Demographics are destiny.
It's only a matter of time until Texas and Arizona turn blue. That's really not arguable. In addition, the SAME demographics behind the trends in Texas and Arizona, will also transition states like Georgia
So, the FACTS show that, when that happens, FOUR of the five states with the most electoral votes (i.e. Cali (#1), Texas (#2), NY (#3) and Illinois (#5)) will be "Blue". Those 4, alone, account for 142 of the 270 EV required to win the presidency. Furthermore, of the top dozen EV states, only one (i.e. Ohio) can be considered reliably "red" at this point. The remainder are either be reliably "blue" (i.e. Ca, Tx, NY, Illinois, N.J.), or will be considered the "purple" states of the future (i.e. NC, Ga, Pa, Fla, Va). And, realistically, not even Ohio can be considered "safely red" in the future.
It is no small coincidence that the most reliably "red" states in the country tend to share three primary traits:
- -(1) they are the LEAST DIVERSE (racially and culturally). In other words, they are the "whitest" states in the country. Seven of the 10 "whitest" states (and 10 of the 15 "whitest" states) in the country, are "bright red" states.
- -(2) they are among the LOWEST POPULATED states in the country.
- -(3) they are among the LEAST EDUCATED states in the country
So it's clear why the ONLY pathway to electoral victory for the modern GOP is VOTER SUPPRESSION. GOP'ers have understood this for a while now.