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Historian who correctly predicted last 9 presidential elections: Trump is more likely to lose becaus

veritas1 said:
Trump looks like Einstein next to Biden. Putting poor Joe on a debate stage with Trump is actually cruelty to the elderly.
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Trump looks like at idiot compared to anyone, let alone Biden.

The guy's a ****ing moron.

That doesn't say much for anyone who can't see it.

Eh?
 
rocket88 said:
You didn't read it did you?
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I read the quote you specifically placed on this board and I fell for your clickbait!!! Does it really matter which clown gets elected president, corporate america will pull his strings just like the have for every other president.
 
OscarLevant said:
Amazing, for me, the exact opposite is true.

What you are not factoring in is this:

Most people, as in the majority of the electorate, ARE SICK OF TRUMP.

Totally, utterly, completely, exhausted of seeing this stupid petty small-minded man on TV.

It's like, okay, we gotta get rid of this asshole.

Having Biden in there is a return to normal, a return to decency from the Oval Office, we long for it.

We've had it with:

1. Lies, lies, lies ad infinitum
2. Putting children in cages
3. Bloviating, bragging, endless trolling.
4. Scandals, endless scandals.
5. Pettiness with people who do not matter.
6. Mindless tweeting, it never stops.
7. The whining about the media, it never stops.
8. The corruption, padding the bank accounts of his friends and himself.

and on and on and on and on.

That's what you are not factoring in the equation.
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This is what your echo chamber is telling you, just like they were telling you that Hillary was a shoo-in. You don't seem to be factoring in Joe's obvious senility and ethical problems, either.
 
OscarLevant said:
Trump looks like at idiot compared to anyone, let alone Biden.

The guy's a ****ing moron.

That doesn't say much for anyone who can't see it.

Eh?
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Believe what you want. No rational person can watch Biden and think he has the ability to run this country. He can't string three sentences together.
 
veritas1 said:
This is basically what was being said.

Clinton has 90 percent chance of winning: Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation - Reuters
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That is only one source. Plus, 90% is not 100%. Shoo-in = guarantee.

RCP's final electoral map (with toss-ups) had Clinton with 272, Trump with 266.

I have yet to see a single electoral college map with Clinton at 270, without the toss-ups included. The fact of the matter is, 48/51 contests went as expected, when you include the toss-up states.

Pointing out that polls are not always 100% accurate is a "no kidding" comments. Polls only give projections, and they are especially inaccurate, if it's within the margin of error.

Biden is favored to win the election at the moment. What happens today is irrelevant.

But the concept that we cannot trust polls period is ridiculous.
 
BrotherFease said:
That is only one source. Plus, 90% is not 100%. Shoo-in = guarantee.

RCP's final electoral map (with toss-ups) had Clinton with 272, Trump with 266.

I have yet to see a single electoral college map with Clinton at 270, without the toss-ups included. The fact of the matter is, 48/51 contests went as expected, when you include the toss-up states.

Pointing out that polls are not always 100% accurate is a "no kidding" comments. Polls only give projections, and they are especially inaccurate, if it's within the margin of error.

Biden is favored to win the election at the moment. What happens today is irrelevant.

But the concept that we cannot trust polls period is ridiculous.
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There is no 100% in politics or much of anything else. 90% is as close to a shoo-in as you're going to get. BTW, if 48 of the 51 contests went as expected, then we should have seen lots of predictions that Trump would or very well should, win. I don't recall seeing any.
 
veritas1 said:
Believe what you want. No rational person can watch Biden and think he has the ability to run this country. He can't string three sentences together.
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Why are you holding his speech impediment against him? As I have said before in other threads, this is cruel and uncalled for. We need actually substance here, like policies.
 
BrotherFease said:
Why are you holding his speech impediment against him? As I have said before in other threads, this is cruel and uncalled for. We need actually substance here, like policies.
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This isn't a speech impediment. If it is, why wasn't Joe mumbling and bumbling like this his whole life? It's obvious mental decline. Most everyone outside the Dem party and the MSM know it when they see it. It's not a matter of being cruel. It's a matter of realizing that he's incapable of handling the job he's running for.
 
veritas1 said:
There is no 100% in politics or much of anything else. 90% is as close to a shoo-in as you're going to get. BTW, if 48 of the 51 contests went as expected, then we should have seen lots of predictions that Trump would win. I don't recall seeing any.
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You only listed ONE source.

I am just pointing out the RCP final electoral college map. Polls consistently showed that Trump was gaining support within the last couple of days.

But beyond that, you seem to miss my point about polls. They are about projection and probability.
 
BrotherFease said:
You only listed ONE source.

I am just pointing out the RCP final electoral college map. Polls consistently showed that Trump was gaining support within the last couple of days.

But beyond that, you seem to miss my point about polls. They are about projection and probability.
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Polls this far out are unreliable. However, Biden having a three point lead or whatever it is, is actually very good news for Trump. A challenger with a real chance of unseating an incumbent needs to be up 20-25% at this point because the gap narrows as the election approaches. If Joe can't get more than a statistical tie right now, he can't win.
 
veritas1 said:
This isn't a speech impediment. If it is, why wasn't Joe mumbling and bumbling like this his whole life? It's obvious mental decline. Most everyone outside the Dem party and the MSM know it when they see it. It's not a matter of being cruel. It's a matter of realizing that he's incapable of handling the job he's running for.
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Please do not lecture me on speech impediments. I have had one since age 5. Biden has always had issues with public speaking. I really don't see the mental decline. Could you point out examples here? Look, everybody makes gaffes. Bush made gaffes all the time, and you probably voted for him twice. And yes, you're being cruel.
 
BrotherFease said:
Please do not lecture me on speech impediments. I have had one since age 5. Biden has always had issues with public speaking. I really don't see the mental decline. Could you point out examples here? Look, everybody makes gaffes. Bush made gaffes all the time, and you probably voted for him twice. And yes, you're being cruel.
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Nonsense. Find any old video of Biden. He didn't stumble all over himself like he does now and lose his train of thought in mid sentence. He didn't even do it a few years back. He's slipping. It's not a crime but we do need to be honest about it.
 
veritas1 said:
Nonsense. Find any old video of Biden. He didn't stumble all over himself like he does now and lose his train of thought in mid sentence. He didn't even do it a few years back. He's slipping. It's not a crime but we do need to be honest about it.
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I am waiting for your examples.
 
veritas1 said:
Nonsense. Find any old video of Biden. He didn't stumble all over himself like he does now and lose his train of thought in mid sentence. He didn't even do it a few years back. He's slipping. It's not a crime but we do need to be honest about it.
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Hey alright! You are going to be honest!!
 
veritas1 said:
Nonsense. Find any old video of Biden. He didn't stumble all over himself like he does now and lose his train of thought in mid sentence. He didn't even do it a few years back. He's slipping. It's not a crime but we do need to be honest about it.
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Poor man can't even remember what someone said to him or asked him ten seconds before.
One would have to be lying or in deep denial not to see the change in his behavior throughout the years.

Honesty and some anti-Trumps don't usually go hand and hand unfortunately.
 
trixare4kids said:
Poor man can't even remember what someone said to him or asked him ten seconds before.
One would have to be lying or in deep denial not to see the change in his behavior throughout the years.

Honesty and some anti-Trumps don't usually go hand and hand unfortunately.
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Yep. A fully cognizant Biden would be bad news enough but the guy is simply losing it a little more each day. I can only assume that the Dem powers would be happy enough to have a complacent, confused handpuppet in the office to carry out whatever he's told. I would also expect a fairly radical VP choice in the event that Joe somehow wins and has to be put out to pasture.
 
veritas1 said:
Trump looks like Einstein next to Biden. Putting poor Joe on a debate stage with Trump is actually cruelty to the elderly.
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Einstein was orange?
 
veritas1 said:
Yep. A fully cognizant Biden would be bad news enough but the guy is simply losing it a little more each day. I can only assume that the Dem powers would be happy enough to have a complacent, confused handpuppet in the office to carry out whatever he's told. I would also expect a fairly radical VP choice in the event that Joe somehow wins and has to be put out to pasture.
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Post describes Pence perfectly.
 
veritas1 said:
I always enjoy being called dishonest by the left. What they really mean is that I've pointed out inconvenient facts.
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That's pathetically self serving.
 
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