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The USA and China Reach Trade Consensus

FreeWits

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China will voluntarily reduce its trade deficit when North Korea voluntarily gets rid of its nuclear program
 
For all of Trump's fire and fury about China trade all we're getting are blue smoke and mirrors....


13 Apr
China's trade surplus with US up nearly 20%

China's trade surplus with the US expanded by 19.4% in the first quarter compared to a year earlier - to $58.25bn.

Official data released on Friday showed China's exports to the US rose 14.8% while imports from the US were up 8.9%.


dbc7aeb5-c6cd-4d3a-a5d5-effdca9b7b82.jpg



In monthly terms, China's overall exports fell 2.7% in March compared to a year before - surprising analysts who had forecast a rise of about 10% for the period. The official numbers, calculated in dollar-denominated terms, leave China with a trade deficit for the period for the first time since February last year.

China economy - BBC News



If it weren't for USA China would always have a big trade deficit. Beijing has always had a trade deficit with countries in its own region. The CCP Boyz in Beijing get their overall trade surpluses by shipping merchant fleets of their stuff to USA. Over many long years. It's factual data even Trump could understand if someone put it in his Executive Coloring Book.
 
The USA and China have reached a trade consensus: https://www.yahoo.com/news/us-china-reach-trade-consensus-offer-few-details-205520536.htmlTrump seems to have come through on another campaign promise:
His promise was (from US, China tentatively agree on ending American trade deficit: White House | Fox News ):

President Trump has since his 2016 presidential campaign vowed to improve international trade relationships, including the one with China that last year resulted in a $337 billion trade deficit with the country.

Actually, the trade balance on good w/ China in 2016 ended closing up a bit higher at $347 billion. Here are the numbers from Census.gov:

U.S. trade in goods with China
millions of U.S. dollars (source: Foreign Trade - U.S. Trade with China )

2005 -202,278.10
2006 -234,101.30
2007 -258,506.00
2008 -268,039.80
2009 -226,877.20
2010 -273,041.60
2011 -295,249.70
2012 -315,102.50
2013 -318,683.80
2014 -344,817.70
2015 -367,256.70
2016 -347,016.00
2017 -375,227.50​

--and now U.S./China goods balance has gone to $375 billion.

Questions for the group:
  1. Are we worse off now than before 2017?
  2. When the trade defiicit shrank the most from 2008 to 2009 did that mean we were better off?
 
His promise was (from US, China tentatively agree on ending American trade deficit: White House | Fox News ):

President Trump has since his 2016 presidential campaign vowed to improve international trade relationships, including the one with China that last year resulted in a $337 billion trade deficit with the country.

Actually, the trade balance on good w/ China in 2016 ended closing up a bit higher at $347 billion. Here are the numbers from Census.gov:

U.S. trade in goods with China
millions of U.S. dollars (source: Foreign Trade - U.S. Trade with China )

2005 -202,278.10
2006 -234,101.30
2007 -258,506.00
2008 -268,039.80
2009 -226,877.20
2010 -273,041.60
2011 -295,249.70
2012 -315,102.50
2013 -318,683.80
2014 -344,817.70
2015 -367,256.70
2016 -347,016.00
2017 -375,227.50​

--and now U.S./China goods balance has gone to $375 billion.

Questions for the group:
  1. Are we worse off now than before 2017?
  2. When the trade defiicit shrank the most from 2008 to 2009 did that mean we were better off?

We will be better off with a shrinking trade deficit, because that will create jobs in the USA.
 
For all of Trump's fire and fury about China trade all we're getting are blue smoke and mirrors....


13 Apr
China's trade surplus with US up nearly 20%

China's trade surplus with the US expanded by 19.4% in the first quarter compared to a year earlier - to $58.25bn.

Official data released on Friday showed China's exports to the US rose 14.8% while imports from the US were up 8.9%.


dbc7aeb5-c6cd-4d3a-a5d5-effdca9b7b82.jpg



In monthly terms, China's overall exports fell 2.7% in March compared to a year before - surprising analysts who had forecast a rise of about 10% for the period. The official numbers, calculated in dollar-denominated terms, leave China with a trade deficit for the period for the first time since February last year.

China economy - BBC News



If it weren't for USA China would always have a big trade deficit. Beijing has always had a trade deficit with countries in its own region. The CCP Boyz in Beijing get their overall trade surpluses by shipping merchant fleets of their stuff to USA. Over many long years. It's factual data even Trump could understand if someone put it in his Executive Coloring Book.

So do you want to go back to the Obama/Bush Year’s when no one gave a ****? BTW, trade adjustments don’t take place over night. It took 20 years and three presidents to get here. Don’t expect miracles.
 
So what this actually means is that we have a "memorandum of understanding" with China over this trade deficit thing. Those are basically meaningless. In fact Lighthizer apparently did not even name it though from the way it was reported, that is what it is.

We will have to wait for details of what China will actually buy before we know if there is any there there.
 
So do you want to go back to the Obama/Bush Year’s when no one gave a ****? BTW, trade adjustments don’t take place over night. It took 20 years and three presidents to get here. Don’t expect miracles.


Miracles are not expected in the here and now or ever.

Bush and Obama milked the Chinese economy during its bloated boom years when GDP was inflated to begin with. Growth has gone from bogus double digits to the 6% range of official data to the real growth rate of low single digits.

PNB Paribas, Lombard, Nomura and a slew of global banks and investment houses have the real and actual GDP growth of recent years at 2% to 4%. Trump and Co. are meanwhile leveraging Beijing and Qatar among other corrupt governments for private business deals using their public office to get big bucks for themselves.

The Chinese are the Masters of Eternal Corruption. Trump is their cup of tea.
 
...
U.S. trade in goods with China
millions of U.S. dollars (source: Foreign Trade - U.S. Trade with China )

2005 -202,278.10
2006 -234,101.30
2007 -258,506.00
2008 -268,039.80
2009 -226,877.20
2010 -273,041.60
2011 -295,249.70
2012 -315,102.50
2013 -318,683.80
2014 -344,817.70
2015 -367,256.70
2016 -347,016.00
2017 -375,227.50​

...
We will be better off with a shrinking trade deficit, because that will create jobs in the USA.
A lot of folks say that, even while they're looking at how high unemployment was in 2009 back when the trade deficit shrank big time. This kind of thinking may be a good way to fuss w/ politics but it's no way to earn a living to feed a family.
 
A lot of folks say that, even while they're looking at how high unemployment was in 2009 back when the trade deficit shrank big time. This kind of thinking may be a good way to fuss w/ politics but it's no way to earn a living to feed a family.

That's because the trade deficit fell from us not buying as much from other countries, which happens when your country is going through a major recession. With reducing the trade deficit during a healthy economy, we'll be producing more here, creating jobs. Come on now, you can think better than this.
 
...With reducing the trade deficit during a healthy economy, we'll be producing more here, creating jobs. Come on now, you can think better than this.
Better still, let's both think better together and look at what is. In real life we may want to be (as you said) "producing more" but when we try "reducing the trade deficit" like we did in 2009 with China--
us2008china2017ind.png

--we ended up producing less. Now, a lot of people say that we can do both --produce more and reduce the trade deficit. For us to believe that this happens in real life we need to actually see it happen in real life. The real life numbers available to all of us--
histgdp1980trade.png

--and it doesn't work that way.

What we then find out is that these "lot of people" just don't want to work with real life numbers at all. In fact, I'm expecting that folks on this very same thread will either ignore the facts or imagine that the numbers aren't real --just something I made up or got maybe from some evil bad guy conspiracy.
 
Better still, let's both think better together and look at what is. In real life we may want to be (as you said) "producing more" but when we try "reducing the trade deficit" like we did in 2009 with China--
us2008china2017ind.png

--we ended up producing less. Now, a lot of people say that we can do both --produce more and reduce the trade deficit. For us to believe that this happens in real life we need to actually see it happen in real life. The real life numbers available to all of us--
histgdp1980trade.png

--and it doesn't work that way.

What we then find out is that these "lot of people" just don't want to work with real life numbers at all. In fact, I'm expecting that folks on this very same thread will either ignore the facts or imagine that the numbers aren't real --just something I made up or got maybe from some evil bad guy conspiracy.

And we created fewer jobs in 2017 than in previous years
All you have to do is chant America first nazi slogans and his sheep believe him
 
Better still, let's both think better together and look at what is. In real life we may want to be (as you said) "producing more" but when we try "reducing the trade deficit" like we did in 2009 with China--
us2008china2017ind.png

--we ended up producing less. Now, a lot of people say that we can do both --produce more and reduce the trade deficit. For us to believe that this happens in real life we need to actually see it happen in real life. The real life numbers available to all of us--
histgdp1980trade.png

--and it doesn't work that way.

What we then find out is that these "lot of people" just don't want to work with real life numbers at all. In fact, I'm expecting that folks on this very same thread will either ignore the facts or imagine that the numbers aren't real --just something I made up or got maybe from some evil bad guy conspiracy.

Trade deficits can reduce for multiple reasons. You can't equivocate reducing trade deficit by going through a recession to changing international trade policy during a healthy economy. If you can't understand that then I don't know what to tell you.
 
"Offers few details?
That's "coming through?"
How about his promise to negotiate drug prices?
And the worst job creation in years?
And helping the Iranians to get nukes.
We could go on

Job creation is actually quite good. It's not surprising that more jobs would be created closer to the recover of the recession, but job growth is still good right now. Helping Iranians is just your imagination. The Iranians certainly don't seem to think Trump is helping them. Health care including drugs has stalled, but he is still working on it. So that is one we simply have to wait longer to find out if Trump can come through. Please, keep going, because you haven't found a good example yet. Trump is not even halfway through his term yet, so instead of looking at what hasn't happened, it's much more reasonable to look at what has happened. Trump promised cut taxes, that's what we got. He promised economic growth and job creation, that's what we got. He promised reduced trade deficit, according to recent reports, that is the deal that they just agreed to. He promised NATO countries would pay more, and he came through. And then you have issues like North Korea where the progress has been beyond anybody's wildest imagination up to this point, although we're not done yet. Oh yeah, and he promised the DAPL and Keystone XL pipeline would be built, and he came through on that. But please, continue with more issues you imagine Trump broke his promise on.
 
And we created fewer jobs in 2017 than in previous years...
That sounds a bit off somehow, let's go over the employment levels together. This past quarter employment topped at an all time high to 154,941,000 and employment as a % population finally made it back up to where it was in Jan. 09:
empoprepair.png

We've got to see that the increase from Jan 17 to now is far better than the decline from Jan. 09 to Dec. 16. Maybe if you're saying the bounce back up in 2014 will probably slow to a stop as it nears 100% of the population, --well then I'll have to agree with you.
 
...a lot of people say that we can do both --produce more and reduce the trade deficit. For us to believe that this happens in real life we need to actually see it happen in real life. The real life numbers available to all of us--
histgdp1980trade.png

--and it doesn't work that way. What we then find out is that these "lot of people" just don't want to work with real life numbers at all...
...I don't know what to tell you.
We're clear w/ each other then.
 
I gave you the benefit of the doubt....
Thanks, but what we're waiting for here is someone to show when in the past we've ever had both rising production and a falling trade deficit. I'm not saying why it can't happen, I'm not even saying it can't happen. What I'm saying is that nobody here has ever seen it happen even after looking at the historical record of trade deficits and production rates. We don't have to understand why things happen, but when things happen we have got to accept reality on it's own terms.
 
Thanks, but what we're waiting for here is someone to show when in the past we've ever had both rising production and a falling trade deficit. I'm not saying why it can't happen, I'm not even saying it can't happen. What I'm saying is that nobody here has ever seen it happen even after looking at the historical record of trade deficits and production rates. We don't have to understand why things happen, but when things happen we have got to accept reality on it's own terms.

No, actually I don't need to show the past. The past is the past, and is not indicative of what will happen in the future.
 
...what we're waiting for here is someone to show when in the past we've ever had both rising production and a falling trade deficit...
No, actually I don't need to show the past...
Of course not, seeing how it's never happened before makes it harder to believe it can ever happen in the future. We're arguing two different points here, you're backing up your position and I'm interested in what's actually going on.
 
Of course not, seeing how it's never happened before makes it harder to believe it can ever happen in the future. We're arguing two different points here, you're backing up your position and I'm interested in what's actually going on.

Up to this point you seem more interested in what has gone on in the past than the present.
 
The USA and China Reach Trade Consensus

and it only cost them five hundred mil. it's called a strategic investment.
 
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