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Basic Income Doesn't Work

Does it make economic sense to have massive unemployment while machines replace us and the owners of industry take all the profits for themselves? Whenever I hear anyone use the term "economic sense" to analyze something completely new or transformative, I smell a rat. Unlike other eras of rapid technological achievement, the information age does indeed make jobs obsolete without replacing those numbers in the making of information products. We will soon be at a point where machines and software can do much of what we pay humans to do. Unless the number of humans decreases, how are all these humans going to survive unless massive redistribution schemes are enacted? Think back 100 years, think ahead another 100 years. In that 200 year span technology will have surpassed the imagination of all but the wildest sci fi writers alive 100 years ago.

You seem nice
 
You seem nice

Economics is called the dismal science for a reason. Orthodoxy seems to rule the popular impressions of economic theory, it is hard to rid ourselves of dogma even in the face of new information. There are some very exciting new ideas coming from the critics of standard economic thought, I tend to spend my time learning more about them. If you like economics, can I suggest bookmarking "Angry Bear"?. While you may not agree with what is on this very famous economics blog, it will definitely get you thinking about your own opinions about economics.
 
1) The death of the estate tax creates a privileged class, a defacto royalty.

:shrug: this is a claim which lacks supporting evidence.

You can see the beginnings of that in the machinations of the Koch brothers scheming to get more money and power through rent seeking.

Interestingly enough, the Koch brothers often support a reduction in government which would reduce a business the size of their's ability to increase barriers to entry and protect itself from competition.

Everyone is always freaking out about the rich folks on the other side -the Big Scary Koch Brothers; George Soros Taking Over The World; Evil Hollywood Millionaires. None of them provide support for the claim that the estate tax is all that stands between us and a de facto royalty - certainly it's lack did not cause the emergence of such an entity before we had one, and, if anything, the pace at which market domineers rise and fall has increased.


I would point out, for example, that your own source says that any link between the estate tax and entrenched wealthy is unclear - and that's your advocate.

2) Actually, yes. Conservative is the wrong word, reactionary radicals don't like macroeconomics because it contradicts their religion. A religion that pretends to be about economics.

OTC, if you bothered to learn about them, you would find that many conservatives are particularly attracted to macroeconomics. :)

3) Your assumption is that the future will be like the past.

Actually my assumption is that the present will look similar to the present. In the present, the rate of turnover in the top companies and top earners has accelerated.
 
Education is too expensive, I think most agree with that. But what if getting the education needed for high tech jobs wasnt too expensive?

Again, I dont give a **** about your ideological hang ups. Why do you really need to keep attacking Objectivism? I didnt mention it nor is it popular enough to have an real impact. I do know the groups that are obsessed with attacking Objectivism, and seriously they have their own faults.
Training for job skills is not too expensive, yet....
There is a bit of a difference between education and training, most of us will never see true education.
 
Bold 1
They made it a long way.

They did indeed.

The idea of the top 1% owning the vast majority of the wealth isn't some new, industrial-age nightmare. It's the standard human story. The strength and wealth of our middle class is what's new.

And as wealth disparity got worse they had less and less democracy and eventually fell. I can't say it's the only reason, obviously it wasn't.

It wasn't really a reason at all. Taxes, Slavery, Unemployment, Loss of support by Elites, and an increasingly burdensome public bribery program all contributed. Loss of a functioning Republic that effectively checked the Caesar didn't seem to play a role, as it occurred multiple centuries before.

But to say that they are some kind of an example of how wealth disparity is a good thing seems silly.

:shrug: I wouldn't say it's a good thing in and of itself. I said that the example of most governments and empires in history belies the notion that wealthy people becoming too wealthy causes the government to collapse.

I never stated otherwise. I argued that there is a certain point where wealth disparity becomes unsustainable.

:shrug: I don't see why. As a Middle Class Guy, I can't think of a single time I've ever stared at the Wall Street Journal page and thought "Man, if the value of Jeff Bezo's stock goes up another 2%, it's gonna be time to start killing cops".

I don't know the exact point. It's probably different amongst different countries, cultures, groups of people etc. But there is a point. I doubt you'd disagree with me on that.

I would - in and of itself. How the disparity is produced (for example, those who use the coercive and extractive power of the State to enrich themselves v those who make a better mousetrap) plays a huge role in the stability or instability it engenders.

As far as wealth disparity in Rome, by the best accounts I have seen, it's quite a bit less than what we are currently at in the US.

:shrug: I would have to go back and look - and, as you pointed out, this figure changed over the centuries. The broad point remains - claims that rich people becoming too rich destroys a nation don't hold up.
 
Basic income wasn't tried on a national scale in these countries.

The problem, it seems, is funding such a thing. Some will end up with a bigger UBI handout than they pay in taxes but, obviously, not anywhere near all would do so.
 
Jesus, dude, you're overlooking the fact that the ten percent who aren't employed have better healthcare than the majority of the working class here. If you don't consider that a humanitarian victory, you're crazy.

When will conservatives learn that slavery is not the same as full employment?

This is a thread proving that even liberal Finland has decided that basic income was a total failure.
 
Tried. Failed.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation-now/2018/04/25/finland-basic-income-685-fails/549087002/

By the way, both liberal countries of France and Finland have unemployment rates around 10% while the US is at about 4%. When will liberals ever learn that liberalism doesn't work.

We already have a guaranteed basic income; it's called welfare benefits. Along with other benefits including free health care it's often better not to get trained and work.
 
This is a thread proving that even liberal Finland has decided that basic income was a total failure.

Hey, good job completely ignoring the content of my post and just responding with tangential nonsense. Is Trumpism contageous?
 
This is a thread proving that even liberal Finland has decided that basic income was a total failure.

Hardly.

It's an ongoing debate, there and here.

"In the meantime, Finland has already moved on to consider a broader revamping of its social service programs. It is studying a new form of social welfare policy now in effect in Britain: so-called universal credit, which rolls existing government aid programs into one monthly lump sum payment...

“Discussion about basic income is not over, but it is a part of the larger discussion now.” "
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/24/business/finland-universal-basic-income.html

One of our problems with welfare is that it's expensive, due to it's quite high administrative costs. You could help more people with the same dollars, by using the Fed tax system. We already do that to a degree.

What we need is to bring our various programs together, so that they are both cost effective, and provide an effective social safety net.

This is a part of a larger problem. A well educated person doesn't need welfare...

https://www.amazon.com/Creating-Learning-Society-Approach-Development/dp/0231152140
 
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Hardly.

It's an ongoing debate, there and here.

"In the meantime, Finland has already moved on to consider a broader revamping of its social service programs. It is studying a new form of social welfare policy now in effect in Britain: so-called universal credit, which rolls existing government aid programs into one monthly lump sum payment...

“Discussion about basic income is not over, but it is a part of the larger discussion now.” "
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/24/business/finland-universal-basic-income.html

One of our problems with welfare is that it's expensive, due to it's quite high administrative costs. You could help more people with the same dollars, by using the Fed tax system. We already do that to a degree.

What we need is to bring our various programs together, so that they are both cost effective, and provide an effective social safety net.

This is a part of a larger problem. A well educated person doesn't need welfare...

https://www.amazon.com/Creating-Learning-Society-Approach-Development/dp/0231152140

It's not an ongoing debate in liberal Finland. It was tried, failed, and ended.
 
Hardly.

It's an ongoing debate, there and here.

"In the meantime, Finland has already moved on to consider a broader revamping of its social service programs. It is studying a new form of social welfare policy now in effect in Britain: so-called universal credit, which rolls existing government aid programs into one monthly lump sum payment...

“Discussion about basic income is not over, but it is a part of the larger discussion now.” "
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/24/business/finland-universal-basic-income.html

One of our problems with welfare is that it's expensive, due to it's quite high administrative costs. You could help more people with the same dollars, by using the Fed tax system. We already do that to a degree.

What we need is to bring our various programs together, so that they are both cost effective, and provide an effective social safety net.

This is a part of a larger problem. A well educated person doesn't need welfare...

https://www.amazon.com/Creating-Learning-Society-Approach-Development/dp/0231152140

It's not an ongoing debate in liberal Finland. It was tried, failed, and ended.
 
It's not an ongoing debate in liberal Finland. It was tried, failed, and ended.

You oversimplify.

This is part of their effort to make a genuinely effective social safety net. You can certainly say they were uncomfortable with the concept.

“Discussion about basic income is not over, but it is a part of the larger discussion now.”

But perhaps you know more about Finland than actual Finns...
 
You oversimplify.

This is part of their effort to make a genuinely effective social safety net. You can certainly say they were uncomfortable with the concept.

“Discussion about basic income is not over, but it is a part of the larger discussion now.”

But perhaps you know more about Finland than actual Finns...

Oversimplify? Liberal Finland tried it. Didn't work. They stopped it. They have no plans to resurrect it from it's well deserved burial. Just like the left though when their liberal policies fail the answer is always to double down and do more of it. As Forest Gump would say, "Stupid is as stupid does."
 
Of course.

The Finns have a commitment to a robust social safety net you seem blissfully ignorant of.

Please post proof that the Finns will ever reconsider basic income.
 
Tried. Failed.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation-now/2018/04/25/finland-basic-income-685-fails/549087002/

By the way, both liberal countries of France and Finland have unemployment rates around 10% while the US is at about 4%. When will liberals ever learn that liberalism doesn't work.

Cherry picking, are we?

Well, Norway, that bastion of liberalism, has an unemployment rate of 3.7%.

LJB had an averaged unemployment rate of 4.2%, the best of all presidents, while Ford had an averaged unemployment rate of 7.8% and Reagan had an averaged unemployment rate of 7.5%.

See, I can cherry pick just like you, and say that conservatism failed.


But, the truth is far more complex, so please abstain from simplisticism.
 
Tried. Failed.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation-now/2018/04/25/finland-basic-income-685-fails/549087002/

By the way, both liberal countries of France and Finland have unemployment rates around 10% while the US is at about 4%. When will liberals ever learn that liberalism doesn't work.

Your concern is quite selective, especially because your politics and POV support this acute condition and trend.

Our 2016 Triennial Federal Reserve SCF indicates the wealthiest in our country have taken control of and since, are "adjusting" to their exclusive benefit the politics formerly preventing them from literally taking it all.:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/publ...s-in-us-family-finances-from-2013-to-2016.htm

FederalReserveWealthDistribution2016.jpg
 
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