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I will go ahead and go all the way DOWN to the level of the President and predict that current sitting President will try to attack Iran to get reelected.
Truth is there might be enough advisors around him that will refuse his orders or get the war averted but what we know so far...
He clearly views this as a strategy worth pursuing and that helps with reelection.
He clearly does not mind doing very questionable things to get reelected.
He hired war hawks like Bolton and Pompeo to lead him to war.
He had asked already about USA invading other countries (e.g. Venezuela in 2017):
Trump administration is starting to lay down the groundwork for pretext: today they accused Iran of various acts, including:
- recent attacks on oil tankers... no real evidence was provided
- 'on May 19th, a rocket landed near the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad' USA never claimed Iran was the cause
- 'on May 31st, a car bomb in Afghanistan wounded four U.S. service members, killed four Afghan civilians, and wounded bystanders' Actually Taliban took responsibility for that one, but who cares, right?
With 17 months left to election, Trump is starting to lay the groundwork for attacking Iran for his reelection. Seems a bit too soon to me but maybe they figure it will take 6 months to a year to prepare and to rally up the country.
Trump tweets said:29 Nov 2011: In order to get elected, @BarackObama will start a war with Iran.
17 Jan 2012: @BarackObama will attack Iran in order to get re-elected.
9 Oct 2012: Now that Obama's poll numbers are in tailspin watch for him to launch a strike in Libya or Iran. He is desperate.
16 Sep 2013: I predict that President Obama will at some point attack Iran in order to save face!
25 Sep 2013: Remember what I previously said–Obama will someday attack Iran in order to show how tough he is
Truth is there might be enough advisors around him that will refuse his orders or get the war averted but what we know so far...
He clearly views this as a strategy worth pursuing and that helps with reelection.
He clearly does not mind doing very questionable things to get reelected.
He hired war hawks like Bolton and Pompeo to lead him to war.
He had asked already about USA invading other countries (e.g. Venezuela in 2017):
Trump administration is starting to lay down the groundwork for pretext: today they accused Iran of various acts, including:
- recent attacks on oil tankers... no real evidence was provided
- 'on May 19th, a rocket landed near the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad' USA never claimed Iran was the cause
- 'on May 31st, a car bomb in Afghanistan wounded four U.S. service members, killed four Afghan civilians, and wounded bystanders' Actually Taliban took responsibility for that one, but who cares, right?
Pompeo said:these unprovoked attacks present a clear threat to international peace and security, a blatant assault on the freedom of navigation, and an unacceptable campaign of escalating tension by Iran....Today, I have instructed our UN Ambassador Jonathan Cohen to raise Iran’s attacks in the UN Security Council meeting later this afternoon
With 17 months left to election, Trump is starting to lay the groundwork for attacking Iran for his reelection. Seems a bit too soon to me but maybe they figure it will take 6 months to a year to prepare and to rally up the country.
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