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Who do you believe will win in Nov

Who will win in Nov

  • Total voters
    56
lpast

lpast

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Seems ryan has given romney a boost. See cpwill I can admit it :) I just read Romney took the lead in Ohio, Fla and Wisconsin all big swing states in a quinnipiac poll which seem to be fair minded pollsters.

Quinnipiac: Obama Leading in Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin

There is also the a famously accurate poll model that predicts Presidential winners having romny as winning in nov...using thier model they have been 100% accurate since 1980 in predicting the winner.

Analysis of election factors points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says | University of Colorado Boulder

Do you believe Obama or Romney will win in Nov....I still believe the debates can turn the tide and firmly place the winner, however, going into the debates Romny/Ryan have a clear edge.
 
It doesn't make a damn bit of difference.
 
If Obama wins, we lose. If Romney wins, we lose. America is at the brink of destruction and with these 2 puppets, we are giving them the go ahead to finish us off. We needed to do something right now to prevent it, but the media has done their job so well that noone thinks anything is wrong and are therefore stupid enough to even consider Romney or Obama as options. People will wish they had listened because when the goal is achieved and "resettlement" begins, it's too late to try to do anything. I will promise you this: Everybody, at some point or another, maybe as they are removed from their former property and loaded onto a bus , will have a brief memory flash of how they made fun of Ron Paul, and they will realize they deserve what they're getting.
 
Firstly, other than the original poster you two are the only ones posting. The poll was "Who do you think will win" not "I believe they are both philosophically mute."

Secondly it all really depends on Ohio. But I still say Obama.
 
I believe that Romney is too weak to overcome the support the democrats still have for Obama. It will be closer than 2008, but Romney will just not have the strong support to overcome the built in advantages Obama has. The current for an Obama loss is there, but Romney does not provide the means to get it done. Although I believe that Romney will lose, it would not surprise me if he did win, and he does have a realistic chance at winning. If I had to lay money down today, it would be on Obama.
 
I believe Obama will win.
 
I voted Romney. Can't put my finger on it, but...
 
lpast said:
Seems ryan has given romney a boost. See cpwill I can admit it :) I just read Romney took the lead in Ohio, Fla and Wisconsin all big swing states in a quinnipiac poll which seem to be fair minded pollsters.

Quinnipiac: Obama Leading in Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin
.
There is also the a famously accurate poll model that predicts Presidential winners having romny as winning in nov...using thier model they have been 100% accurate since 1980 in predicting the winner.

Analysis of election factors points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says | University of Colorado Boulder

Do you believe Obama or Romney will win in Nov....I still believe the debates can turn the tide and firmly place the winner, however, going into the debates Romny/Ryan have a clear edge.
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Sorry I mispoke here just realized it..I said romney leads in fla ohio and Wis....it was obama in that Poll..
 
Your Star said:
I believe Obama will win.
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I hope your right...im basically a pessimist and I usually take a pessimistic view so Im disappointed less.
 
Romney wins when the undecideds break against Obama.
 
lpast said:
I hope your right...im basically a pessimist and I usually take a pessimistic view so Im disappointed less.
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Obama will kill in the debates and it will give him a big boost.
 
Your Star said:
Obama will kill in the debates and it will give him a big boost.
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Obama's speaking ability minus a script is severely overhyped. Thus far he has held more major speeches than any other president at this point while managing to change the electorates mind on precisely..... zero issues. Obama / Romney debates are near ties, while Ryan crushes Biden.
 
cpwill said:
Obama's speaking ability minus a script is severely overhyped. Thus far he has held more major speeches than any other president at this point while managing to change the electorates mind on precisely..... zero issues. Obama / Romney debates are near ties, while Ryan crushes Biden.
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I disagree, I think Romney is going to have several moments in the debates where he contradicts himself, and Obama will pounce.

And I believe you are underestimating Biden, that debate will be closer than you think.
 
Your Star said:
Obama will kill in the debates and it will give him a big boost.
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yup :) I believe obama and the mediators will force romny to have to declare himself on some issues....issues that he has been skillfully avoiding since the beginning of the gop primary...
 
I am sure a few skeletons will emerge from the closet. Obama has been gone over with a fine tooth comb and romney/ryan haven't.

Mormons keep a lot of secrets.
 
Your Star said:
I disagree, I think Romney is going to have several moments in the debates where he contradicts himself, and Obama will pounce.

And I believe you are underestimating Biden, that debate will be closer than you think.
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Only because the VP debate will be moderated by a FOB (Friend of Barack)

LOLWOT?!? said:
Martha Raddatz, whose role as moderator was announced on August 13, was previously married to Federal Communications Commission Chairman Julius Genachowski — an Obama appointee
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LiberalAvenger said:
I am sure a few skeletons will emerge from the closet. Obama has been gone over with a fine tooth comb and romney/ryan haven't.

Mormons keep a lot of secrets.
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This mormon thing is going to be HUGE with the left isn't it?
 
Generally presidential candidates get a bounce when they announce their running mate, and another bounce when they have their convention. These typically fade away before Election Day. Therefore, I suspect that the end of August / beginning of September is probably the high-water mark for the Romney campaign. If Obama still has any kind of lead at all following the Republican convention, I think he'll be overwhelmingly likely to win. Basically I see the election in more or less the same way I've seen it for months now: Obama is a solid favorite to win reelection, but by no means a certainty. As an Obama supporter, I don't think there is any reason to worry unless Obama is actually behind in the polls by the last week of September.

As for undecideds breaking against the incumbent...Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight has done a statistical analysis of this, and found that it's largely a myth. Undecideds are not much more likely to vote for the challenger than the incumbent in presidential elections. In any case, there are an unusually low number of undecided voters in this election.
 
LiberalAvenger said:
I am sure a few skeletons will emerge from the closet. Obama has been gone over with a fine tooth comb and romney/ryan haven't.

Mormons keep a lot of secrets.
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some truth in that for sure
 
Your Star said:
I disagree, I think Romney is going to have several moments in the debates where he contradicts himself, and Obama will pounce.

And I believe you are underestimating Biden, that debate will be closer than you think.
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The debates are going to decide it. More specifically I think it will come down to how Obama replies to the questions about jobs and the economy during the debates. If he blames Bush or downplays it as not as bad as people think during the debates Obama is going to lose this election. If Obama can clearly layout a plan that people believe are going to work and accepts responsibility for where we are right now I think he will win this election. But I honestly do believe this election hinders on the debates and how Obama addresses the jobs and economy.
 
Kandahar said:
Generally presidential candidates get a bounce when they announce their running mate, and another bounce when they have their convention. These typically fade away before Election Day. Therefore, I suspect that the end of August / beginning of September is probably the high-water mark for the Romney campaign. If Obama still has any kind of lead at all following the Republican convention, I think he'll be overwhelmingly likely to win. Basically I see the election in more or less the same way I've seen it for months now: Obama is a solid favorite to win reelection, but by no means a certainty. As an Obama supporter, I don't think there is any reason to worry unless Obama is actually behind in the polls by the last week of September.

As for undecideds breaking against the incumbent...Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight has done a statistical analysis of this, and found that it's largely a myth. Undecideds are not much more likely to vote for the challenger than the incumbent in presidential elections. In any case, there are an unusually low number of undecided voters in this election.
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I agree with this assessment and Ive said for quite awhile the debates will define who the winner will be....theres no ads in debates, no soundbites...the two candidates are blowing in the wind and either answer the question or avoid it...and the people watching will know the difference.
 
Schutzengel said:
This mormon thing is going to be HUGE with the left isn't it?
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I kinda think so. look what the right did about obama's religious affiliations and the church he attended. what goes around comes around.
 
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