I will go ahead and go all the way DOWN to the level of the President and predict that current sitting President will try to attack Iran to get reelected.
Truth is there might be enough advisors around him that will refuse his orders or get the war averted but what we know so far...
He clearly views this as a strategy worth pursuing and that helps with reelection.
He clearly does not mind doing very questionable things to get reelected.
He hired war hawks like Bolton and Pompeo to lead him to war.
He had asked already about USA invading other countries (e.g.
Venezuela in 2017):
Trump administration is starting to lay down the groundwork for pretext: today
they accused Iran of various acts, including:
- recent attacks on oil tankers...
no real evidence was provided
- 'on May 19th, a rocket landed near the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad'
USA never claimed Iran was the cause
- 'on May 31st, a car bomb in Afghanistan wounded four U.S. service members, killed four Afghan civilians, and wounded bystanders'
Actually Taliban took responsibility for that one, but who cares, right?
With 17 months left to election, Trump is starting to lay the groundwork for attacking Iran for his reelection. Seems a bit too soon to me but maybe they figure it will take 6 months to a year to prepare and to rally up the country.
