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If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?


  • Total voters
    37
  • Poll closed .

radcen

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If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

In a literal sense, "...it depends on the opponent" is the correct answer, as all things are relative. But, this question is intended to explore the man's stature in the political world in general, and how it has fallen and/or survived.
 
Mostly because he clearly relies on stupid voters. And really the republicans have no one to put up against him.
 
Maybe. I mean is he really any worse now than he was when he was re-elected just a couple years ago?
 
I said "yes, absolutely".

If there had been an option for something like, "yes, unless he ran against a very strong opponent" I would probably have taken that.

I'm not really encouraged that the Republicans have anyone who could realistically touch him in spite of his many flaws.
 
If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

In a literal sense, "...it depends on the opponent" is the correct answer, as all things are relative. But, this question is intended to explore the man's stature in the political world in general, and how it has fallen and/or survived.

Let’s rephrase the question, could a president win re-election with a 40% approval rating which the president is at today? Obama won re-election with a 52% approval rating back in 2012. There is more to it than just approval ratings as I think one must also take into consideration party affiliation/identification strength. That information I have, but it would take time to compile both approval and party affiliation. So let’s just look at the approval rating
.
Bush the second was at 53% approval when he won re-election in November of 2004, Bush won a fairly close race 51-48%. Obama’s re-election he won 51-47 with almost the identical approval rating.
Clinton was at 58% in 1996, he won easily over Bob Dole
Bush the first 1992 was at 34% and he lost decisively
Reagan 1984 was at 61% and it was no contest
Carter 1980 was at 37% and he got whopped.
Ford is more an asterisk in that he was completing Nixon’s second term, but he was at 45% when he narrowly lost to Jimmy Carter.
Nixon in 1972 was at 62% when he gave McGovern a drubbing
JFK was assassinated and LBJ decided not to run.
Eisenhower was at 68% and another easy winner

This is where presidential approval ratings end that are of any use. I think we can safely assume the closer to the 50% mark in the approval ratings the closer the election is for the winner. But every president with an approval rating of 50% or higher above won his re-election bid. We can safely assume that any president below 40% is a loser as seen in Carter and Bush the first. Ford barely lost, he was below 50% at 45%. Can we safely assume that any president at 45% approval rating or lower would lose, no. One example is just that, an example. But I do think a president running for re-election at least has to be in the upper 40’s. Perhaps 48% is the cut off, but that is just an educated guess, SWAG.

To be certain I would have to go back and add the political party affiliation to the equation. But just based on the above if President Obama was running for re-election today, he would lose.
 
I don't think so, given that his party just took a major defeat in the recent elections, had he been running in that same election, he would have been taken down by a reasonable opponent, just like most Congressmen were. The American people have realized that Obama's policies just aren't working. That doesn't mean that a Republican's policies would fare any better, or a third-party candidate's policies would far any better, but that's how American voters work. They're not happy, vote in someone else... ANYONE else... and then repeat the same process a couple of years later.
 
Maybe. I mean is he really any worse now than he was when he was re-elected just a couple years ago?

The voters think so. President Obama's approval rating was at 52% in November of 2012, today it is at 40%. I think more important than that national average is independents gave Obama a 47% approval back in 2012 vs a 36% approval today. Instead of basically splitting down the middle as Independents did in 2012, that block of voters probably would go overwhelmingly to Obama opponent today.
 
Could he? Yes. Would he? No. Just look at the posts here already. Most are evaluating whether he's actually bad enough to not warrant re-election or not. I think the country has had enough of his schtick.
 
If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

In a literal sense, "...it depends on the opponent" is the correct answer, as all things are relative. But, this question is intended to explore the man's stature in the political world in general, and how it has fallen and/or survived.


Let's see...the plurality of 2012 was about 5%.

This last election was a mixture and mid term, but a quick look at the issues says he would have a very serious problem. If, as political scientists are saying that this was a vote of objection, that voters are fed up with the stalemate in congress and are blaming the Democrats not the Republicans.

I would say, knowing what we do now as a result of that vote, Obama is much more vulnerable. Voters are not buying his act anymore, they don't believe him.

That's hard to overcome and easy to feed.
 
Yes, if the folks permitted that level of ignoring our constitution then he would be a shoe in. ;)
 
No, he wouldn't win. He disappointed a lot of his base. He didn't do anything to ingratiate himself to Republicans. He barely beat Romney. Next time would be a disaster unless he ran against some lunatic, which knowing the GOP is entirely possible.
 
No, he wouldn't win. He disappointed a lot of his base. He didn't do anything to ingratiate himself to Republicans. He barely beat Romney. Next time would be a disaster unless he ran against some lunatic, which knowing the GOP is entirely possible.
I could see it now... "Hey, Obama's vulnerable. We can get Michele Bachmann in the White House!"

Que up an Obama third term.
 
I could see it now... "Hey, Obama's vulnerable. We can get Michele Bachmann in the White House!"

Que up an Obama third term.

Oh dear doG. If she was ever elected President I would move to Canada with George Soros.
 
It would be really tough for him at this point. It's going to be even tougher for his successor. Whoever the nominee is, they'll be running to try to keep their distance from him without his political talent to make it work. Hillary Clinton is going to be looking a lot like Allison Lundergan Grimes. "DId I vote for Obama? Ummmmmmm."
 
If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

In a literal sense, "...it depends on the opponent" is the correct answer, as all things are relative. But, this question is intended to explore the man's stature in the political world in general, and how it has fallen and/or survived.
I say maybe.If the republicans are retarded enough to prop up another John McCain, Mitt Romney, Bush or some other RINO then Obama will win hands down.
 
If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

In a literal sense, "...it depends on the opponent" is the correct answer, as all things are relative. But, this question is intended to explore the man's stature in the political world in general, and how it has fallen and/or survived.

"could he win"
yes he definitely could until the right provides an opponent that would be bigger and get more support.
 
Mostly because he clearly relies on stupid voters. And really the republicans have no one to put up against him.

Yeah, almost as stupid as the republican voters who believe they are voting for freedom and small government.
 
"could he win"
yes he definitely could until the right provides an opponent that would be bigger and get more support.

Don't get much bigger than Chris Christie!

Oh, wait, you meant ... dammit.
 
It would be really tough for him at this point. It's going to be even tougher for his successor. Whoever the nominee is, they'll be running to try to keep their distance from him without his political talent to make it work. Hillary Clinton is going to be looking a lot like Allison Lundergan Grimes. "DId I vote for Obama? Ummmmmmm."

If Obama for whatever mythical reason had to face Romney again today, he'd likely lose. If he had to face, say, Ted Cruz, he'd win.
 
Don't get much bigger than Chris Christie!

Oh, wait, you meant ... dammit.

lol thats funny

whats even more funny he would actually have a true chance of winning but the right wont run him
 
If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

In a literal sense, "...it depends on the opponent" is the correct answer, as all things are relative. But, this question is intended to explore the man's stature in the political world in general, and how it has fallen and/or survived.

To run he would have had to overcome some rather strict laws. If he achieves that in the time left, he will win.
 
Yeah, almost as stupid as the republican voters who believe they are voting for freedom and small government.
Well at least the Republicans are smart enough not to get caught mouthing off about how stupid the electorate is.
 
Yeah, almost as stupid as the republican voters who believe they are voting for freedom and small government.
I don't get why people still fall for that. Actions speak louder than words, and the Republicans haven't done anything "small government", "freedomy", or even fiscally conservative, in at least over two decades.
 
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