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POLITICO: "Donald Trump is on track to win reelection"

blackjack50 said:
On what grounds? What is the “bubble” that is going to burst?
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Massive tax cuts to billionaires creates an investment bubble so we will be seeing it in real estate and wall street.

Any more questions, take it up with this guy...

Bridgewater's Dalio sees a 70% chance of a US recession before 2020

"I think we are in a pre-bubble stage that could go into a bubble stage ... The probability of a recession prior to the next presidential election would be relatively high, maybe 70 percent, Dalio said during an appearance at the Harvard Kennedy School's Institute of Politics.

Dalio, whose fund invests some $160 billion, stepped down from the hedge fund's day-to-day operations nearly a year ago, but his views on markets and the economy are still very closely followed.

"The greatest mistake of the individual investor is to think that a market that did well is a good market rather than a more expensive market," he said.​

He called the last bubble that burst in 2008.
 
poweRob said:
Massive tax cuts to billionaires creates an investment bubble so we will be seeing it in real estate and wall street.

Any more questions, take it up with this guy...

Bridgewater's Dalio sees a 70% chance of a US recession before 2020

"I think we are in a pre-bubble stage that could go into a bubble stage ... The probability of a recession prior to the next presidential election would be relatively high, maybe 70 percent, Dalio said during an appearance at the Harvard Kennedy School's Institute of Politics.

Dalio, whose fund invests some $160 billion, stepped down from the hedge fund's day-to-day operations nearly a year ago, but his views on markets and the economy are still very closely followed.

"The greatest mistake of the individual investor is to think that a market that did well is a good market rather than a more expensive market," he said.​

He called the last bubble that burst in 2008.
Click to expand...

“History is a very good teacher, but a very poor master.”

The lesson we learned recently? There is no such thing as recession proof. People thought real estate was. It was not. And how did he predict the last bubble? When? What evidence did he use? Forgive me for not trusting someone on wallstreet.
 
blackjack50 said:
“History is a very good teacher, but a very poor master.”

The lesson we learned recently? There is no such thing as recession proof. People thought real estate was. It was not. And how did he predict the last bubble? When? What evidence did he use? Forgive me for not trusting someone on wallstreet.
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An interview with him right here.
 
SonOfDaedalus said:
An impeachment trial with Trump would be very ugly. It won't be like Clinton where it's all about some affair. It's going to involve a lot of evidence of Trump lying. Most people aren't paying attention to all the Russia related lies and improper conduct. If it's an impeachment trial everyone will be glued to their TV listening to Flynn testifying about how Trump fabricated the reasons for his firing. How they conspired to lie to the American people.

Moreover, you still haven't explained why getting only $1.60 for a $1 bet that Trump does not finish his term is a good thing. Almost all presidents finish their first term unless assassinated.
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I thought you might be interested in this. Like I said the odds change as situations change. As of today:

Wed 1/1 31 Donald Trump is President on 1/1/20 -350
12:01AM 32 Donald Trump not President on 1/1/20 +250

January 20th, 2021, 12:01AM US Eastern Time
Wed 1/20 41 Donald Trump is President on 1/20/21 -175
12:01AM 42 Donald Trump not President on 1/20/21 +135

So as of today you will get $2.50 for a $1 bet that Trump will not be president on 1/1/20. Instead of the $1.60 you would have gotten
a week ago.
 
So many people are saying this now, which I imagine comes as a bit of a shock to all of those sheep who have been sucking up "Trump is a buffoon who does not represent America, ROAST THE MUTHA****ER!" these last few years.
 
I'd like to warn everyone. Don't be lulled into complacence believing Donald Trump is SO BAD that no one would vote for him to be president again. Vote, vote and vote and encourage others as well in 2018 and 2020. Yes, he's going to run again and don't underestimate him or those "deplorables" that will still vote for him. Yes they will.
 
JoeTrumps said:
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/02/25/trump-reelection-2020-approval-ratings-217037

I'm only posting this because 1)the guy writing it clearly hates Trump, so it adds to his opinion being credible and 2)it's clear that many liberals are totally unaware how well on his way Trump is to winning again. maybe this will be the political "cold shower" they need to finally wake up.


this guy nails it. He is trying to stop the left from losing with overconfidence. If you ask me that horse has already left the barn.
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Wishful thinking on your part. The GOP WILL loose seats in Nov, maybe even the House. Lets get thru the midterms before predicting 2020. Lots can happen before 2020, such as Muellers final report. Your concern for the DNC has been noted. Judging by the Alabama turn out last year, the Dems are taking nothing for granted.
 
blackjack50 said:
On what grounds? What is the “bubble” that is going to burst?
Click to expand...

Like I said, the bubble is being formed and thanks to the tax breaks is now will grow exponentially faster and larger. That corporate and billionaire tax break has to be invested to somewhere. So they use their personal money to buy shares in their company, then use corporate money to do share buybacks which inflate their stock prices so they can then sell off their personal shares at that higher rate.

U.S. corporate share buybacks 'explode' in February: research firm

U.S. corporations have announced more than $218 billion in share buybacks since Congress enacted the Republican tax overhaul in December, an investment research firm said on Wednesday.

The California-based firm TrimTabs, which tracks corporate buybacks, said the value of buyback programs announced in February alone surged to $153.7 billion from $59.9 billion in January, smashing a previous monthly record of $133 billion in April 2015.

“Activity has certainly accelerated. Buybacks increased for five consecutive months beginning in July 2017 and have exploded in February,” said TrimTabs analyst Winston Chua.​

Wall street is a sham.
 
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