I think the predictions are pretty darn close. We differ on a couple of states, but basically those are pure tossups which could go either way. RINO's is an interesting term. I don't view Trump as a conservative at all. If you followed his supporters, they called Trump a populist, a nationalist, even a nativist. About everything but a conservative. Now the Democrats, the left refer to Trump as a conservative. Traditional conservatives don't. They view the GOP as being hijacked by Trump and his supporters. In fact, Conservatives Are The New RINOs
Conservatives Are The New RINOs
Down here, the more traditional conservatives, the original conservatives of the Republican Party don't care much for Trump. I always described my political philosophy or ideology more or less as a Goldwater conservative with some of Perot thrown in. I don't care much for Trump either. I think it is very possible the Democrats in Georgia win the Governorship, pick up a couple of Georgia House seats that are now Republican. Why? A lot of traditional conservatives, not Trumpers but more in line with Reagan's conservatism will stay home with some probably voting Democratic. Sort of a backlash against Trump.
Will that happen nationwide or is it a Georgia thing? I don't know. I do know where Trump was winning other Southern states by 15 and 20 points, he won Georgia by 5. Dissatisfaction with Trump was high among the more traditional conservatives down here. Some voted Libertarian, others stayed home.
So we shall see. Lots of interesting questions to be answered. Among them, has many traditional conservatives dropped out of the election process during the Trump era? Keep an eye on Georgia for that answer.