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Not uneducated, but without all the data you are guessing. As an engineer, I can tell you that having a single number in hand like that, you are guessing without knowing the entire policy.
This tariff doesn't exist in a vacuum, it's getting plugged into a preexisting system. Plenty of people in this thread have already shown that they know more than enough to gauge what this kind of market shift would do, and what impact it would have on other aspects of the market.