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5 Senate races- callem as ya see em

5 Senate races- callem as ya see em

  • Total voters
    8
  • Poll closed .
JANFU

JANFU

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Republican sweep except for Nevada.
 
If Democrats sweep Arizona, Nevada, and Tennessee they win the Senate, should they only lose North Dakota, and regardless of what happens in Texas.
 
brothern said:
Despite the polls showing the opposite in Arizona, North Dakota, and Florida?
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From what I understand Nelson has a slight lead in Florida. With a African American running for Governor, that may bring more minority voters to the voting booth??

Scott has pretty well tied himself at the hip with Trump, and that may cost him women voters after the Judge K hearings.
 
MovingPictures said:
If Democrats sweep Arizona, Nevada, and Tennessee they win the Senate, should they only lose North Dakota, and regardless of what happens in Texas.
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From what I recall, approx 1 month of so ago, Dems had approx a 1 in 6 chance of taking the Senate. Now it is 3 in 10?? I expect that percentage to increase as more detailed polls are completed. Could hit low to mid 40's by mid October

Throw in the daily Wild Card, Trump and who knows what he will do to increase Democratic turnout, and turn more women to the Democrats.
 
JANFU said:
From what I understand Nelson has a slight lead in Florida. With a African American running for Governor, that may bring more minority voters to the voting booth??

Scott has pretty well tied himself at the hip with Trump, and that may cost him women voters after the Judge K hearings.
Click to expand...

Florida is a tie in polling. That is an advantage to a Republican as Republicans are more reliable voters when there is no presidential election.
 
JANFU said:
From what I recall, approx 1 month of so ago, Dems had approx a 1 in 6 chance of taking the Senate. Now it is 3 in 10?? I expect that percentage to increase as more detailed polls are completed. Could hit low to mid 40's by mid October

Throw in the daily Wild Card, Trump and who knows what he will do to increase Democratic turnout, and turn more women to the Democrats.
Click to expand...

I think perhaps Dems are counting on the woman a bit too much in regards to Kavanaugh. There are a lot of women out there that would like to see Roe v Wade overturned also. Not that it is going to be overturned, but with the fearmongering going on by Dems this is now what both sides think may happen with Kavanaugh.
 
I am not following State elections.

Don't know enough to give a valid informed opinion.
 
joko104 said:
Florida is a tie in polling. That is an advantage to a Republican as Republicans are more reliable voters when there is no presidential election.
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Not always, 2006 is an example of things going the other way.

Democrats all across the country want to vote, right this second. They can't stand Trump and many of the Republicans in Congress that enable him, which will in all probability, drive them to the polls on election day. Worse still, independents oppose Trump at 65%, and that's the magic number that usually breaks toss-up races one way nationally.
 
Kal'Stang said:
I think perhaps Dems are counting on the woman a bit too much in regards to Kavanaugh. There are a lot of women out there that would like to see Roe v Wade overturned also. Not that it is going to be overturned, but with the fearmongering going on by Dems this is now what both sides think may happen with Kavanaugh.
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It is in the way Ford was treated, add in all the attacks, and that does not attract female voters.
 
brothern said:
Despite the polls showing the opposite in Arizona, North Dakota, and Florida?
Click to expand...

I don’t know what polls you’re reading because RCP averages show slight advantage for the R in ND and Scott pulling even
 
joko104 said:
Florida is a tie in polling. That is an advantage to a Republican as Republicans are more reliable voters when there is no presidential election.
Click to expand...

Could be, but the Governors race will increase the minority voters. And they are generally not Republican.
 
JANFU said:
From what I understand Nelson has a slight lead in Florida. With a African American running for Governor, that may bring more minority voters to the voting booth??

Scott has pretty well tied himself at the hip with Trump, and that may cost him women voters after the Judge K hearings.
Click to expand...


I think Nelson has gained a bit but the race still is neck-and-neck. Gillum, the black gubernatorial candidate, out-polls his republican opponent, DeSantis. Just that democratic "wave" may help Nelson and yes, Gillum may bring out more minority democrats that would help Nelson even more. Before the primary, DeSantis ran ads tying himself to Trump but he's backpedaled those. Scott also is tending to downplay the Trump connection. He's never been real popular, having won both his terms as governor by only about 1%.
 
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