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2018 Election Predictions

2018 Election Predictions - How do you think it will turn out?

  • Total voters
    48
  • Poll closed .
X Factor

X Factor

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How do you think it'll turn out? Poll incoming.
 
Well see if hate and bad publicity trumps a better economy. My guess is the dem's will pick up a few seats in he house none in the Senate.

And it's an open question whether voters will blame republicans for the increase in Obamacare premiums next year.
 
Crap, I missed the window for adding the poll. :(

My selections were 1) Repubs will lose big 2)Dems will lose more ground 3)Repubs will lose some ground but not much 4)Stays pretty much the same 5)I have no idea and 6)Some other option that should be in the poll but isn't.

I'll try to get my poll fixed but until then, gimme a number. Right now my number would be 5.
 
X Factor said:
Crap, I missed the window for adding the poll. :(

My selections were 1) Repubs will lose big 2)Dems will lose more ground 3)Repubs will lose some ground but not much 4)Stays pretty much the same 5)I have no idea and 6)Some other option that should be in the poll but isn't.

I'll try to get my poll fixed but until then, gimme a number. Right now my number would be 5.
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Id say option 3. Repubs have done a good job of gerrymandering districts. Dems candidates will get more votes overall but repubs will still have more seats. But it's hard to predict now. Things can change. Maybe Trumps popularity goes up? who knows.
 
X Factor said:
Crap, I missed the window for adding the poll. :(

My selections were 1) Repubs will lose big 2)Dems will lose more ground 3)Repubs will lose some ground but not much 4)Stays pretty much the same 5)I have no idea and 6)Some other option that should be in the poll but isn't.

I'll try to get my poll fixed but until then, gimme a number. Right now my number would be 5.
Click to expand...

Bad form to start a poll and "have no idea?"
 
X Factor said:
Crap, I missed the window for adding the poll. :(

My selections were 1) Repubs will lose big 2)Dems will lose more ground 3)Repubs will lose some ground but not much 4)Stays pretty much the same 5)I have no idea and 6)Some other option that should be in the poll but isn't.

I'll try to get my poll fixed but until then, gimme a number. Right now my number would be 5.
Click to expand...

Fixed it for you X.
 
My guess is because of the overabundance of Dem seats up in the senate, the numbers will more or less be where they are today and that means lots of Dem wins in 2018.

As far as the House goes, if things continue as they are today with Trump sinking faster each month, I would expect the Dems to pick up many seats and be within five seats of either taking the House back or just falling short.
 
2018 Election Predictions
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there are too many variables at this point to make even a semi-accurate prediction.
 
I put option three down. On average, Democrats gained about 20 seats per 8% of the vote in elections where they outperformed Republicans. That leaves the House of Representatives within striking distance of either party. If Republicans retain control of the House in 2018, it will be a startling rebuke for Democrats should that time come around.
 
Depends on who's President.
 
chuckiechan said:
Well see if hate and bad publicity trumps a better economy. My guess is the dem's will pick up a few seats in he house none in the Senate.

And it's an open question whether voters will blame republicans for the increase in Obamacare premiums next year.
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The economy was already in a solid good state and on an upwards trajectory when Trump took over.
 
This poll was unnecessarily vague. It would have been perfectly acceptable to have gone with options like "Democrats will take the House and the Senate," "Democrats will take the House but not the Senate," etc.

For my part, they'll take the House but not the Senate. As it stands, Trump is losing supporters among already Democratic states, which doesn't give the Democrats the support they need to make headway in the Senate, which is already numerically stacked against them to begin with.
 
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It is really hard to say. It depends on whether Meuller's investigation is still ongoing or not. It depends on whether Republicans embrace or run away from Trump. It depends on who the Dems put up to run in the races.
 
Thorgasm said:
It is really hard to say. It depends on whether Meuller's investigation is still ongoing or not. It depends on whether Republicans embrace or run away from Trump. It depends on who the Dems put up to run in the races.
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And if the investigation is still ongoing?
 
Hard to tell at this point, but there will almost certainly be Democrat gains as things stand; it's a question of how much.
 
Cardinal said:
And if the investigation is still ongoing?
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I think it is safe to say that republicans will stick by him until they have a smoking gun in their lap. They may lose a few seats in purple areas.
 
Thorgasm said:
I think it is safe to say that republicans will stick by him until they have a smoking gun in their lap. They may lose a few seats in purple areas.
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Oh, I see. So if the investigation is ongoing, i.e. not finished and therefore not having delivered a conclusion of crimes committed, that will be better for Republicans.
 
#3, Reps will lose some ground, but not much.

And I think the economy and Trump will actually have little to do with it. (Barring some as-yet-unforeseen nuclear-level administration boondoggle.)

I believe gerrymandering and which seats are open will play the larger role.

And really, if this doesn't demonstrate how insidious gerrymandering is, then I don't know what does.
 
chuckiechan said:
What is the incentive to vote democrat?
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As a liberal, I couldn't even tell you. The Democratic party is just as much a joke as the GOP. Unless there are individual Democratic reps that are actually championing key policy issues, I don't see how they gain anything. Dems are collectively content with an anti-Trump campaign which will bite them in the a**.

As for the poll, for now I would say it stays pretty much the same. Haven't seen anything to suggest either reps or dems gain any kind of advantage.
 
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