voter said:
Gallop has Trump at 49% approval for a long time now.

Trump Job Approval Steady at 49%

Where to get the 2% needed to win reelection?

Forgot to click multiple choice. You can post your opinions.
Click to expand...

The only poll which matters is that used to allocate the 2020 EC votes. One can be super popular in CA and NY and win those states by a landslide, but that has absolutely no bearing on their ability to win (or lose) by a nose in other "swing" states. One must remember that in 2016 neither Trump nor Hillary had approval ratings over 50%, yet one of them had to be declared the winner if they got at least 270 EC votes.
 
ttwtt78640 said:
The only poll which matters is that used to allocate the 2020 EC votes. One can be super popular in CA and NY and win those states by a landslide, but that has absolutely no bearing on their ability to win (or lose) by a nose in other "swing" states. One must remember that in 2016 neither Trump nor Hillary had approval ratings over 50%, yet one of them had to be declared the winner if they got at least 270 EC votes.
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True statement. It is a 2 party system. Trump and Clinton were the two worst candidates ever put forth. It was a dark day in the history of America when it was determined that those two were the best we had to offer. Not looking like 2020 will be any different.
 
If it is up to the Electorial College, republicans have a clear advantage in the Electorial College.


If what you say is true, the election is over before it started.
 
swing_voter said:
Gallop has Trump at 49% approval for a long time now.

Trump Job Approval Steady at 49%

Where to get the 2% needed to win reelection?

Forgot to click multiple choice. You can post your opinions.
Click to expand...

False premise, job approval is not a direct correlation to votes. Besides, majority of votes doesn't mean you win in the Senate, or the presidential election.
 
swing_voter said:
Gallop has Trump at 49% approval for a long time now.

Trump Job Approval Steady at 49%

Where to get the 2% needed to win reelection?

Forgot to click multiple choice. You can post your opinions.
Click to expand...

He would need to pick up about 5 or 6% nationally to be effectively guaranteed (90+%) a victory. At this point, he doesn't need to do anything different though. The dems are skidding on the ice.
 
Praxas said:
Keep telling yourself that. A rally of 14,000 people compared to 2,581,426 people that voted in the 2018 election in Colorado. But please use the rally as the determination. :lamo
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Thank you, Colorado! Data: ��

✅ 71,984 Tickets

✅ 38,790 Voters Identified (94% from CO)

✅ 19% Didn’t Vote in 2016 (7,286 voters!!!)

✅ 17% Democrats

Brad Parscale - Home | Facebook
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He does this EVERYWHERE he goes.

This morning in Las Vegas: Team Trump - YUGE crowd forming outside of the Las Vegas...
 
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Mycroft said:
He does this EVERYWHERE he goes.

This morning in Las Vegas: Team Trump - YUGE crowd forming outside of the Las Vegas...
Click to expand...

I'll give you the 14,000 was actually from Phoenix (I was incorrect there), however the attendance was still estimated at 20,000 for Colorado Springs. Tickets don't matter, attendance does. For all we know Trump campaign bought the rest of the tickets.

20,000 is still 0.7% of the voters that voted in the 2018 election in Colorado. Just for ****s and giggles, if I use your count of 72,000 that still only amounts to 2.7% using your high estimate. Again, if you want to bet the farm on that, go right ahead.

According to Denver Post, up to 20,000 people attended the rally in Colorado Springs today. If local police release an official estimate, we will update the story with those numbers.
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How Many Attended Trump’s Colorado Rally? Crowd Photos | Heavy.com

As for the high rally, he is the Republican nominee when there is a huge field of Dems yet. He is the ONLY Republican running of course his rallies are going to be larger. Obama's rallies were larger in 2012 around the same time the Republicans were fighting it out. Care to guess why? Same reason I just showed for Trump.
 
Praxas said:
I'll give you the 14,000 was actually from Phoenix (I was incorrect there), however the attendance was still estimated at 20,000 for Colorado Springs. Tickets don't matter, attendance does. For all we know Trump campaign bought the rest of the tickets.

20,000 is still 0.7% of the voters that voted in the 2018 election in Colorado. Just for ****s and giggles, if I use your count of 72,000 that still only amounts to 2.7% using your high estimate. Again, if you want to bet the farm on that, go right ahead.



How Many Attended Trump’s Colorado Rally? Crowd Photos | Heavy.com

As for the high rally, he is the Republican nominee when there is a huge field of Dems yet. He is the ONLY Republican running of course his rallies are going to be larger. Obama's rallies were larger in 2012 around the same time the Republicans were fighting it out. Care to guess why? Same reason I just showed for Trump.
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That 20,000 is just the people who got inside the World Arena.

These are the people who didn't get into the Arena...but they still stood outside in below freezing temps to see the rally on the big screen.

ERT8TikWoAEN-l8.jpg

Again...this is what happens EVERYWHERE Trump goes.

Let me know when any Dem candidate gets these kinds of numbers. It didn't happen in 2016...and it won't happen in 2020.
 
Mycroft said:
That 20,000 is just the people who got inside the World Arena.

These are the people who didn't get into the Arena...but they still stood outside in below freezing temps to see the rally on the big screen.


Again...this is what happens EVERYWHERE Trump goes.

Let me know when any Dem candidate gets these kinds of numbers. It didn't happen in 2016...and it won't happen in 2020.
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I already explained why the large numbers. Trump is the incumbent, of course he is going to get larger numbers than a Dem field who are still in the primaries. What is so hard for you to understand? But hey, if you want to be a cult worshiper that is on you.
 
Praxas said:
I already explained why the large numbers. Trump is the incumbent, of course he is going to get larger numbers than a Dem field who are still in the primaries. What is so hard for you to understand? But hey, if you want to be a cult worshiper that is on you.
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Sorry, but it's not about him being the incumbent. It's about him being Trump.

He was getting the same crowds...and the same overflow crowds back in 2016...even BEFORE he became the Republican nominee.

As I said...he don't need no stinkin' 2%. He's won already.
 
Mycroft said:
Sorry, but it's not about him being the incumbent. It's about him being Trump.

He was getting the same crowds...and the same overflow crowds back in 2016...even BEFORE he became the Republican nominee.

As I said...he don't need no stinkin' 2%. He's won already.
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The swing states he won in, he won by a small margin. But go ahead and tell yourself that rallies matter. It will be enjoyable to shove it in all the Trump supporters faces when he loses.
 
Black voters.
 
This conversation is interesting. But, it will become a lot more serious and more fun next month when more primary results are in.
I am anticipating and hoping for a Bloomberg comeback to show Warren and Bernie that non-Leftist policies can win the day and give the voters a more promising alternative to two unlikable candidates.
But if Bernie succeeds in winning the nomination there is no question that Trump is the better alternative to someone who willingly wants to overturn our successful capitalist system.
 
I voted other. Trump has not even started campaigning yet. We'll see where his numbers go from there.
 
mrjurrs said:
False premise, job approval is not a direct correlation to votes. Besides, majority of votes doesn't mean you win in the Senate, or the presidential election.
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In this case it probably does, because of all the pressure brought to drive the job approval numbers down. This is bedrock support. This 45+% will actually turn out and vote for Trump. The question is what happens to the other 50-55%.

jmotivator said:
That isn't how elections work.
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Sometimes it is. There is reason to think that this is one of those times.
 
eman623 said:
I voted other. Trump has not even started campaigning yet. We'll see where his numbers go from there.
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Wut? He's literally never stopped campaigning since being elected.

He's a completely pathological attention whore who needs rallies for self-affirmation and validation. The poor delicate thing can't live without drooling, mouth-breating adoration from revenants.
 
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