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Nate Silver Poll

Glowpun

Glowpun

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How accurate would this poll be compared to all those other polls? This poll consistently gave Obama something like a 79% probability of winning. But at this point it looks like Romney has that percentage probability the point being that Obama has consistently had a high probability of winning according to this poll--perhaps until now?
 
I don't see a poll to vote in for this thread.
 
so far all the states CNN has called mirror nate silver's map.
 
Glowpun said:
How accurate would this poll be compared to all those other polls? This poll consistently gave Obama something like a 79% probability of winning. But at this point it looks like Romney has that percentage probability the point being that Obama has consistently had a high probability of winning according to this poll--perhaps until now?
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Based on what???
 
Glowpun said:
How accurate would this poll be compared to all those other polls? This poll consistently gave Obama something like a 79% probability of winning. But at this point it looks like Romney has that percentage probability the point being that Obama has consistently had a high probability of winning according to this poll--perhaps until now?
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Nate Silver is the leading authority on election outcomes; his predictions are entirely based on math. If he says Obama's winning, then he won.
 
solletica said:
Nate Silver is the leading authority on election outcomes; his predictions are entirely based on math. If he says Obama's winning, then he won.
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Silver is good, but he is no god. Use your own judgement.
 
I mean so far his predictions have been spot on. Granted getting the states like Texas and MA right isn't all that impressive. I am more interested to see how he does on the swing states.
 
megaprogman said:
Silver is good, but he is no god. Use your own judgement.
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Silver is not god, but he serves math, which is God. Therefore, God speaks through Silver.
 
I think his call on Virginia will be wrong. Otherwise, it looks like he is very accurate.
 
solletica said:
Silver is not god, but he serves math, which is God. Therefore, God speaks through Silver.
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seriously? math is god? What an argument ...
 
megaprogman said:
seriously? math is god? What an argument ...
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well, it has some well known supporters: math_is_the_language_god_used_to_write_the_univ_bumper_sticker-p128568175314579553en8ys_400.jpg
 
roflpublican said:
since god is omnipresent i argue that the word of god is part of god.
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math is not classically defined (in the bible at least) as being the word of god...

People are entitled to their opinions of course, I just disagree that math should be held in the same regard.
 
megaprogman said:
math is not classically defined (in the bible at least) as being the word of god...

People are entitled to their opinions of course, I just disagree that math should be held in the same regard.
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in that case i argue that as god created math, and everything else, then by virtue of omnipresence god and math are one and the same.
 
roflpublican said:
in that case i argue that as god created math, and everything else, then by virtue of omnipresence god and math are one and the same.
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Then I expect you to worship absolutely everything, including air since its all the creation of God.

However, I believe there is adequate distinction between a creator and its creation.
 
megaprogman said:
Then I expect you to worship absolutely everything, including air since its all the creation of God.

However, I believe there is adequate distinction between a creator and its creation.
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[1:16] God made the two great lights - the greater light to rule the day and the lesser light to rule the night - and the stars.

^proof god was considering math long before our present time.

where is the distinction between creator and creation in the sense of the all powerful, omnipresent being god? to me it seems any such distinction is purely a product of our own inability to understand our own oneless, and the oneness of anything we create, with god.
 
roflpublican said:
[1:16] God made the two great lights - the greater light to rule the day and the lesser light to rule the night - and the stars.

^proof god was considering math long before our present time.

where is the distinction between creator and creation in the sense of the all powerful, omnipresent being god? to me it seems any such distinction is purely a product of our own inability to understand our own oneless, and the oneness of anything we create, with god.
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If this is your view, then it is your view and many religions trend this way. I do not. But again, this is a matter of opinion. However, I do not see the material world as divine or approaching the divine. I especially do not see people, with all of our flaws, as divine.

This has nothing to do with nate silver of course...
 
megaprogman said:
If this is your view, then it is your view and many religions trend this way. I do not. But again, this is a matter of opinion. However, I do not see the material world as divine or approaching the divine. I especially do not see people, with all of our flaws, as divine.

This has nothing to do with nate silver of course...
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well i have a tendency to trend off topic, through the black lagoon, and eventually back to smores. sorry :)
 
megaprogman said:
seriously? math is god? What an argument ...
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2+2=4 unless you get into advanced calculus. My niece aced the class but could not get into Harvard, but GW Bush did. Oh but he got in because of a special program the Ivy league schools have for the rich and politically connected.
 
Glowpun said:
2+2=4 unless you get into advanced calculus. My niece aced the class but could not get into Harvard, but GW Bush did. Oh but he got in because of a special program the Ivy league schools have for the rich and politically connected.
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yes, math is math, that's not my point ...
 
Hey folks, this thread needs to be bumped:

Silver called all 50 states right.
 
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