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Says the guy who posts cartoons, videos, and emogees.
Rooco - John is one of those kookernutters who thing th ecentral planners know best who to run the economy, not the private sector.
Others have a different opinion.
I've never met an anecdote yet that didn't apply to a whole bunch of people.
Because the amount the government spends john is more than what is spent domestically... And we are talking about what government spends.. all of it.. which currently includes deficit spending which adds to the debt.
and John.. we know that this is not really the case:
When it suits your purpose you definitely treat all government spending as the same. When called to the carpet on it.. you then admit that its not the same
I start off by posting logical arguments and data. You are the one who can't comprehend anything that isn't in picture form.
Now, sharpen your crayons and write out a coherent response to my earlier arguments in economic terms, or leave this debate to the adults. You add nothing to the discussion.
Without regard to the exact amount, the debt of trillions of dollars must come from someplace. It is actual money. It's not about where it went, but where did Congress get it. Congress took it from the Social Security Fund.
.... While Congress says that Social Security loaned the money to the U.S. government, in fact Congress expropriated the money and gave the Social Security Account a form of promissory notes based on treasury securities.
The value of those bonds is now about $2.6 - to - $2.8 trillion. Currently, and for the last 7 years, the Social Security Fund has been in the RED for about $74 - $80 Billion dollars a year (negative cash flow). The value of the Treasury Security is greater than than the negative cash flow. Social Security has sufficient funds to last will in to the 2030s before the funds and securities are depleted. If the Social Security Program were to cash the Treasury Securities, the Treasury Department would not have the fund to honor the demand. Congress would have to go on the open market to borrow the money.
Now going on the open market to borrow the money is very tricky;
but not unusual at all. The Treasury does this all the time.
But the more money the treasury siphons off the market, the less cash is available for business.
This causes strange things to happen.
The 2008 Bank bail-out and the Troubled Assets Recovery Program (TARP).
In 2008 the the cause was in the reverse. Investors made a run on the money-market accounts causing the yeild to drop to zero. And at that point, the value of a Treasury Security is in grave question.
Now, that brings us to consider the future. The US economy is a trickster. You can have low unemployment figures, 4,7% last month. In february 2010, the unemployment figure was just short of 10% and has been on the decline since. However, "underemployment is three-times as high (13.9%). "Labor that falls under the underemployment classification includes those workers who are highly skilled but working in low paying jobs, workers who are highly skilled but working in low skill jobs and part-time workers who would prefer to be full time."
Now what that means to me is that when I lost my job (end of Contract), I was unable to find a job commensurate with (or even close) to the income I was earning. My oldest daughter, a graduate from the premier private college in the state, and yet, works in a drug store. If you are a country of low wage service industry jobs, you nation doesn't have the revenue needed to improve the nation.
When the Federal Government runs high on the National Debt, things like College Grants and Scientific Research goes by the way side and the hamburger flipping jobs become the main stay.
Remember, America went from a leading country that put men on the moon, to a nation who's astronauts must hitchhike into space.
And that is just a thumbnail view of just one impact by the debt.
and???
The whole point of the OP was to note the staggering amount of debts, not to to play nah nah nah nah, your party did it too.
I think I've made it clear that neither party is serious about getting spending under control.( which is the only real way to address it-raising taxes won't cut it) At least the Democrats are honest-they Democrats don't even pretend to be.
Why can't Trumpcare be tweaked? The only way you want to tweak Obamacare is to change it into a single payer system.
Well, lets start with the fact that the PPACA is the law of the land and much of the institutional infrastructure is already in place. There really isn't a compelling argument for it to be replaced except for the fact that the Republicans built their most recent political house around that notion. But it is the default.
As lack of compelling there is of an argument to repeal, there is also a lack of a compelling argument for Trumpcare. Its inherent problem is that it is its stripping all of the payfors out of the system. It is a wealth transfer from those that have little to those that have more than enough. The mandate is actually necessary to make it work.
Original document where Heritage created Obamacare individual mandate
The problem is the existing mandate is feckless, so it isn't a mandate at all. Moreover, many of the states sabotaged the thing by not setting up exchanges and not taking the medicaid expansion. The structure of Obamacare is actually pretty good. Moreover, all the "savings" of Trump care in in passing the buck (literally) from the federal government to states, where the greatest need is in states that can least affort id. Its just flawed.
The PPACA also has some good ideas on managed care. Its design is to get people out of the healthcare system and back home. The PPACA actually awards hospitals and rehabs with good outcomes and penalizes those with bad outcomes. In the PPACA days, hospitals were incentivized to keeping patients and rewarded when they returned. The structure is actually pretty intelligent, for a flawed system that has the unnecessary middle man of health insurance companies.
That all said, a single payer system would work much better, but put all the insurance executives out of work.
(COMMENT)I'ma let you finish, but first I gotta ask ... how is this any different than everyday collection of cash for bonds from the public? You make it sound so dirty. SS has to lend out its reserves BY DESIGN. It can't hold cash. It HAS to lend out its reserves and keep securities on hand.
(COMMENT)Uh. Or the Fed could just buy the bonds themselves. Like they can with any other deficit spending. Ever.
(COMMENT)lol, no it isn't.RoccoR said:Now going on the open market to borrow the money is very tricky;
(COMMENT)Because it's not tricky.
Re: US National debt is beyond staggering
Critter7r, et al,
First, let me say that i find you response insightful and a sound expression of an opposing view.
Yes, in every financial slight of hand, there is much more than a bit of truth here. An investment firm is often thought to work in the clients best interest as a fiduciary responsibility; but that is not true. The account manager (in private investment) owes the allegiance to the investment firm; not the client. So it is with Members of Congress and the Department of the Treasury acting as the Trust Fund Manager. Their allegiance is not to the people, but to the stakeholders that got the member elected.
(COMMENT)
I've often, quite often, heard this said. But this is (in my opinion) a political slight of hand. This is incorrect; Not by design in the 1930s. In fact, the original limitations on such matters were so protective of the taxpayers that in 1981 (with an additional amendment in 1983) new legislation had to be passed to allow for the treasury to make interfund transfers from the account under trust, to the general revenue.
SOURCE: Interfund Borrowing Under the Social Security Act * (SSA.GOV)
It is true that the first Advisory Council on Social Security in 1938, endorsed the investment of Social Security surpluses in Treasury securities; but in 1938, no one envisioned the growth of government in the last 8 decades.
The Social Security Program is a "Trust Fund" for a specific purpose. It was not ever intended to be an additional revenue stream for otherwise unfunded congressional projects.
(COMMENT)
But Federal Reserve (US Central Bank for all intent and purposes) is not part of the Executive, Judicial or Legislative Branches of government. We make a little bit of legal fiction here by calling it a quasi-Government Entity. Yet it is really independent in many respects. And it is not going to invest in Treasury Securities held by the Social Security Trust Manager [the Treasury (which forms a conflict of interest in loan approvals)]. The Federal Reserve can enact its own policies (like Federal Reserve Policy on Payment System Risk) without Congressional or Presidential approval (although in reality there is unofficial advise and coordination effort behind the curtain). And this gives the flavor of a very independent entity.
(COMMENT)
Yes, you caught me there. Probably a poor choice of words. I see this probably from a different perspective. If the government plans a project this year, and puts it in the budget for next year, that money is not borrowed until the commitment (promise to pay) presents itself as an obligation (demand for payment). More times then you can imagine, there are cases in which the Congressional Approval for the expenditure of the money - expires. This works for and against the Treasury. The Treasury does not want to cut the check until the last possible moment before penalties accrue. That's when the Treasury goes out to borrow that money from the market place.
(COMMENT)
Yes, it is easy enough to do, but the market place does not have an endless source of money. And the Treasury just cannot print more money. In the picture presented to the Treasury, there are funds that are in the budget and covered by the expected revenue stream; funds for expired obligations; and funds for programmed expenses (not spot intelligence and contingency funds). When the government goes out on the market, and starts soaking the money, that leaves less for the private sector to utilize.
Most Respectfully,
R
(COMMENT)So in short, you believe that it is possible for the government to run out of its own money. Is that correct?
(COMMENT)But the government does not remove dollars from the economy, the government creates its own money. Deficit spending is a straight addition of financial assets to the private sector.
(COMMENT)Treasury issues a bond. Somebody in the private sector that wants to buy a bond does so, putting dollars into Treasury's account at the Fed. The government spends those dollars right back into the economy. So the net effect of deficit spending is that people/banks/countries that wish to park their dollars in bonds can do so, plus people and businesses benefit from the government spending. In the extraordinary event that there are no buyers, the Fed can buy bonds on the secondary market. There is no "crowding out."
(COMMENT)Which, to me, simplifies the question greatly. You only need weigh the obvious benefits of the deficit spending against whatever ill effects there may be to adding more bonds to the private sector. And so far, nobody has been able to demonstrate that any ill effects, whether predicted or simply imagined, have come to pass.
JohnfrmClevelan, et al,
The government can print as much money as it has ink to print.
(COMMENT)
But what happens - it creates inflation and the money becomes near worthless. This is not a theoretical, but a reality which has happened to other countries in the past.
The economies of countries are safest when it is producing tangible products that are in demand.
JohnfrmClevelan et al,
(COMMENT)
Deficit Spending is more the case that Washington obligates more funding then its various revenue stream can produce. Instead of raising taxes, government spending, funds are raised by borrowing rather than from taxation.
(COMMENT)
The net effect of deficit spending is increasing the debt on the taxpayers.
Government bonds issued by the US Treasury (long-term notes -- full faith and credit instruments) and Treasury Bills (short-term notes) have the lowest risk.
Imagine a scenario where transfer payments redistribute of revenue income back into the market place often through financial aid programs, social security, and government subsidies for certain businesses (firms and farms). So, if the government has to borrows from Social Security to make its commitments in Social Security Payment Benefits --- you can see the problem. That would be like my daughter using the credit on her VISA Card to make a payment on her Discover Card.
(COMMENT)
The US is rapidly approaching a time when the interest rates on the debts began rising. That will make the interest on the national debt double a 3-to-6 year period. The Treasury must pay this interest or suffer the consequences of a debt default.
Too?
Looks to me like your party did it. The other party was buy reducing it.
Re: US National debt is beyond staggering
JohnfrmClevelan, Critter7r, et al,
I Yield to your superior position.
Your arguments present a portrait on the topic of "deficit spending" that I find more than difficult to assail. Clearly, I find that I don't quite understand the economic as well as I thought I did.
Without question, I learned something in this exchange.
Most Respectfully,
R
You have been conned by slick medicine men selling you a false bill of goods. I hope they gave you a warranty because their product will soon fall apart the minute you bring it home. Don't let their fancy talk fool you.
He was smart enough to recognize a superior argument, and big enough to admit it. You are neither.
"There are two ways to conquer and enslave a nation. One is by the sword. The other is by debt." John Adams
The $20 trillion debt is already twice the annual revenues collected by all the world’s governments combined.
ounting unfunded liabilities, which include promised Social Security, Medicare, and government pension payments that Washington will not have the money to pay, the federal government actually owes somewhere between $100 trillion and $200 trillion. The numbers are so ridiculously large that even the uncertainty in the figures exceeds the annual economic output of the entire planet
https://fee.org/articles/trillions-in-debt-and-were-just-scratching-the-surface/
I'm reminded of the old adage- if sometiing can't go on forever,it won't.
The liberal economists have told the politicians what they want to hear - that debt is positive for the economy. Actually, since most of the debt is in the hands of the FED and since the FED creates the money out of thin air, it is likely that there isn't all that much debt. The people are paying for it by the loss in the value of the dollar. It is like a tax. However, a 70% cut in the cost of government would go a long way toward making it better.