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This is a Herculean study. Lots of data; the homework is definitely shown. It’s not some skewed analysis from a Heritage Foundation or AEI flunkie.
Projected costs of single-payer healthcare financing in the United States: A systematic review of economic analyses
Projected costs of single-payer healthcare financing in the United States: A systematic review of economic analyses
Projected costs and savings
Net cost or savings in the first year of single-payer operation varies from an increase of 7.2% of system costs to a reduction of 15.5% (Fig 2). The median finding was a net savings of 3.5% of system costs, and analyses of 19 of 22 plans found net savings. Net costs reflect the balance of added costs due to higher utilization (by eliminating uninsurance and in some studies also capturing the increase due to ending underinsurance) and savings (via payment simplification, lower drug prices, and other factors). Higher utilization increases costs by 2.0% to 19.3% (median 9.3%). Total savings range from 3.3% to 26.5% (median 12.1%).