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Revenues are at record highs - spending continues to clime even faster. It's a spending problem.
Nate Silver Breaks It Down
Revenue minus spending = surplus (deficits).
You know how simple equations work. TCJA has reduced revenues by about $200-250B per year, which means....deficits have increased by that amount thanks to the tax cuts in TCJA!! It's...MATH. We have a spending and a tax problem.
And yes, nominal revenues increase over time, because inflation, population growth, and the normal economic growth unrelated to tax cuts.
BTW, I have no idea what you found interesting about a Nate Silver article from 2013. You can quote from it if you like. What I saw was him talking about the ever growing share of GDP represented by healthcare and SS, and the GOP answer to those growing fiscal demands was to.....cut taxes and make deficits worse, as spending pressures increase!