They didn't have to translate into vast Soviet gains. It was a war that could be won just by waiting until the other side bled out. It was German failures the reason the war ended earlier than had it just wore on through attrition.
Such as? I'm generally interested in hearing them. This is one of the better debates I've had over this subject.
But not without suffering irreplaceable casualties themselves. That was the earmark of German operations in the East; overreaching goals undermined by logistical shortfalls, and eventually lack of manpower. Barbarossa, Case Blue, and Citadel were all essentially the same thing; vast, sweeping offensives that asked the Ostheer to do more than it was actually capable of doing.
Considering that they had suffered an huge material and territorial loss, they definitely needed to start making lasting gains against the Axis, yet such gains didn’t occur until after the German surrender in Stalingrad.Considering the reports of cannibalism in Leningrad during the siege, among other examples, arguing that the Soviets “just had to wait the Germans out” doesn’t seem likely. The Wehrmacht still had one hell of a right hook—- the Red Army couldn’t keep taking blows indefinitely, or until the Germans ran out of men, which is as good as indefinitely.
Well, in most general terms, Stalin being killed or badly injured by a German air strike during the Battle of Moscow would have caused a level of confusion and paralysis the Soviets simply couldn’t afford at that point. Dipping further into alternate history, the distraction of a Japanese offensive into the Far East—-even one contained by the forces stationed there, which were fairly large—-could have tipped the scales against the Russians. A more sane German policy towards groups like the Ukrainians and other oft persecuted ethnicities could have caused serious problems for the Soviets, who largely didn’t have to worry about guerrillas—-there were Ukrainian insurgents, but they were ineffectual, and other such groups were either far from the front or totally silent.
The Finns being ambitious and agreeing to advance past their old border would have helped threaten the valuable ports of Murmansk and maybe even Arkhangelsk. Leningrad would still have been a meat grinder, but Finnish ski troops could have caused great havoc on the Road of Life had their hearts really been in the fight. Heck, to indulge in another alternate history scenario, the Turks being suitably convinced/threatened by German success into threatening the Soviet oil supply in the Caucasus region such as Baku could have had devastating effects.
Those are just a few idle theories though.
Well, the first Tigers and especially Panthers were in essence panic rush jobs due to the appearance of the T-34. A better vehicle might have greatly helped the Germans at Kursk. Even then, incidents like Third Kharkov showed the Germans had the ability to overcome their disadvantages.
I agree, this has been a very good debate.