Why do you promote & propagate this fallacy, rather than avail yourself to understanding proper polling methodology? Including weighting, sampling, and over-sampling?
He just loves chumming the waters to see what bottom dwellers will rise to the bait. Works every time. :lamo
Wow, you might be correct.
According to this report: Democratic, Republican Identification Near Historical Lows
In 2015 26% of voting age Americans identified as Republican, 29% as Democrat, and 42% Independent.
Of course, that's a Gallup Poll. As noted in the past polling can be skewed by all sorts of methods, including as you point out...over-sampling.
93 million people did not even vote in 2016. That's 40% of eligible voters.
So shouldn't polling reflect THAT type of representation?
Then your argument is that the polling organizations are intentionally skewing their polls? Is that your claim?
Despite the Trump supporter messaging, there was nothing wrong with that earlier poll, as there's nothing wrong with this poll. That's as long as they apply the correct weighting. And you realize I'm speaking of "post sample selection" weighting? Right?
As long as the pollster is accurately characterizing the group polled, what is the problem here? There's nothing wrong about finding-out the thoughts of different groups, including the thoughts of Americans in general.
Just to play Devil's Advocate, if you're claiming Fox is cooking the numbers, how can you ascertain Gallup is not?
Seriously? The poll is misleading because it's presented WITHOUT any explanation of the sample weighing or who was actually polled. I saw masses of reports leveraging the fact that it was a "Fox poll" showing majority in favor of impeachment and removal. Not a single mention, however, that this poll did not accurately model the country's population.
Of course they know the demographics. That's why the apply weighting after they get their data. To adjust it to reflect for the differences in the sample demographics gathered.
