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2018 election- will Dems win control of the House?

2018 election- will Dems win control of the House?


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JANFU

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2018 election- will Dems win control of the House?

Yes

No

Other-Unsure- Pls explain

My opinion is yes- From Trump to the Tax Bill will cause many Republicans to lose their CD's.
I gather/guess approx 35 or 40 R CD's are in blue States.
 
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2018 election- will Dems win control of the House?

Yes

No

Other-Unsure- Pls explain

Even if they do, it will be the same **** with a different stink.

Neither party has the inclination for putting the people before politics.
 
Even if they do, it will be the same **** with a different stink.

Neither party has the inclination for putting the people before politics.

No argument here on that - off topic but till the US reins in election donations, makes PACS illegal, the Politicians have and will turn to big money donors.

Me as I added to the OP- they will, and it will range from Trump effect to the Tax Bill passed and voted on by R's in blue States
 
2018 election- will Dems win control of the House?

Yes

No

Other-Unsure- Pls explain

My opinion is yes- From Trump to the Tax Bill will cause many Republicans to lose their CD's.
I gather/guess approx 35 or 40 R CD's are in blue States.

If Trump, Republicans and Trump supporters continue to acts abhorrently and support cruel policies, then yes, absolutely. This will keep center and left-of-center voters focused on elections like they've never been focused on anything in their lives.

The question is, will Trump continue to act abhorrently, will Congressional Republicans continue to support cruel policies, and will Trump's supporters continue to use all of this as an opportunity to mock liberals?

I voted based on the assumption that the answer to that question is "yes."

Regarding the Senate, the math is better than it was half a year ago, but it's still bad.
 
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It will be a tough struggle, but I believe the democrats will be able to capture the house.

From what I recall 24 to flip- I estimated 35-40 Repubs in blue States, how many are in high tax States where the limit on SALT will have an effect??
Add in richer cities in Repub States that have high property taxes, they will not be to happy.
 
If Trump, Republicans and Trump supporters continue to acts abhorrently and support cruel policies, then yes, absolutely. This will keep center and left-of-center voters focused on elections like they've never been focused on anything in their lives.

The question is, will Trump continue to act abhorrently, will Congressional Republicans continue to support cruel policies, and will Trump's supporters continue to take the opportunity to use all of this as an opportunity to mock liberals?

I voted based on the assumption that the answer to that question is "yes."

What 'cruel policies' are you talking about? And mocking liberals was going on long before Trump came along.
 
If Trump, Republicans and Trump supporters continue to acts abhorrently and support cruel policies, then yes, absolutely. This will keep center and left-of-center voters focused on elections like they've never been focused on anything in their lives.

The question is, will Trump continue to act abhorrently, will Congressional Republicans continue to support cruel policies, and will Trump's supporters continue to take the opportunity to use all of this as an opportunity to mock liberals?

Trump will be Trump- the next pitfall for Trump is if he has an interview with Mueller or refuses. I doubt Mueller would go for written questions.
Reading toady Georgia has a high disapproval rating for Trump. A Red State, how will that affect CD's?
 
Trump will be Trump- the next pitfall for Trump is if he has an interview with Mueller or refuses. I doubt Mueller would go for written questions.
Reading toady Georgia has a high disapproval rating for Trump. A Red State, how will that affect CD's?

I think you will have an energized blue turnout and a depressed red turnout.
 
Dems will take the House. Not so sure about the Senate given the gross imbalance in seats that rebelling defended.

In truth, I would much have it the other way around.
 
Dems will take the House. Not so sure about the Senate given the gross imbalance in seats that rebelling defended.

In truth, I would much have it the other way around.

Oh, for sure. But more has to happen before the math improves. I'm not clear on the details, but Arpaio is now running for the Senate, and if he wins the primary a serious Democratic candidate has a shot.
 
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I think you will have an energized blue turnout and a depressed red turnout.

Yes, with more women voters, and a good number crossing party lines.
 
Oh, for sure. But more has to happen before the math improves. I'm not clear on the details, but Arpaio is now running for the Senate, and if he wins the primary a serious Democratic candidate has a shot.

yes - that is a ray of hope. But the numbers on the Senate side are really lopsided to begin with and I could see the Dems taking the House by a ten seat margin the losing a couple of seats in the Senate even though they win the vast majority of the Senate seats up for election in 2018.
 
yes - that is a ray of hope. But the numbers on the Senate side are really lopsided to begin with and I could see the Dems taking the House by a ten seat margin the losing a couple of seats in the Senate even though they win the vast majority of the Senate seats up for election in 2018.

Either way, the DNC would be foolish not to treat all of the seats in the Senate as competitive, bad math or not.
 
unsure. check out this graphic :

https://www.washingtonpost.com/grap...rats-retake-the-house/?utm_term=.971fa430b0a4

it could happen, but it will most likely be tough for them to pull off. if other independents are as motivated as i am to ensure that there's a congressional safeguard against Trump, then the answer is perhaps.

Add in the sizeable number of Republicans (29)not running in the 18 election. Not sure what their election margins were.
https://ballotpedia.org/List_of_U.S._Congress_incumbents_who_are_not_running_for_re-election_in_2018

As of January 12, 2018, a total of 43 representatives will not seek re-election to their U.S. House districts.

Party breakdown:
Democratic Party 14 Democratic members of the U.S. House
and
Republican Party 29 Republican members of the U.S. House
 
yes - that is a ray of hope. But the numbers on the Senate side are really lopsided to begin with and I could see the Dems taking the House by a ten seat margin the losing a couple of seats in the Senate even though they win the vast majority of the Senate seats up for election in 2018.

It will probably come down to the qualities of the individual incumbents and their opponents.
 
The GOP has given Trump pass after pass for his OCD political fixations and embarrassing foreign policy gaffs, said nothing while innumerable social/financial/environmental protections have been scuttled, crafted healthcare bills that would have removed the essential healthcare benefits and caused 23 million Americans to lose their healthcare insurance, passed a tax giveaway for the wealthy-elite/corporations/donor-class, ballooned the deficit by $1.5 trillion dollars, insulted allies and threatened nations that did not agree with the US at the UN. The GOP also seems fine with this administration's "alternate truths" and supporting sexual predators for the US Senate.

Many in the GOP plainly see the writing on the wall and are bailing. 2018 will be a GOP bloodbath.
 
Either way, the DNC would be foolish not to treat all of the seats in the Senate as competitive, bad math or not.

I am in total agreement with that statement. They must contest every seat.

Going in there will be 33 seats up fro grabs and right now 25 of those are in Democratic hands while only 8 are held by the GOP. The Dems could win every one of their own 25 - and a few of those are more than iffy - and the GOP still lose one seat out of the 8 and the Dems still do not get control of the chamber with Pence as the tie breaker. And then the Court is severely at risk over those last two years.

But yes - they must fight the good fight and hope for the best.
 
I actually chose "Unsure".

Reason: Both sides are equally a pile of unrecognizable waste product and voters have had enough of both of them, so it's undetermined who will control the House. In the current atmosphere, 3rd Party candidates have an excellent opportunity to gain a small Congressional foothold.
 
Either way, the DNC would be foolish not to treat all of the seats in the Senate as competitive, bad math or not.

Long odds can be overcome with effort.

Contest every senate seat and run the best candidates possible, and the incumbent may find himself caught off gaurd by a tough opponent.
 
Add in the sizeable number of Republicans (29)not running in the 18 election. Not sure what their election margins were.
https://ballotpedia.org/List_of_U.S._Congress_incumbents_who_are_not_running_for_re-election_in_2018

a generic Republican will most likely have a tremendous advantage in a gerrymandered Republican district. however, yes, removing incumbency would certainly be a factor. a lot of it is going to come down whether or not those who oppose Trump show up at the polls in large numbers.
 
Either way, the DNC would be foolish not to treat all of the seats in the Senate as competitive, bad math or not.

To a point- depends upon the vote margins- polling- some are Red and will stay Red. Jones in 2020, I would say that goes back to the Republicans in 2020 unless some really big crap happens as they have been Republican for 20 years. And neither Moore or Strange will be on the ticket.
 
I definitely think they will gain seats. I have no clue if it will be enough. I generally prefer Congress and the President to be in opposition so I hope they do.
 
I definitely think they will gain seats. I have no clue if it will be enough. I generally prefer Congress and the President to be in opposition so I hope they do.

My theory is that voters put Republicans in control of congress because they "knew" that Clinton would win.
 
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