Bigfoot 88
DP Veteran
- Joined
- Jan 16, 2011
- Messages
- 2,027
- Reaction score
- 1,169
- Location
- Georgia
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Libertarian - Right
Sure he can, but nobody knows what will happen.
In the post-war era, no President has been reelected with an unemployment rate above 7.2%. We would have to add a quarter of a million jobs every month between here and November 2012 to get down to 7. In addition, Obama would be the first third-two-term-president-in-a-row since the Jefferson-Madison-Monroe administrations in which there weren't even really competing parties. People are looking for... dare we say it... "change"
Right now, as I see it, the election is tilted heavy against the President. Republicans will have to really screw the goose or Obama will have to really pull something out of his hat to change that equation. He needs an economic boom that just ain't coming; or the Republican nominee to get caught in a sex scandal.
In the post-war era, no President has been reelected with an unemployment rate above 7.2%.
Simple question. Some are saying Obama's a shoe-in to get re-elected next year. What do you all think, is Obama an unbeatable juggernaut or not?
If they prop up Palin then Obama is guaranteed his second term. If they prop up another RINO like McCain, Romney(although the media will swear its because evangelicals do not like Mormons not because he is one of the biggest RINOs) or Giuliani then Obama will still be guaranteed his 2nd term anyways. Personally I would like to see viable 3rd party candidate to try to end what is practically a two party monopoly.
A third party candidate cannot win, I don't believe.
You didn't expect Clinton to be re-elected over Bob Dole? Are you serious?
If a republican runs against Obama hes toast....if a far right teaparty candidate wins the primary he will win....
Simple question. Some are saying Obama's a shoe-in to get re-elected next year. What do you all think, is Obama an unbeatable juggernaut or not?
Like a drum.Simple question. Some are saying Obama's a shoe-in to get re-elected next year. What do you all think, is Obama an unbeatable juggernaut or not?
Like a drum.
From the architect of "It's the economy stupid":
This unemployment rate, for this long, is a humanitarian crisis of the first magnitude.
This is a terrible thing that's happened to people's lives.
James Carville
I don't think he'd win his party's nomination if someone with half a brain ran against him... and Lee Atwater Carville was an advisor to the challenger.
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To get a viable third party candidate, you would need a third party that is inline with what a significant proportion of America believes in. Right now that is not the case.
Right, that 85% approval rating he has with Democrats sure is a burden.
All of that may be true.
However, the roughness of 2012 on Obama is mutually exclusive to the roughness of 2012 on the GOP candidate. Just like the coolness of Obama on college campuses is mutually exclusive to the coolness of GOP candidates on college campuses.
If the GOP doesn't put up a candidate that is a good alternative (as opposed to a bad alternative) to Obama then Obama will still win.
85% of 20% doesn't amount to much, and are factored into the electoral equation.
What would be interesting... a challenge to Obama, and then watch what would happen. A challenger with half a brain would clean his clock. He has a record now, and it's nothing Oblamer can go to the bank on.
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If Sarah Palin or a tea partier is nominated, yes
If a moderate Republican is nominated, then he'll may or may not be beat, will be close
lol...where are you getting your numbers from?
Wouldn't matter if you're right anyway; Democrats are the primary voters in a Democratic primary. So 85% approval amongst Democrats is pretty untouchable.
Carville exposed Obama's huge vulnerability. 9.1% unemployment after he got his Waste-u-lus passed.
Given the choice of a deeply damaged candidate and someone with a hope, that 85% number would melt like ice on hot asphalt.
It's the stupid economy stupid could be the grassroots slogan for 2012.
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