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This is the opposite of the other poll. Just curious.
This is the opposite of the other poll. Just curious.
This is the opposite of the other poll. Just curious.
Which, up until this last election, was losing.
This is the opposite of the other poll. Just curious.
This is the opposite of the other poll. Just curious.
The same place the Democratic Party needs to go...straight to the trash heap.
It hasn't lost since 2008.
According to Gallup the Republican Party is seen in a favorable light by 40% of all Americans vs. 45% seeing the Democratic Party favorably. But also according to Gallup, the GOP base now stands at 31% of the electorate. that is the same as the Democratic base with independents at 37% of the total electorate. You have to go back to 2010 to find a time when the GOP base was higher than it is today, back then it reached 33%. But between November of 2010 till today, the Republicans were in the mid to upper 20 percent range. The Democrats were at 35% in November of 2012. So it would seem the two parties strength is relatively even although the Democratic Party is seen in a more favorable light by all Americans as a whole although more Americans have an unfavorable view of both parties than favorable.
So the question becomes is how does the Republican Party begin to attract independents? Most independents feel that the two major parties have left them high and dry as one moves right and the other farther left. Independents are not as ideological as those who affiliate with the two major parties. They tend to be in the center, center right and center left. Not at the extremes where the two major parties are. But independents are very finicky when it comes to voting. With Trump as president, since most independents vote their pocket book, a good thriving economy would win the majority of their votes. An economy in the dumps, they will jump to the Democrats.
Most independents don't give a hoot which bathroom a transgender uses or even if a wall is built. They do care that if their job looks and feels safe, if the future looks bright to them, if their is hope for improvement in their lives. Pocket book wise and the feeling of safety. If Trump and the Republicans can accomplish this, movement ideological wise becomes irrelevant. If not, independents will be looking to return the Democrats to power. It is quite that simple.
It hasn't lost since 2008.
This is the opposite of the other poll. Just curious.
According to Gallup the Republican Party is seen in a favorable light by 40% of all Americans vs. 45% seeing the Democratic Party favorably. But also according to Gallup, the GOP base now stands at 31% of the electorate. that is the same as the Democratic base with independents at 37% of the total electorate. You have to go back to 2010 to find a time when the GOP base was higher than it is today, back then it reached 33%. But between November of 2010 till today, the Republicans were in the mid to upper 20 percent range. The Democrats were at 35% in November of 2012. So it would seem the two parties strength is relatively even although the Democratic Party is seen in a more favorable light by all Americans as a whole although more Americans have an unfavorable view of both parties than favorable.
So the question becomes is how does the Republican Party begin to attract independents? Most independents feel that the two major parties have left them high and dry as one moves right and the other farther left. Independents are not as ideological as those who affiliate with the two major parties. They tend to be in the center, center right and center left. Not at the extremes where the two major parties are. But independents are very finicky when it comes to voting. With Trump as president, since most independents vote their pocket book, a good thriving economy would win the majority of their votes. An economy in the dumps, they will jump to the Democrats.
Most independents don't give a hoot which bathroom a transgender uses or even if a wall is built. They do care that if their job looks and feels safe, if the future looks bright to them, if their is hope for improvement in their lives. Pocket book wise and the feeling of safety. If Trump and the Republicans can accomplish this, movement ideological wise becomes irrelevant. If not, independents will be looking to return the Democrats to power. It is quite that simple.
I quoted you because 2012 was a DEM federal success, though 2010, 2014 and 2016 were disasters. While GOPs had an autopsy in 2012, DEMs stupidly haven't had one since 2010. The post is taking me about an hour and is mostly for the thread but it's got some of my best stuff.
There are 5 vacant seats in the US House right now, as it stands 237-193. The link to the green papers after your post goes to 2017 and requires time to go back to previous elections or anything else.
As long as I've been using it, I found new things again tonight, such as 'close state legislative races'. Right now, I have to use another link for 'presidential vote by congressional district' as well as another link for state races in all 50 states. I can't find ALL state legislative races on this link, just the close ones.
Search REDMAP if you care to find out what GOPs did to clobber DEMs in 2010. Another great search is Chris Jankowski.
The Green Papers: United States Off Year Election 2017
It would take the rest of my life to explain everything in this site on DP and I still wouldn't come close.
I think you'll view 2012 a little differently if you go to '2012 clicks' on this site.
I think you'll find the CD maps for every state quite interesting, for example, not to mention vote totals.
This is a non-blog site and goes back to elections starting in 2000.
You lost in 2012, and would have lost in 2016 if Clinton wasn't the nominee.
Which, up until this last election, was losing.
I don't think either party are going to go away. So, let me make this prediction: the party that embraces labor, will win in the long run.
In the long run, the GOP needs to try and win more minority voters if they want to stay relevant as a party. Right now, they barely won with Trump on the strength of white voters. As the "non white" electorate grows, winning elections simply with white support won't work. I'd even go as far as to say Trump's win was a fluke. I believe the 2012 GOP autopsy was correct...and I believe the establishment GOP still believes in that autopsy report. I believe once Trump slimes his way out of office, the next GOP president will be someone like Kasich.